Pacific Northwest Weather

[weather girl]

Well, the CPC is picking up on the trough that snow_wizzard sees at the end of the month. I don't get it....I think we're about to flip patterns. I still say the heat builds more out west than east. But then, I'm pretty bad at this. Next week seems fairly predictable....it's the week after that that's confusing me.

I guess the little storm we're about to get is a bit of Typhoon Nesat which went NE into the Gulf after have a brush w/Japan. Clouds are starting to move in now, and we're at 68 degrees.

[R-Dub]

Well when I woke up this morning it was raining hard, but by late morning it was mostly sunny, and we had a high of 69 degrees.

Currently 64 degrees and Mostly Sunny.

Goodnight

[andycottle]

Ok...Im here everyone! I posted my earlier weather obs on the wrong thread.. -- Andy

[andycottle]

Pretty nice day here..! Though a little cloudy early this morning, turned to partly to mostly sunny late this morning. In fact, late morning through this evening was mostly sunny. My high today was 68 with a low of 50.
-- Andy

[invisible]

The weather was pretty nice here. The high temperature was 68 with a low of 46 for today. we had mostly sunny all the day. I just looked at the model. It says that we will have warmer weather by day 4. Im glad that we will have this kind of weather soon.

[andycottle]

While there 'might' be a little warmer temps on the way....am certainly not seeing any kind of high pressure ridge in short term or in the longer term as into end of next weekend as per GFS, ECMWF, GEM and Canadain model. So instead, it appears that we`ll be in this troughy pattern where little impulses will be affecting our area at times. However, we should remain fairly mild (60`s to near 70) and mostly dry. Though it does look like there will be some spotty showers at times, but nothing all too heavy or any kind of real organized systems.

-- Andy

[TT-SEA]

WITH A RATHER DEEP 988 MB SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED 544 DAM H5 LOW CENTER IN THE OREGON OFFSHORE WATERS...LOW LEVEL PRES GRADIENTS ARE CURRENTLY LIGHTLY OFFSHORE. GRADIENTS WILL WEAKEN AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...THEN GO MORE OFFSHORE AGAIN WITH TIME AS THE LOW FILLS AND MOVES TOWARD THE OREGON COAST. EXPECT ONLY LIGHT PCPN WITH THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH THE COLD UNSTABLE AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW REMAINING WELL SOUTH...EXPECT ONLY A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRI NIGHT THRU THE WEEKEND...THOUGH THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT A DEFORMATION ZONE TO THE N OF THE UPPER LOW COULD FORM AND SNEAK INTO THE AREA DURING THE PERIOD. THE OCCURRENCE AND TIMING OF SUCH A FEATURE BEYOND DAY 1 IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. THE LOW DOES APPEAR FAR ENOUGH AWAY FROM THE AREA THAT FOR NOW I WILL REDUCE POPS OVER THE FORECAST AREA 10-20 PERCENT EACH PERIOD FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST THRU THE WEEKEND. WILL ALSO INCREASE DAYTIME MAX TEMPERATURES SAT-SUN WITH THE UPPER LOW FARTHER S AND AND LIGHT OFFSHORE GRADIENTS IN AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS ALLOWING A LITTLE JUNE SUNSHINE. ALBRECHT


988mb in June!!! Wow. What does that mean???
Well... it means SLIGHLY below normal with a LITTLE rain.

You can see the energy diving into CA this morning. When that happens... we are usually left in a BLAND pattern.

Maybe some steady light rain with the deformation zone on the Eastside.

But Snow_Wizzard MAY HAVE once again WAAAAAAAYYYYYY overstated the case for the Seattle area.

[AnthonyC]

I have to agree with TT-SEA...and I posted this two days ago. When satellite pics indicate digging with a system that is well off the coast, you know it will have little impact on the PNW. We WILL see precipitation from this, but the southwest interior vs. the northwest interior will be in sharp contrast...Bellingham maybe 0.1 inch while Olympia 0.5+ inch.

As for beyond, latest models develop another trough at the end of the month...but some consistency does indicate a ridge of high pressure...albeit fairly weak...to raise 500 mb heights and bring back sunnier weather in the near term.

Anthony

[andycottle]

Hmmmm....Anthony

I`m not really seeing any ridging in the short or longer term period as weak area troughs will be affecting our region every 2 to 3 days or so....one right after another. Though we should still remain mild with high temps in the 60`s. So with this troughing in place, it looks like we`ll see showers at times...but more so of the spotty kind. In the near short term, looks as if we could be seeing some decent weather early next week as 500MB heights appear to be near 570DM. -- Andy.

[AnthonyC]

Andy,

That's what I was talking about...the NEAR term...meaning Monday and Tuesday of next week. 500 mb heights rise and a weak ridge of high pressure takes shape. Hopefully I cleared that up.

Anthony

[AnthonyC]

I think we can call this latest system a bust...it's been a pleasant day with partly cloudy conditions and mild temperatures. Very little echos on radar and the system is falling apart offshore...most energy is heading into southern OR, northern CA.

Sorry for the disappointment Snow_Wizzard...but you set yourself up for a major letdown.

Anthony

[andycottle]

Anthony, yes...you cleared it up. But maybe I was just going into more detail about the upcoming weather....which I like to do on here..

A overcast day here with just a few breaks and a little sun at times, but also mild. My high was 69 with a low of 54. Oh and BTW, no rain here today either...at least not yet. From seeing the Seattle Radar loop...some rain 'may' be in my area in a little while. -- Andy

[andycottle]

And also....if looking for weather excitment... head on over too the Montana NWS radar page. Numours lightning strikes and good t-storms cells. There`s a pretty good storm cell just SSE of Helena, MT as of 6:56pm MDT.
-- Andy

[R-Dub]

Poor Snowwiz has sure been getting hammered by everyone lately. Guess that is what happens when you try to go out on a limb and make a bold forecast. If your right your the hero, if your wrong you sure hear about it

Well after a high of 71 degrees, its currently cloudy with a temp of 65 degrees. Sure has a muggy heavy feel to the air right now!!

[AnthonyC]

I don't mean to patrionize Snow_Wizzard...he's an intelligent, amateur weather enthusiast who brings knowledge to this board. I just think he let's personal opinion exceed accurate prediction.

Anthony

[invisible]

The weather was muggy today with a high of 75. I was a little surprised that we got warmer weather than most areas in Washington today.

One website called The Weather Network predicts that northwest of Washington would get 15-30 mm (.50-1.25 inches) of rain tomorrow. I think it is way too much for June.

This website is very popular for Canada. Maybe this site will be right.

I guess snow_wizzard will feel better about this event.

[TT-SEA]

Watch out... some heavy rain is moving in from the southeast.

Snow_Wizzard may be at least partly correct.

After tomorrow... its looking quite nice.

[TT-SEA]

Despite the radar... just sprinkles here in North Bend.

It is starting to look like normal or even slightly above normal temperatures are about to become the routine again.

Remember... even weak troughing produces normal or above normal temperatures around here lately.

And lawns should be starting to go dormant soon with very little rainfall in the next two weeks.

Summer looks to be arriving right on schedule.

[TT-SEA]

For what its worth... the ETA-MM5 shows almost no rain in the next 2 days for Seattle after this band moves through this evening.

How could Snow_Wizzard be so excited about this storm??

Forecast for tomorrow and the weekend has temperatures in the upper 60's and low 70's with clouds and sun. How is that different than normal June weather?????

It is obvious when most of the energy goes into CA... we end up in a bland pattern.

[TT-SEA]

Rain picking up here now. Nice soaking rain... I love it.

I think we will get .50 tonight and that may be it for the month.

That will put us around normal.