Texas Winter 2014-2015

[WeatherNewbie]

I think the stuff in the Northern areas is mostly virga. Despite the radar returns, nothing making it to the ground in Carrollton. I did see a few flakes driving to work though.

[SouthernMet]

Winter Weather Advisory issued for Stephens, Eastland, Parker, Hood, Somervell, Comanche, Jack, Erath, Palo Pinto & Young counties for up to 2" this morning.

[srainhoutx]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
915 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015

YOUNG-JACK-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-
SOMERVELL-COMANCHE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...
BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD...BRIAR...CISCO...
EASTLAND...RANGER...GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...GRANBURY...
OAK TRAIL SHORES...GLEN ROSE...COMANCHE...DE LEON
915 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST
THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATION...THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF
YOUNG...JACK...STEPHENS...PALO PINTO...PARKER...EASTLAND...
ERATH...HOOD...SOMERVELL AND COMANCHE.

* TIMING...NOW THROUGH 1 PM.

* ACCUMULATION...SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE A HALF INCH TO 1
INCH OVER THE ADVISORY AREA. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY SEE UP TO 2
INCHES.

* MAIN IMPACT...TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING AND ACCUMULATING
SNOW WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES
AND OVERPASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF WINTER
PRECIPITATION MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND PLAN ON SOME TRAVEL DELAYS.

SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON
ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST
LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. PLEASE TRAVEL WITH CAUTION.

[SouthernMet]

12z RGEM wants to include austin on some light snow action tomorrow with a high around 33.

SREF continues to trend away from any snow in austin, also with highs around 40 now.

[iorange55]

Pretty decent snow shower down here at the moment. Small flakes, but there are a lot of them flying around out there.

[TheProfessor]

Moderate to heavy snow at my school in Trophy Club right now.

[Wntrwthrguy]

12z RGEM wants to include austin on some light snow action tomorrow with a high around 33.

SREF continues to trend away from any snow in austin, also with highs around 40 now.

Which one of those would you tend to believe?

[gpsnowman]

What is the timing with snow on Friday as of now?

[downsouthman1]

12z RGEM wants to include austin on some light snow action tomorrow with a high around 33.

SREF continues to trend away from any snow in austin, also with highs around 40 now.

Which one of those would you tend to believe?

The question is not which one would you tend to believe. It is what does the SREF say about precip chances? I say this because the reason it backed off the snow is because of a high near 40. If it is showing a decent amount of precip though, it is conceivable that it could be wrong about the temps, which means a higher chance of snow.

[Texas Snowman]

@NWSLubbock: Snow amounts so far: 1-2" Muleshoe to Dimmitt. Around 1/4" here in Lubbock. Brisk wind nr 20 mph making it hard to measure. #lubwx

[Texas Snowman]

@NWSLubbock: Yes, it's another beautiful travel day in West Texas--NOT! Be careful- many vehicle wrecks have occurred. #lubwx. http://t.co/B1LxYS8y3F

[Ntxw]

12z RGEM wants to include austin on some light snow action tomorrow with a high around 33.

SREF continues to trend away from any snow in austin, also with highs around 40 now.

Which one of those would you tend to believe?

The one that shows freezing drizzle!

Both have faltered at different times, you have to remember the SREF is a blend and average of different solutions as it is an ensembles not a definite solution.

[SouthernMet]

It depends on certain dynamics like the potency of the arctic front. (sref is becoming inconsistent, first showing highs around 32-34 now 40.)

It also depends on whether or not we can overcome the somewhat dry airmass and saturate in time for any accumulations, I haven't seen enough short term guidance in agreement just yet.

[Wntrwthrguy]

12z RGEM wants to include austin on some light snow action tomorrow with a high around 33.

SREF continues to trend away from any snow in austin, also with highs around 40 now.

Which one of those would you tend to believe?

The one that shows freezing drizzle!

Both have faltered at different times, you have to remember the SREF is a blend and average of different solutions as it is an ensembles not a definite solution.

Not funny haha. Thanks for the info. I just want to see snow falling from the sky.

[Texas Snowman]

Interesting...

@NWSLittleRock: With yesterday's snow at Little Rock (1.6 in.), 47.7 in. has fallen since 1/1/2010...more than the previous 2 decades combined (45.6). #arwx

[orangeblood]

12z RGEM wants to include austin on some light snow action tomorrow with a high around 33.

SREF continues to trend away from any snow in austin, also with highs around 40 now.

Yep, latest RGEM much more aggressive with snowfall amounts tomorrow...now up to 3-5 inch amounts (even 6-7 from Eastland to Graham) across a big area of North Texas. Winter Weather Advisories for a long period of time are possible starting tomorrow through Saturday morning

[Ntxw]

Yep, latest RGEM much more aggressive with snowfall amounts tomorrow...now up to 3-5 inch amounts (even 6-7 from Eastland to Graham) across a big area of North Texas. Winter Weather Advisories for a long period of time are possible starting tomorrow through Saturday morning

Euro had this solution earlier in the week then lost it. Ratio's will be high if it pans out, get more stuff out of little liquid and is more fluffy than wet snow.

[Portastorm]

Yep, latest RGEM much more aggressive with snowfall amounts tomorrow...now up to 3-5 inch amounts (even 6-7 from Eastland to Graham) across a big area of North Texas. Winter Weather Advisories for a long period of time are possible starting tomorrow through Saturday morning

Euro had this solution earlier in the week then lost it. Ratio's will be high if it pans out, get more stuff out of little liquid and is more fluffy than wet snow.

You North Texas guys said yesterday that the RGEM did real well with the early week event, correct? Hope it continues the hot hand.

[Parker_County1]

Snow is getting lighter here in Weatherford. That's probably about it as far as accumulation for today. 0.6". That's more than we got yesterday!

[Ralph's Weather]

I will vote RGEM as it gives me some snow accumulation tomorrow. It has tended to be good even when it is an outlier with winter storms this season.