Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6321 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 15, 2023 9:39 pm

Feeling like spring here with all this lightning

Also a tornado warning near Ada
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6322 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 15, 2023 10:51 pm

Brent wrote:Feeling like spring here with all this lightning

Also a tornado warning near Ada


Better forcing and no cap, a great combo!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6323 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Feb 16, 2023 8:58 am

Time to move on to the Spring Thread......
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6324 Postby Gotwood » Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:27 am

bubba hotep wrote:Time to move on to the Spring Thread......

That’s what it seems like.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6325 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:47 am

The Texas Spring 2023 thread is created, but it’ll be a while before I head that way. Since I joined S2K, I always try go down swinging every year. Winter Weather and this annual thread is what drew me to Storm 2K originally and it continues to be my meteorological love. Such weather is a rarity in our state and memorable when it happens. Way more interesting and fun, to me at least, than run of the mill, endless hot weather. Plus, I’ve seen some memorable March events here and I’m going to keep the faith here along the Red River! :D

:froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6326 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:47 am

Big bust in Kansas snow-wise where I grew up anyway. It shifted north, so 2-4 became a dusting. GFS and Euro show virtually no snow across the entire country south of Nebraska. Yikes.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6327 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 16, 2023 10:13 am

bubba hotep wrote:Time to move on to the Spring Thread......


Yeah even up here im seriously questioning... I know it can snow in March but well its failed to snow in February and probably isn't going to :spam: definitely not a good winter here if that was it
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6328 Postby gboudx » Thu Feb 16, 2023 10:15 am

Texas Snowman wrote:The Texas Spring 2023 thread is created, but it’ll be a while before I head that way. Since I joined S2K, I always try go down swinging every year. Winter Weather and this annual thread is what drew me to Storm 2K originally and it continues to be my meteorological love. Such weather is a rarity in our state and memorable when it happens. Way more interesting and fun, to me at least, than run of the mill, endless hot weather. Plus, I’ve seen some memorable March events here and I’m going to keep the faith here along the Red River! :D

:froze:


I'm similar but I only visit this board late Fall and into the Winter months. I have no appetite for the excitement I've seen on this board over severe thunderstorms producing tornados and large hail. Instead of fighting against it, I just decided the board isn't for me during those times of the year. I will read some of the tropical threads when there's a system threatening the Gulf though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6329 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 16, 2023 11:15 am

Oh, what a sad time of year. Winter weather lovers are lamenting the likely end of any snow possibilities. Meanwhile, my azaleas are blooming and my red oak has leaf buds, but it's too dang cold to go outside. A little over 3 weeks until we turn the clocks forward and we get an extra hour of warm afternoon sunshine. ;-) Looking forward to daily highs in the 80s, followed by the pleasant heat of June, July, and August.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6330 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 16, 2023 11:25 am

wxman57 wrote:Oh, what a sad time of year. Winter weather lovers are lamenting the likely end of any snow possibilities. Meanwhile, my azaleas are blooming and my red oak has leaf buds, but it's too dang cold to go outside. A little over 3 weeks until we turn the clocks forward and we get an extra hour of warm afternoon sunshine. ;-) Looking forward to daily highs in the 80s, followed by the pleasant heat of June, July, and August.

Why are you literally bringing in the SE Ridge?
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6331 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 16, 2023 11:29 am

Had this SE Ridge come here in the Summer, then we could be dealing with the Heatwaves of doom! :onfire:
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6332 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Feb 16, 2023 12:13 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Time to move on to the Spring Thread......


Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6333 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 16, 2023 1:14 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Time to move on to the Spring Thread......


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FpGqTOCWcAAvftQ?format=jpg&name=medium


So if you're looking for cold across the Southern Plains and SE US, the literal Antithesis of this 10-15 500 MB below is what you'd look for....BRUTAL no way to sugar coat it, Cold is bottled up across Northern Latitudes with no delivery mechanism on the horizon.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6334 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 16, 2023 1:20 pm

While driving around the neighborhood, I saw that the dogwoods are blooming. You can always recognize them by their bark.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6335 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 16, 2023 1:44 pm

There is a big enough of a HP system and west coast trough to allow a little bleeding of the cold. I think the models will trend a little better in the coming days. At the moment though it doesn't look as favorable as early month. We'll have to see, need the trough to dig way more south and less out into the Ocean. One thing for sure it will be quite a contrast between the two zones. Where it gets cold up north, like in Oklahoma, it will be stubbornly cold and south where it doesn't exchange will be stubbornly warm.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6336 Postby gboudx » Thu Feb 16, 2023 2:23 pm

wxman57 wrote:While driving around the neighborhood, I saw that the dogwoods are blooming. You can always recognize them by their bark.


Will you be here all week? I'll keep coming back for the dad jokes. :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6337 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Feb 16, 2023 3:53 pm

wxman57 wrote:While driving around the neighborhood, I saw that the dogwoods are blooming. You can always recognize them by their bark.

GGGGGGGGRRRRRROOOOOOAAAAAANNNNNN!!!!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6338 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Feb 16, 2023 5:47 pm

I mean... Come on! We can't get cold into Texas with that sitting over the Northern Rockies?

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6339 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Feb 16, 2023 6:10 pm

bubba hotep wrote:I mean... Come on! We can't get cold into Texas with that sitting over the Northern Rockies?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/eps-fast/2023021612/eps-fast_T850a_namer_8.png

I'm calling it. Honolulu blizzard while Chicago bakes.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6340 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Feb 16, 2023 6:15 pm

bubba hotep wrote:I mean... Come on! We can't get cold into Texas with that sitting over the Northern Rockies?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/eps-fast/2023021612/eps-fast_T850a_namer_8.png


Last two runs of the GEFS trying at the end of next week.
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