2026 Severe Weather in U.S

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ElectricStorm
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#61 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Mar 05, 2026 9:39 pm

Textbook supercell likely producing strong tornado in NW OK now, this is exactly why the SPC updated outlooks to include 5#. Absolutely nasty hook echo.
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#62 Postby Brent » Thu Mar 05, 2026 10:00 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:Textbook supercell likely producing strong tornado in NW OK now, this is exactly why the SPC updated outlooks to include 5#. Absolutely nasty hook echo.


:eek:

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#63 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Mar 05, 2026 10:14 pm

Brent wrote:
ElectricStorm wrote:Textbook supercell likely producing strong tornado in NW OK now, this is exactly why the SPC updated outlooks to include 5#. Absolutely nasty hook echo.


:eek:

https://i.ibb.co/nMyqn3Hq/Screenshot-20260305-205607-X.png

 https://twitter.com/SparkServiceWX/status/2029751170974232810




Looks like a horizontal vortex :eek: usually only occurs in strong tornadoes. Still baffled this warning was radar indicated the entire time
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#64 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Mar 05, 2026 10:21 pm

New tornado with very large debris ball west of Helena. PDS warned now
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#65 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Mar 05, 2026 11:06 pm

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#66 Postby Brent » Fri Mar 06, 2026 1:32 am

2 deaths in Fairview ugh
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#67 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 7:40 am

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#68 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Mar 06, 2026 8:14 am

My expectations for today are pretty low, I think we end up with a sloppy storm mode later and perhaps an overnight QLCS. If anything discrete can get rooted it would be a potential strong tornado producer but I'm not sure if we'll see many of those. Let's see if it can prove me wrong.
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#69 Postby TomballEd » Fri Mar 06, 2026 1:27 pm

I watched Convective Chronicles interview wih SPC people and meaning of different CIGs, but the graphic says hatching is >10% chance w/i 25 miles of EF-2 or greater and the CIG1 extends into >5% and >2% probs.

Am I confused or are they confused?
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#70 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Mar 06, 2026 2:09 pm

TomballEd wrote:I watched Convective Chronicles interview wih SPC people and meaning of different CIGs, but the graphic says hatching is >10% chance w/i 25 miles of EF-2 or greater and the CIG1 extends into >5% and >2% probs.

Am I confused or are they confused?

Might still be the old graphic? They can do 2 and 5 hatching now, like we saw yesterday.
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#71 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 2:56 pm

This one is the latest from 19:45z.

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#72 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Mar 06, 2026 4:04 pm

Intense tornado up in Michigan right now. Has been doing damage for quite a while. Way up there in the 2% area
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#73 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 6:29 pm

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#74 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 6:36 pm

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#75 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 6:49 pm

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#76 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 9:18 pm

A tornado watch has been issued for parts of Illinois, Iowa, Kansas and Missouri until 4 AM CST.

 https://x.com/NWStornado/status/2030105355380760718

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#77 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 9:38 pm

Has this outbreak surpassed the expectations that were made?
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#78 Postby Brent » Fri Mar 06, 2026 9:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:Has this outbreak surpassed the expectations that were made?


I can definitely speak to one thing the best tornado chances from the SPC products were east of here. Not to mention Michigan which was even more odd

Well see what the nighttime and morning brings but I'm pretty sure there were multiple tornadoes in the metro here
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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#79 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 9:54 pm

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Re: 2026 Severe Weather in U.S

#80 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 06, 2026 9:57 pm

Sadly, fatalities are being reported.

 https://x.com/VortixWx/status/2030099805884551210

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