Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[LearnedHat]

"Is this thing workin', Is this thing on?"

[CaptinCrunch]

Someone foregot to feed the hamsters again, shame on you....

[southerngale]

Latest ECMWF:
NO SNOW HOUSTON.
snow CLL/LFK/SHV thu night.

ugh! I keep hoping for a miracle. Oh well... *sigh*

[cwp419]

Latest ECMWF:
NO SNOW HOUSTON.
snow CLL/LFK/SHV thu night.

Which version of the Euro do you have?

[southerngale]

Sorry, guys. We opened a ticket as soon as it went down and have just been waiting for the host to reboot. Sorry for the inconvenience.

[WacoWx]

any new models out? i couldnt get my fix there for a little bit and began to have some slight withdraws. back in biz. Someone tell me Waco is still in the running?

[setxweatherfreak]

I was about to go into panic mode without looking at the forum that long!! GEEZZ!! LOL!!! Glad its back and going!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

NAM is running and looks favorable. E. Tx looks to be hit pretty good.

[mysterymachinebl]

There is now a Winter Weather Advisory out until midnight Thursday for areas around Abilene and west of there.

[msstateguy83]

i see two areas of concern... one down around I-20 near the metroplex, points east towards east tx....
also see a pocket according to the nam of a snow band that might try and form up near my
area say vernon, wichita falls area up into far sw ok... still looking over the new data
coming in will post more thoughts in just a few.

[msstateguy83]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
149 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NORTH OF A
STERLING CITY TO BROWNWOOD LINE...

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST
TEXAS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW. ABUNDANT MOISTURE COMBINED
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN A MIX OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...BEGINNING TONIGHT AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE
FOR ACCUMULATING SLEET AND SNOW WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A
STERLING CITY TO BROWNWOOD LINE...WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE
COLDEST. AREAS SOUTH OF THAT LINE WILL SEE MORE RAIN THAN SNOW
WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION.

TXZ049-054-064>066-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-111000-
/O.NEW.KSJT.WW.Y.0003.100211T0600Z-100212T0600Z/
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-
SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD
149 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST TEXAS LATE
TONIGHT. AREAS OF RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY AND
WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY. BY SUNRISE THURSDAY...A RAIN AND SNOW MIX
IS LIKELY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY.
ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY BE SLICK BY MORNING.
THE RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES NORTH OF A
STERLING CITY TO BROWNWOOD LINE...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS
AND HILLY AREAS.

TEMPERATURES REMAIN A CRITICAL ELEMENT IN THIS EVENT. READINGS OF
ONLY A FEW DEGREES COLDER WOULD ALLOW THE WINTRY MIX TO CHANGE
OVER TO MORE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. SLIGHTLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES WOULD RESULT IN A COLD RAIN WITH LITTLE OR NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING

[Weatherdude20]

TXZ049-054-064>066-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-111000-
/O.NEW.KSJT.WW.Y.0003.100211T0600Z-100212T0600Z/
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-
SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD
149 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST TEXAS LATE
TONIGHT. AREAS OF RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY AND
WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY. BY SUNRISE THURSDAY...A RAIN AND SNOW MIX
IS LIKELY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY.
ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY BE SLICK BY MORNING.
THE RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES NORTH OF A
STERLING CITY TO BROWNWOOD LINE...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS
AND HILLY AREAS.

TEMPERATURES REMAIN A CRITICAL ELEMENT IN THIS EVENT. READINGS OF
ONLY A FEW DEGREES COLDER WOULD ALLOW THE WINTRY MIX TO CHANGE
OVER TO MORE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. SLIGHTLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES WOULD RESULT IN A COLD RAIN WITH LITTLE OR NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

[Tejas89]

Afternoon package should be a good read from FTW NWS.

KRLD weatherman is saying everything is trending colder, for tomorrow (Thursday) night especially. Back to a chance at 1-3" in DFW proper... actually on the ground and roads by Friday a.m. with isolated larger amounts.

[Dustan78]

In your way more educated opinions, when do you think the local DFW guys will start to get on board with this storm? For that matter, the NWS FW?

[PineyWoods]

For those of us in East Texas -

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1236 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SWINGING FROM THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST EAST ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION...ALONG WITH COLD
AIR AND RETURNING GULF MOISTURE PROVIDED BY AN ADVANCING
ARCTIC SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM...MOISTURE AROUND A SURFACE
LOW MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO...WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD MIX
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY...THROUGH MOST
OF THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO OVER SIX INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL OVERALL IS EXPECTED NEAR...AND
JUST SOUTH OF...INTERSTATE 20. WHILE MORE RAINFALL AND SLEET MIX
MAY LIMIT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FURTHER TO THE SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY...MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL MAY
OCCUR BY LATER THURSDAY EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO BELOW
FREEZING.

[wxag07]

im sure they'll have an advisory out this afternoon.

hard to believe they wouldnt with the mornings afd and new 12z data.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

For those of us in East Texas -

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1236 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SWINGING FROM THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST EAST ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION...ALONG WITH COLD
AIR AND RETURNING GULF MOISTURE PROVIDED BY AN ADVANCING
ARCTIC SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM...MOISTURE AROUND A SURFACE
LOW MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO...WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD MIX
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY...THROUGH MOST
OF THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO OVER SIX INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL OVERALL IS EXPECTED NEAR...AND
JUST SOUTH OF...INTERSTATE 20. WHILE MORE RAINFALL AND SLEET MIX
MAY LIMIT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FURTHER TO THE SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY...MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL MAY
OCCUR BY LATER THURSDAY EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO BELOW
FREEZING.

yes, i think Tyler or just south of it will be the bullseye in this storm. I'm not good at predictions, but 4-6" does sound very possible here. There is alot of moisture rolling in and the Low should deepen. I'm in E. Texas now (Nacogdoches) and can give observations till about 3 o clock tomorrow, then i have to drive to dallas . Could be interesting

[southerngale]

While I know the chances of seeing any snow in SE TX are slim to none, was the 12z data at least closer to slim than none, compared to the 0z data?

[gboudx]

2-3" for much of DFW. Checkout the graphic from NWS.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/fwd/ ... _full1.gif

[mysterymachinebl]

They just updated the graphic...