Texas Winter 2013-2014

[Ntxw]

So you think both the GFS and Euro are both significantly underestimating the potential rainfall amounts across central Texas? A few days ago both models were indicating that we could see around an inch of rain with the system early next week. Now both of the models are showing about .25 inch. I will be happy if I get over .50 inch from that storm.

I believe so, if my thinking that the coastal trough/low will be the better region for cyclogenesis. I don't have the merit to say I know that will happen, frankly I don't but it's just something I've caught on over the years following storms that like to eject with -PNA. I have no clue what the qpf will be but I wouldn't bet on the low end from seeing the pattern.

What is the 18Z gfs predicting for the second storm (for North Texas) How much snow?

None your patch of home sweet home is 33 and cold, chilly rain

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Is there a chance that our cold will cause snow and LOTS of it for ThunderSleetDreams????

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

NO that map is just plain sad!

[ravyrn]

Check out the tumbleweed invasion in Clovis, NM that rests on the Texas/New Mexico border.

[TheProfessor]

NO that map is just plain sad!

It is plain sad, I want more than 3 inches of snow!

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Check out the tumbleweed invasion in Clovis, NM that rests on the Texas/New Mexico border.

Now I know why the Severe Weather Texan put this up:



I'm amazed those fellows haven't blown all the way down to Houston!

[orangeblood]

To continue Ntxw's for entertainment purposes only segment.....an even more extreme Arctic Outbreak is depicted the following week according to the GFS Ensemble Control Run. Yes, that is some 40+ deg F below normal temps invading Texas

[DonWrk]

That map looks pretty amazing!

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

[KatDaddy]

February has been known for cold and snow in Central, S, and SE TX. I don't think we are done with the Winter threats even here in SE TX. My friends in NTX will get there turn again. Just my 2 cents.

[Ntxw]

To continue Ntxw's for entertainment purposes only segment.....an even more extreme Arctic Outbreak is depicted the following week according to the GFS Ensemble Control Run. Yes, that is some 40+ deg F below normal temps invading Texas

How Eerie is that? Now we know what 1899 looked like...on top of the SST maps I posted the other day which for the winter has no other twin than that year.

[Jarodm12]

with the snow pack just to our north next fri- sat certainly has the potential to be a MWS in my opinion

[TheProfessor]

with the snow pack just to our north next fri- sat certainly has the potential to be a MWS in my opinion

For who? For Texas? Canada? Puerto Rico? China? We don't know where you live!

[Ntxw]

More on our fun maps entertainment segment. Should the -WPO tank as it is doing this is what will be crossing the pole which can be seen on the European runs.







ECMWF Run

[TheProfessor]

I hope that the GFS continues to trend towards the Euro, and that Euro continues to trend colder and wetter.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Now wouldn't it be terrifying for you folks if that vortex broke off on our side of the world instead???

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Now wouldn't it be terrifying for you folks if that vortex broke off on our side of the world instead???

Pretty please?

[weatherdude1108]

Bob Rose's take on Winter. I like.

"Winter is still in full force and looks to continue well into February."

http://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-wea ... ather.aspx

[Ntxw]

0z GFS is going to cave to the Euro on Sunday, no longer a flat wave ejecting.

[Ntxw]

From this



To this



That is a fairly significant difference, it cannot be trusted. The second ejection follows the euro, now we just need the surface to change and follow along.