ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[norva13x]

Looks like it’s turning to WNW like the models are predicting

Yup - definitely has a WNW component now.

The eye wobbles with land interaction, wait at least a couple hours before we know if it is shifting or not.

[tolakram]

Stay on topic, avoid making posts that you know full well will fill a thread with arguments. Obviously I had to remove a few posts.

[tronbunny]

4 dropsonde Surface readings from west -> east
1010mb 1011mb 1012mb 1012mb

[catskillfire51]

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... 810,26.287

It does seem to be losing its steering a little

[Vdogg]

Eye filled in a bit, land interaction?

It's a land-falling across literally the thinnest part of that island, has a portion of the eye still over water. I really don't imagine that land is going to induce much weakening.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Looks like it’s turning to WNW like the models are predicting

Yup - definitely has a WNW component now.

I thought so also but now i don't think so

[ColdFusion]

Must be in the eye right now? Notice the car is upside down.

 https://twitter.com/crabanddough/status/1168217212030726148

[AutoPenalti]

Wasn’t there a theory that hurricanes hate land? So they try to go around it?

[NDG]

So calculation the distance and heading between the first fix at 11:32z and last AF recon fix at 16:23z on the COC it gives me a heading of 276 degrees at an average movement of 7.5 mph, so just a tad further south heading and just a tad slower than earlier this morning.

[northjaxpro]

I am still speechless everyone with today's still onging incredible developments with this monster Dorian!!

[Blizzard96x]

Honestly we need another 1-2 hours worth of frames before claiming its turning WNW... obviously there has been some WNW movement, but I think it could just be a wobble related to the island interaction.

[supercane4867]

Must be in the eye right now? Notice the car is upside down.

https://twitter.com/crabanddough/status/1168217212030726148

Radar shows they are in the eye for over 30min now

[Highteeld]

The Bahamas are underwater.

 https://twitter.com/NEWeatherWx/status/1168218084781502464

[DestinHurricane]

Wasn’t there a theory that hurricanes hate land? So they try to go around it?

I remember Irma bouncing off the SW coast of Florida.

[Secret_Meteorologist]

Looks like it’s turning to WNW like the models are predicting

Yup - definitely has a WNW component now.

Eyewall onshore; northerly component a result of trochoidal motion via conservation of angular momentum, due to surface friction. With respect to moment of central pressure movement, one should await a several hour geopositional trend before conveying this assertion.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Wasn’t there a theory that hurricanes hate land? So they try to go around it?

The other way around. Pretty much transfer heat and solar energy to other cooler areas. Land or not. They have a purpose on earth.

[TexWx]

https://www.local10.com/weather/hurricane/hurricane-dorian-9-1-19

Pretty good live coverage here.

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/Space_Station/status/1168216753664614400

[jlauderdal]

Craig setzer weather guy in sofla has put up.shutters at his house in weston, i did too on south, west, north sides

[TheDreamTraveler]

Wasn’t there a theory that hurricanes hate land? So they try to go around it?

Yes actually. I've seen a few mets discuss this in detail. They like to ride along or around land wherever they can.