Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22796
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6221 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 15, 2018 6:58 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:These bust talks before events are even forecast to start are getting rediculous. If there's no snow on the radar in 6 hours, then you can call it a bust. There's at least a slight chance that the Dallas area could get over 1 inch of snow tonight. Better chances as you head south and east across central and east TX. Major travel issues likely in SA, Austin, and at least the northside of Houston tomorrow.


It's as bad as the hurricane busts and cancels. Then Harvey devastated the state.
8 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6222 Postby Portastorm » Mon Jan 15, 2018 6:59 pm

longhornweather wrote:Local TV mets in Austin say it will cause travel problems but they don’t seem too bullish on precipitation totals.


Let me provide some perspective. This city has been shut down by 0.07" of freezing drizzle. The most conservative model output I have seen for us for tomorrow shows three times that much precip as a mixed bag. So, it won't take much. And that's the whole point about the Winter Storm Warning being issued and "significant" travel impacts.
9 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
JDawg512
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1079
Age: 45
Joined: Mon Aug 26, 2013 8:56 pm
Location: Austin
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6223 Postby JDawg512 » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:03 pm

Starting to sprinkle, clouds are getting low and dark
0 likes   
Resident Rain Miser

I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.

longhornweather
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 61
Joined: Sat Feb 01, 2014 5:13 pm
Location: Georgetown, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6224 Postby longhornweather » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:04 pm

Portastorm wrote:
longhornweather wrote:Local TV mets in Austin say it will cause travel problems but they don’t seem too bullish on precipitation totals.


Let me provide some perspective. This city has been shut down by 0.07" of freezing drizzle. The most conservative model output I have seen for us for tomorrow shows three times that much precip as a mixed bag. So, it won't take much. And that's the whole point about the Winter Storm Warning being issued and "significant" travel impacts.

Thanks for the insight and I agree with you. Just seemed that they were downplaying any totals. To me, the totals for ice, sleet, or snow seem to be pretty up in the air at this point.
0 likes   
This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4235
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6225 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:04 pm

Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:These bust talks before events are even forecast to start are getting rediculous. If there's no snow on the radar in 6 hours, then you can call it a bust. There's at least a slight chance that the Dallas area could get over 1 inch of snow tonight. Better chances as you head south and east across central and east TX. Major travel issues likely in SA, Austin, and at least the northside of Houston tomorrow.


It's as bad as the hurricane busts and cancels. Then Harvey devastated the state.


I agree and it irritates meteorologists who give educated forecasts to folks. Much of the state will likely see major impacts due to snow and ice accumulation tomorrow.

18z TX Tech WRF is showing more moisture across central and north TX leading to a higher risk for snow and ice accumulations tonight into tomorrow.
2 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22796
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6226 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:05 pm

longhornweather wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
longhornweather wrote:Local TV mets in Austin say it will cause travel problems but they don’t seem too bullish on precipitation totals.


Let me provide some perspective. This city has been shut down by 0.07" of freezing drizzle. The most conservative model output I have seen for us for tomorrow shows three times that much precip as a mixed bag. So, it won't take much. And that's the whole point about the Winter Storm Warning being issued and "significant" travel impacts.

Thanks for the insight and I agree with you. Just seemed that they were downplaying any totals. To me, the totals for ice, sleet, or snow seem to be pretty up in the air at this point.


It does not take very much sleet with cold temperatures to make roads a nightmare. Even more than freezing in my opinion.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4235
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6227 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:06 pm

Portastorm wrote:
longhornweather wrote:Local TV mets in Austin say it will cause travel problems but they don’t seem too bullish on precipitation totals.


Let me provide some perspective. This city has been shut down by 0.07" of freezing drizzle. The most conservative model output I have seen for us for tomorrow shows three times that much precip as a mixed bag. So, it won't take much. And that's the whole point about the Winter Storm Warning being issued and "significant" travel impacts.


I agree Porta. I've been warning my family and friends in SA that the city might very well be shut down tomorrow. This is looking like a pretty significant winter storm across south central TX. I don't remember the last time EWX issued a Winter Storm Warning.
1 likes   

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6228 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:09 pm

If you guys are going to be getting the same type of snow I got today then you'll be getting the really pretty type that twinkles in the night.
1 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

DonWrk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 488
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:54 pm
Location: Collinsville, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6229 Postby DonWrk » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:09 pm

Ntxw wrote:Patchy radar return for some red river counties as the atmosphere is moistening up that way. Not sure if it is reaching the ground



You can see it in headlights if you look hard enough. So not really but kind of.
0 likes   

jaguars_22
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 605
Joined: Tue Jun 20, 2017 2:26 pm
Location: Victoria TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6230 Postby jaguars_22 » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:10 pm

Why are the models picking up a split in the precipitation when it gets to Austin? Most of it goes east and leaves corpus and Victoria in the clear
0 likes   

GeauxTigers
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 104
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2018 5:35 pm
Location: Tioga, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6231 Postby GeauxTigers » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:11 pm

I'm in Tioga, TX and just took out trash. Couldn't see anything nor feel anything falling.
1 likes   

User avatar
JDawg512
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1079
Age: 45
Joined: Mon Aug 26, 2013 8:56 pm
Location: Austin
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6232 Postby JDawg512 » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:11 pm

Image

And when I say they are getting darker and lower I mean it's looking like a wall cloud. Sprinkles are increasing.
1 likes   
Resident Rain Miser

I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.

DonWrk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 488
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:54 pm
Location: Collinsville, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6233 Postby DonWrk » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:13 pm

GeauxTigers wrote:I'm in Tioga, TX and just took out trash. Couldn't see anything nor feel anything falling.


Starting to show up on the windshield in Collinsville.
2 likes   

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3194
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6234 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:14 pm

DonWrk wrote:
GeauxTigers wrote:I'm in Tioga, TX and just took out trash. Couldn't see anything nor feel anything falling.


Starting to show up on the windshield in Collinsville.

What is your temp in Collinsville, Donwrk?
0 likes   

GeauxTigers
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 104
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2018 5:35 pm
Location: Tioga, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6235 Postby GeauxTigers » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:15 pm

DonWrk wrote:
GeauxTigers wrote:I'm in Tioga, TX and just took out trash. Couldn't see anything nor feel anything falling.


Starting to show up on the windshield in Collinsville.


Let's hope it stays around and increases!
1 likes   

DonWrk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 488
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:54 pm
Location: Collinsville, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6236 Postby DonWrk » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:17 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
DonWrk wrote:
GeauxTigers wrote:I'm in Tioga, TX and just took out trash. Couldn't see anything nor feel anything falling.


Starting to show up on the windshield in Collinsville.

What is your temp in Collinsville, Donwrk?


36 on my vehicle right now.
0 likes   

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3194
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6237 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:22 pm

Man, ISD's all over the Houston area are cancelled.
0 likes   

User avatar
iorange55
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2388
Joined: Thu Nov 13, 2008 9:47 pm
Location: Big D

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6238 Postby iorange55 » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:23 pm

I think the NAM is gonna take the “L” on this one.
0 likes   

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3270
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6239 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:28 pm

iorange55 wrote:I think the NAM is gonna take the “L” on this one.

Not much doubt about that.
0 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

Theepicman116
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 95
Age: 26
Joined: Sat Nov 26, 2016 10:43 pm
Location: Stephenville

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#6240 Postby Theepicman116 » Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:30 pm

My school district sent out a tweet basically saying that we're still on for school tomorrow but it could change if need be. I hope they end up closing. I want a day off tomorrow.
Last edited by Theepicman116 on Mon Jan 15, 2018 7:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 42 guests