ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[gatorcane]

This could not be good! I would imagine at some point after looping gonna have to go N or NE again - better not go W

OMG at 150 hours heading SW towards Bahamas...

[tolakram]

[ronyan]

Westward component @ hr 150, oh boy

[MississippiWx]

Florida hasn't been hit by a major hurricane since 2005. Models say let's hit it twice within a few days by the same hurricane.

[WHYB630]

00z GFS t@150: toward Bahamas, again

[SouthernBreeze]

[SunnyThoughts]

lol we may get to hour 320 and it may be approaching texas/mexico border at this rate.

[tolakram]

Continues to weaken but nothing to sneeze at.

[Mouton]

One of the storms I think in 04 did a loop and hit the US twice. My recollection is foggy, help me out.

[Alyono]

one fly in the ointment of the loop

If this makes landfall in Florida the first time, it may be very very weak such that the return will be very weak

[WeatherEmperor]

Omg its coming back down to the freakin Bahamas!!


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[gatorcane]

962mb heading for the Bahamas

[DESTRUCTION5]

UKMET shows loop
ECMWF shows loop
GFS shows loop

Sure, why not. After all, Matthew has defied conventional wisdom thus far!

It is 12:21 est maybe this is a dream

[Kingarabian]

Rapidly deepens as it renters the bahamas.

[stormreader]

If euro the same dade will likely go under hurricane warning id think. I do though expect track shift west again sadly

Yes indeed! Further down the coast. Better look at the keys.

[Mouton]

962mb heading for the Bahamas

How about we drop a nuke on it and see if that puts it away.

[sma10]

:double: These models....Just bring up one crazy thing after another...

How much of a role can Nicole have on this "loop" depending on how strong she gets?

Leave Nicole alone - she is too busy terrorizing Bermuda.

[Blown Away]

If euro the same dade will likely go under hurricane warning id think. I do though expect track shift west again sadly

I think when it loops back Dade will be under the gun... Wouldn't shock me if a warning goes up for Dade...

[tolakram]

Getting stronger again. Really?

[Alyono]

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 05.10.2016

HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N 74.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 05.10.2016 0 20.1N 74.2W 972 70
1200UTC 05.10.2016 12 21.6N 74.8W 981 63
0000UTC 06.10.2016 24 23.1N 76.0W 982 57
1200UTC 06.10.2016 36 24.9N 77.6W 979 54
0000UTC 07.10.2016 48 26.7N 79.2W 974 61
1200UTC 07.10.2016 60 28.9N 80.6W 968 60
0000UTC 08.10.2016 72 30.9N 80.8W 967 62
1200UTC 08.10.2016 84 32.8N 80.1W 975 52
0000UTC 09.10.2016 96 33.4N 78.1W 990 46
1200UTC 09.10.2016 108 33.9N 76.2W 996 49
0000UTC 10.10.2016 120 32.4N 75.1W 1002 51
1200UTC 10.10.2016 132 30.6N 75.5W 1005 41
0000UTC 11.10.2016 144 28.9N 78.3W 1007 37