WPAC: MUIFA (Kabayan) - Tropical Depression

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

Re: WPAC: MUIFA (Kabayan) - Typhoon

#681 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:22 pm

StormingB81 wrote:Looks like we may get the eye wall..is that correct?

Image




SO can we expect the max winds from this storm here on the southern part of the island..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#682 Postby artist » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:29 pm

Storming I am trying to find someone that can answer you.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#683 Postby senorpepr » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:30 pm

http://navlost.eu/aero/metar/?icao=RODN ... 0&rt=metar

At 1642Z there was a peak of 76 kt (88 mph). Plenty of gusts in the 60-70s (kt)

Latest TAF out of RODN:

RODN 0419/0517 05050G70KT 1200 +SHRA BR VV008 560005 QNH2875INS
TEMPO 0419/0421 3200 SHRA BR SCT008 OVC015
BECMG 0420/0421 07060G75KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN010 OVC015 560005 QNH2866INS
TEMPO 0421/0424 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0423/0424 07070G90KT 3200 SHRA BR BKN008 OVC015 560005 QNH2865INS
BECMG 0502/0503 12080G100KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN008 560005 QNH2869INS
TEMPO 0503/0506 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0505/0506 12070G85KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN008 OVC015 560005 QNH2871INS
TEMPO 0506/0509 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0508/0509 16060G75KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN008 OVC015 560005 QNH2875INS
TEMPO 0509/0515 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0514/0515 15050G65KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN007 560005 QNH2877INS T28/0503Z T26/0421Z 041933
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

Re:

#684 Postby artist » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:31 pm

senorpepr wrote:http://navlost.eu/aero/metar/?icao=RODN&dt0=2011-08-05+00%3A00%3A00&c=50&rt=metar

At 1642Z there was a peak of 76 kt (88 mph). Plenty of gusts in the 60-70s (kt)

Latest TAF out of RODN:

RODN 0419/0517 05050G70KT 1200 +SHRA BR VV008 560005 QNH2875INS
TEMPO 0419/0421 3200 SHRA BR SCT008 OVC015
BECMG 0420/0421 07060G75KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN010 OVC015 560005 QNH2866INS
TEMPO 0421/0424 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0423/0424 07070G90KT 3200 SHRA BR BKN008 OVC015 560005 QNH2865INS
BECMG 0502/0503 12080G100KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN008 560005 QNH2869INS
TEMPO 0503/0506 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0505/0506 12070G85KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN008 OVC015 560005 QNH2871INS
TEMPO 0506/0509 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0508/0509 16060G75KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN008 OVC015 560005 QNH2875INS
TEMPO 0509/0515 0400 +SHRA VV005
BECMG 0514/0515 15050G65KT 1600 +SHRA BR BKN007 560005 QNH2877INS T28/0503Z T26/0421Z 041933

thank you for getting to this, from his image above does it look like he will get hit with the eyewall?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#685 Postby senorpepr » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:35 pm

Yeah, they may get into a bit of the eyewall, but if the current motion of 295@05kt continues, this will (relatively) reduce the chances of being in the deepest part of the eyewall. Either way, it'll still be very rainy and windy. (Understatement... I know...)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#686 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:35 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

Re:

#687 Postby artist » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:38 pm

senorpepr wrote:Yeah, they may get into a bit of the eyewall, but if the current motion of 295@05kt continues, this will (relatively) reduce the chances of being in the deepest part of the eyewall. Either way, it'll still be very rainy and windy. (Understatement... I know...)

thank you Mike!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#688 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:39 pm

thank you
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

Re:

#689 Postby artist » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:40 pm

StormingB81 wrote:thank you

how are things there for you now?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#690 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:43 pm

not to bad wind is really starting to pick up
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

Re:

#691 Postby artist » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:44 pm

StormingB81 wrote:not to bad wind is really starting to pick up

keep checking in while you can.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#692 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:49 pm

don't think its going to make much practical difference if they get the eyewall or not to be honest, the wind maxima is probably only a small difference from the background winds this storm has produced thus far...alot like Emily where it had 2-3 wind maximas of near equal strength spread throughout the storm in concentric rings.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Top
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#693 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:54 pm

so then jma says gusting to 120 knots..we may see that?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#694 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 5:13 pm

Kadena Weather just said for us to expect 16-18 inches of rain..so far according to the Kadena page we have seen 4.65 inches of rain..looking out my window I cant say we got that much but the grass is almost one big pool
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JTE50
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 336
Age: 67
Joined: Mon Jul 21, 2008 10:48 am
Location: Pensacola
Contact:
Contact JTE50

Re:

#695 Postby JTE50 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 5:17 pm

StormingB81 wrote:so then jma says gusting to 120 knots..we may see that?


At Kadena I'm just seeing gusts to low 80s (mph) right now and it's about due south of tip.
0 likes   
Top
rdhdstpchld
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 79
Joined: Mon May 09, 2011 3:47 am

#696 Postby rdhdstpchld » Thu Aug 04, 2011 5:19 pm

JAMES!!! You're a rockstar!! Just heard you chatting up Pauline on CNN...LOL! Way to go - sounded very "official" and experienced -- your momma must be so pleased! (cute accent, btw - we americans tend to think everyone should sound like us, and I too, was surprised to hear your accent)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#697 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 5:20 pm

kadena just updated the forecast saying max wing gust of 95 knots now so keeps dropping
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JTE50
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 336
Age: 67
Joined: Mon Jul 21, 2008 10:48 am
Location: Pensacola
Contact:
Contact JTE50

Re:

#698 Postby JTE50 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 5:31 pm

StormingB81 wrote:kadena just updated the forecast saying max wing gust of 95 knots now so keeps dropping


I'm watching cars driving around on a live webcam near a harbor: http://www.tomarin.com/webcam/index.php
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

Re: Re:

#699 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 04, 2011 5:33 pm

JTE50 wrote:
StormingB81 wrote:kadena just updated the forecast saying max wing gust of 95 knots now so keeps dropping


I'm watching cars driving around on a live webcam near a harbor: http://www.tomarin.com/webcam/index.php



they where driving around last time in songda where we had wind gusts reported at 125 with alot of damage...they crazy during storms..lol
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Infdidoll
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 667
Age: 47
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 8:39 pm
Location: Temecula, CA

Re: WPAC: MUIFA (Kabayan) - Typhoon

#700 Postby Infdidoll » Thu Aug 04, 2011 5:40 pm

Yeah, one of my Okinawan neighbors just took off in their car. I hope they don't have to work this morning. :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 30 guests