Dennis looks to emerge in the next 2-3 hours......

[feederband]

I think the core of dennis is now on the coast...


Edit : outer edge of the core..

[soonertwister]

So back on topic....how far is the eye of the hurricane from the projection made at 11 am this morning for where it would be this time?...an initial look says to me no more than 30 or 40 miles...am I wrong?
Shawn

It's not where the eye is, it's where it's going.

NHC had the eye going at about 320-330 degrees across that point.

Instead, it's moving between 280-290.

DISCLAIMER: My posts are my own. They do not reflect the official opinion of anyone but me.

[shawn67]

Id disagree we (as a board) have for the last 12 hours beaten ourselves up over every wobble this hurricane has had. Im just trying to figure out at the end of the day where are we actually at compared to the guidance so we can begin another reference point for the next day or so.

Shawn

[Innotech]

Someone make him go to bed.

I'm dead tired and forcing myself to stay awake for the discussion. I've gotta get up at 7:30am(WAY WAY WAY WAY WAY WAY WAY too early on anyday, but gotta cut the grass at my grandma's house, if we don't get it done early, it'll be too hot later).

I have to get up at 4:30 am tomorrow to go to work. I work at a gasoline transport company as an asst. dispatcher, so I KNOW tomorrow is oging to give us hell trying to deliver fuel to areas east of N.O. and possibly Pensacola area. Its crazy enough already from Baton Rouge east to N.O.

[rtd2]

So back on topic....how far is the eye of the hurricane from the projection made at 11 am this morning for where it would be this time?...an initial look says to me no more than 30 or 40 miles...am I wrong?
Shawn

It's not where the eye is, it's where it's going.

NHC had the eye going at about 320-330 degrees across that point.

Instead, it's moving between 280-290.

DISCLAIMER: My posts are my own. They do not reflect the official opinion of anyone but me.

Good Read on that! But GEEZ is this Thing Coming off or what! This reminds me of Isadore! Took the Long Path! across! BTW Looks like Havanah is Getting A strong Wall Storm NOW! ZOOM IN
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kbyx.shtml

[jasons2k]

So back on topic....how far is the eye of the hurricane from the projection made at 11 am this morning for where it would be this time?...an initial look says to me no more than 30 or 40 miles...am I wrong?
Shawn

It's not where the eye is, it's where it's going.

NHC had the eye going at about 320-330 degrees across that point.

Instead, it's moving between 280-290.

DISCLAIMER: My posts are my own. They do not reflect the official opinion of anyone but me.

Looks like it to me as well, may happen for a few more frames before it finally goes.

Good Read on that! But GEEZ is this Thing Coming off or what! This reminds me of Isadore! Took the Long Path! across! BTW Looks like Havanah is Getting A strong Wall Storm NOW! ZOOM IN
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kbyx.shtml

[Ixolib]

Id disagree we (as a board) have for the last 12 hours beaten ourselves up over every wobble this hurricane has had. Im just trying to figure out at the end of the day where are we actually at compared to the guidance so we can begin another reference point for the next day or so.

Shawn

But, in the whole wobble / trend argument (i.e. lively, educational, informative, and interesting discussion!!), does this recent track not seem to be more of a **trend**?

[Innotech]

you can already see the core of the storm starting to intensify again. The area of rain gets thicker right off the coast. I htink Dennis is going to explode again as it goes over those very warm Florida straits. All that heat should supercharge this storm in short order. Remember Charley was a relatively weak storm heading out of Cuba, but once it met those south FLorida waters- BOOM!

[Sanibel]

We'll see. There's a big difference from an early July GOM and mid-August. The Conus-influenced GOM in early July is a different venue than a heated Caribbean...

[Innotech]

We'll see. There's a big difference from an early July GOM and mid-August. The Conus-influenced GOM in early July is a different venue than a heated Caribbean...

normally Id agree but this hasnt exactly been a very normal season. I wouldnt discount a lot of htings seeing what has already occurred.