ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 071543
AF305 1711A IRMA HDOB 41 20170907
153400 2128N 06858W 6967 03127 0011 +099 +092 122081 081 058 001 00
153430 2127N 06859W 6966 03123 0006 +099 +090 123083 084 058 003 00
153500 2126N 06900W 6967 03118 0004 +097 +089 123083 084 059 003 00
153530 2124N 06902W 6967 03117 //// +095 //// 124083 084 059 001 01
153600 2123N 06903W 6969 03111 9990 +100 +093 123086 087 061 004 00
153630 2122N 06905W 6964 03110 9991 +096 +091 122086 087 061 004 01
153700 2121N 06906W 6969 03099 9986 +096 //// 123086 087 065 005 01
153730 2119N 06907W 6969 03093 9986 +093 +093 123087 088 065 004 00
153800 2118N 06909W 6966 03091 9977 +095 +093 123090 090 059 007 00
153830 2117N 06910W 6967 03092 9972 +097 +097 122090 090 063 006 00
153900 2115N 06911W 6965 03085 9978 +095 //// 122089 090 063 004 01
153930 2114N 06913W 6966 03078 9961 +094 +088 123091 092 068 003 00
154000 2113N 06914W 6970 03069 9948 +098 +087 123093 093 069 001 00
154030 2112N 06915W 6965 03068 9936 +102 +085 121094 094 072 002 00
154100 2110N 06917W 6967 03054 9932 +100 +090 121097 100 072 003 00
154130 2109N 06918W 6970 03045 9920 +102 +094 123100 102 077 006 00
154200 2108N 06920W 6969 03036 9919 +098 +098 125102 103 077 007 00
154230 2107N 06921W 6963 03031 9919 +093 +093 124106 107 078 008 00
154300 2105N 06922W 6964 03022 9916 +102 +102 124107 108 079 013 00
154330 2104N 06924W 6965 03008 9913 +100 +100 122112 115 081 019 00
$$
;

[Sanibel]

A lot of the east coast of Florida regular board posters are not posting...Probably a good sign they are getting ready...Which is what I'll be doing right after GFS finishes its 12z run....

[AutoPenalti]

WOW NWS, according to the TWC, are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

[MatthewsRevenge]

Whichever way Irma makes, this storm is wide in its size. Florida will not be saved from this. This is what NHC sees.

[sweetpea]

WOW NWS twitter are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

WOW, that is crazy. I can't even imagine.

[alanstover]

Does anyone have any info on conditions in Dominican Republic or links to reports?
Thanks.

[Jelff]

Below is a link to a Google + GIS storm surge depth map. Yellow represents a depth of 3 to 6 feet based on a category 4 hurricane. The map is centered a bit south of Miami when it opens but you can drag the map to anywhere along the Florida coast and this data should display.

To search on an address click “Menu” ==> Search. A search bar opens above the map.

To see the map legend, click “Map Tips” in the upper left corner and then click the “Legend” button.

To change the data overlay to a category 5 hurricane:
1. Click the basemap button (next to the “Menu” button)
2. Look under the “Overlay” heading. Mobile users scroll down.
3. Click “SRES_2017_surge_4” to turn this layer off.
4. Click “SRES_2017_surge_5” to turn that layer on.

This surge data is hosted on a GIS (Geographical Information System) server operated by the State of Florida.

Anyone can make their own custom map link.
Do it like so:
1. Make the map look on your screen the way you want it to look when it opens. You might need to wait a bit before all the surge data appears on your screen.
2. Click Menu ==> Link to this map
3. Copy that link and paste it into a browser.

Tip: If you make map links and post on social media be aware that some platforms will trash the link. For Facebook I always use a link shortener. Reddit on the other hand requires the original link.

For more tips please click "Map Tips" in the upper left corner of the map.

Florida storm surge depth map: https://bit.ly/2j6PPwz

[Steve]

WOW NWS twitter are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

WOW, that is crazy. I can't even imagine.

They hit us with that in 2005, and they got Houston with it 2 weeks ago. This was us, and yeah, it was months and years of inhabitability.

https://www.google.com/search?biw=1067& ... 29kb5c_uqE

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 071553
AF305 1711A IRMA HDOB 42 20170907
154400 2103N 06925W 6969 02992 9900 +096 +096 122112 115 082 036 00
154430 2102N 06926W 6958 02994 9878 +109 +109 128116 119 084 040 00
154500 2101N 06927W 6953 02983 9850 +119 +119 134106 119 091 015 00
154530 2059N 06929W 6976 02951 9829 +120 //// 127097 099 097 003 01
154600 2058N 06930W 6964 02956 9777 +126 +119 124101 103 100 002 00
154630 2057N 06931W 6969 02935 9762 +132 +113 126105 106 100 003 00
154700 2056N 06933W 6963 02930 9752 +123 +109 128111 113 098 001 00
154730 2055N 06934W 6974 02898 9734 +123 +105 128114 116 102 002 00
154800 2053N 06935W 6967 02882 9728 +115 //// 129121 124 106 002 01
154830 2052N 06936W 6974 02854 9709 +114 //// 129122 123 104 006 01
154900 2051N 06937W 6966 02836 9675 +109 //// 128126 128 105 003 01
154930 2050N 06939W 6968 02805 9651 +113 //// 128132 134 106 006 01
155000 2049N 06940W 6967 02775 9623 +113 //// 128137 138 112 015 01
155030 2048N 06941W 6980 02724 9583 +126 +126 131143 144 117 014 00
155100 2047N 06942W 6974 02696 9530 +126 //// 134143 144 126 003 01
155130 2046N 06943W 6960 02669 9474 +131 //// 135142 147 127 014 05
155200 2045N 06944W 6966 02617 9441 +135 //// 138128 138 146 002 05
155230 2044N 06945W 6978 02565 //// +128 //// 135117 119 147 002 05
155300 2043N 06946W 6966 02539 //// +152 //// 137108 118 105 000 05
155330 2042N 06948W 6964 02504 9262 +164 +150 135082 098 096 001 03
$$
;

147 kt FL, 147 kt SFMR. Any weakening has ceased. The destructive winds have expanded too...

[Kingslayer1254]

WOW NWS twitter are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

WOW, that is crazy. I can't even imagine.

I just went on their Twitter to see it... I didn't find it.

[jhpigott]

WOW NWS twitter, according to the TWC, are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

link? I didn't see that on NWS' twitter feed

[Aric Dunn]

So the GFS is finally inline with the rest of the models. shifts west scrapping the florida coast.

[Sanibel]

One of my best friends all the way back to childhood is in the strongest landfall zone in Cutler Bay...He said he was burned out about it but that everything was replaceable except his life...He plans to evacuate to a strong shelter in north Dade...His house is 3 blocks from the Mangroves by Biscayne Bay and he's in the A or red zone for surge...I told him some models might pull it offshore but to be honest the most accurate tracks were taking it right to him...

I'm not in too much of a different boat so we're going to stay in touch...

[Aric Dunn]

WOW NWS twitter are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

WOW, that is crazy. I can't even imagine.

They hit us with that in 2005, and they got Houston with it 2 weeks ago. This was us, and yeah, it was months and years of inhabitability.

https://www.google.com/search?biw=1067& ... 29kb5c_uqE

I would not be surprised if they did.

you have to remember there has not been a DIrect hit from a cat 4 or 5 on a major metropolitan area in modern times that I can think of. downtown miami taking cat 4 to cat 5 winds ? not good at all..

[msbee]

Good Morning
St Maarten has been hard hit by Irma.
the link below shows
considerable damage and flooding from Irma in Marigot on the French side..
https://www.rci.fm/infos/societe/les-ra ... -et-photos

I live on the Dutch side which has also had catastrophic damage
The island took a direct hit.

I do not have statistics as to the highest wind recorded as the Meteorological office has not issued a report.

I can tell you that we live in a very strong house and it felt like my house was going to explode. We definitely experienced the eye of Irma and very intense winds before and after the eye passed over us. We have every reason to believe we experienced the full force of a Cat 5 hurricane.

We suffered lot of damage but did not lose our roof.

Many people did lose roofs and we are hearing reports of many businesses being totally destroyed.

We also know there has been substantial looting.

Philipsburg the capital of the Dutch side has many businesses along the boardwalk that were demolished due to storm surge.

There was substantial flooding on both the Dutch side and the French side.


Currently the island has no power, no water, no cell phone service, and limited internet. Broadcast stations are off the air
There are Dutch Marines and French military on the island providing assistance.

This has been a heavy blow for St Maarten, but we will bounce back, as we have done before.

Thinking of our sister islands who are also experiencing the wrath of Irma.

[AutoPenalti]

According to TWC, they (TWC) said they (NWS) mentioned that in verbatim.

They mentioned that it was posted in a social media page but they didn't specify which one.

I recorded it and have it saved. I'll just try post a video on it.

[Kingslayer1254]

WOW NWS twitter are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

WOW, that is crazy. I can't even imagine.

I just went on their Twitter to see it... I didn't find it.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 071603
AF305 1711A IRMA HDOB 43 20170907
155400 2040N 06949W 6971 02475 9226 +184 +141 133059 070 073 002 03
155430 2039N 06950W 6965 02471 9218 +176 +148 130040 053 052 001 00
155500 2038N 06952W 6974 02453 9216 +171 +152 129031 038 040 002 00
155530 2036N 06953W 6963 02462 9211 +171 +150 140019 027 036 002 03
155600 2035N 06954W 6963 02464 9212 +173 +148 137009 016 032 000 03
155630 2034N 06955W 6970 02460 9223 +167 +152 233002 006 027 001 03
155700 2032N 06956W 6967 02469 9220 +175 +142 267016 021 032 001 00
155730 2031N 06957W 6964 02483 9228 +178 +142 285026 028 033 001 03
155800 2031N 06959W 6967 02480 9226 +180 +141 309019 028 /// /// 03
155830 2033N 06959W 6961 02478 9231 +166 +150 357011 014 029 001 00
155900 2035N 06958W 6972 02466 9231 +164 +155 038015 017 030 000 00
155930 2037N 06958W 6968 02467 //// +159 //// 055016 018 032 002 01
160000 2038N 06958W 6967 02465 9227 +158 //// 084021 024 034 002 05
160030 2040N 06958W 6971 02465 9223 +168 +152 086029 032 039 002 00
160100 2042N 06958W 6967 02472 9227 +169 +151 088040 047 055 002 00
160130 2044N 06958W 6972 02475 9233 +176 +145 089059 065 069 003 00
160200 2045N 06958W 6965 02501 9255 +169 +143 087083 092 106 001 03
160230 2047N 06958W 6964 02529 //// +147 //// 090103 109 /// /// 05
160300 2049N 06958W 6962 02568 //// +138 //// 090119 123 136 001 01
160330 2050N 06958W 6960 02612 9410 +147 //// 095136 140 135 012 05
$$
;

Looks like finding the true center was a challenge and winds penetrated into the eye. Cat 5 winds completely surround the eye as well.

[sponger]

[quote="GCANE"]Sun shot a very large X-Class flare yesterday and seeing some M-class flares in its wake.
Satellite disruptions are possible next couple days.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g3-watch- ... me-effects


Good grief!

[Meteorcane]

WOW NWS twitter are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

WOW, that is crazy. I can't even imagine.

I just went on their Twitter to see it... I didn't find it.

Is in their hurricane watch local statement for their east coastal zones https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwa ... ne%20watch