MORE Strong Storms For SE TX / SW LA possible

[Yankeegirl]

got some pretty good storms here tonight and a lotta rain... my hubby is at work up by IAH, hee says its still lightning up there, i dont see any here, so i guess there is a little more to come!!

[Johnny]

Now THAT is what I call a good ol fasion thunderstorm!! About 5:30 yesterday we got a solid shower that lasted about 10 minutes. After it stopped the skies looked to be clearing (didn't check radar) so off I went with the family to Academy. On the way to Academey (heading ENE) it was pitch black. We got in Academy and all heck broke loose. I had to go get the truck while the family waited for me in front of Academy. This was about 6:30 and it was even worse at our house. Lots of very heavy rain with plenty of lightning. It became a moderate rain at around 7:45 and the it turned into a light rain around 9. The lightning flickered nicely outside up until around 10:30 I guess. Very nice!!

It looks like we will have another round today with plenty of moisture to work with, plus storms today will more than likely be working off the boundary left over from the storms yesterday evening/night.

The other thing is, rain chances look pretty decent everyday all the way into next week. I'll take it!

[Johnny]

The discussion from earliar this morning looks promising for more rain later today, into the weekend and into next week. Before the rain started yesterday I was actually hoping a tropical system would effect us so we could get some rain but with how the forecast is shaping up.....nevermind. lol

I remember before Alicia hit back in August of '83, we had soaking rains for days before she hit the Houston/Galveston area. Because of this, trees were easily pushed over. Man, they were down all over the place. It didn't take much winds to push them over with the grounds being so saturated.

Anyways, here's the discussion.....


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR MARINE/AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
455 AM CDT WED AUG 23 2006

.DISCUSSION...QUITE A BIT OF MOISTURE ACROSS EAST TEXAS YESTERDAY
EVENING WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.75 TO 2.25 INCHES
ACROSS THE CWA. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATED HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TX THIS MORNING MAINLY CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM
YESTERDAY'S THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.
OUTFLOW FROM THAT CONVECTIVE COMPLEX APPEARS TO BE DRAPED WEST
AND SOUTH OF THE CWA WITH RADAR IMAGES INDICATING NOT MUCH IN THE
WAY OF CONVECTION ALONG THAT BOUNDARY. LAPS SURFACE ANALYSIS
INDICATES A RELATIVELY STABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA. WITH THAT SAID...LOW TO MID LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE OVER NORTHWEST TX TO DRAW MOISTURE AND CONVECTION OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TOWARDS SOUTHEAST TX LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING ALSO...OUTFLOW FROM YESTERDAY'S STORM MAY PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN TODAY IS WITH
THE HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND SLOW STORM MOTION
EXPECTED...THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP LIKELY WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS TODAY...WITH MENTION OF SOME
STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...AS AN INVERTED LOW TO MID LEVEL
TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVES WESTWARD. WILL
LOWER POPS SLIGHTLY THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES FARTHER INLAND
ACROSS NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TX EVEN THOUGH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES REMAIN HIGH. WITH A 500MB TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST UNITED STATES THURSDAY...THE RIDGE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD FRIDAY.
THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A CONTINUING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
WITH THE 500MB RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. SUNDAY INTO NEXT
WEEK...AN EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW MOISTURE OVER THE GULF TO
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE UPPER TX COAST. THIS WILL PROVIDE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST
OF THE PERIOD MAINLY FOR AFTERNOON SEABREEZE CONVECTION.

[jasons2k]

Yep, there'a already a lot showing up again east of town. I was concerned that it would contaminate the atmosphere and put on a lid on developement this PM but it seems to be holding together as it moves west.

[Johnny]

It's filling in pretty darn good just off to the east with convection moving westward. It's starting a bit earliar than yesterday. Yep, I think we are going to get wet again.

[Yankeegirl]

Good lord, its thundering again... the little cell, the only one in houston, its moving over my area as I type... Nice!

[Extremeweatherguy]

just got pounded by some heavy rain up in my area.

[Yankeegirl]

I have gotten no rain yet...

[Diva]

Just had a good shower here north of Orange. Even a few rumbles of thunder.

[Yankeegirl]

its dark outside, but no thunder or rain here yet...