ATL: TEDDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#681 Postby ClarCari » Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:34 pm

When it’s eye is done reforming pressure should drop like a rock again, but stronger winds should take awhile to make it to the surface.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#682 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 18, 2020 3:32 pm

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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#683 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 3:42 pm

Teddy is still looking very impressive despite having weakened.
Image
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#684 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Fri Sep 18, 2020 3:46 pm

aspen wrote:Teddy is still looking very impressive despite having weakened.
https://i.imgur.com/Z3ToVg7.jpg


Yup, structurally, Teddy is a classic looking mature hurricane.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#685 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 4:09 pm

Look at the size of those outflow bands!
Image
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#686 Postby sikkar » Fri Sep 18, 2020 5:24 pm

Appears to be re intensifying on IR.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#687 Postby dukeblue219 » Fri Sep 18, 2020 5:37 pm

sikkar wrote:Appears to be re intensifying on IR.


I don't know my Dvorak color names by memory but there's definitely more symmetry of the heavy stuff around the core now than a few hours ago.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#688 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 5:42 pm

The NOAA plane heading to Teddy is having some connection problems, with a couple of transmission gaps on its path. I hope those don’t persist through the core passes.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#689 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Fri Sep 18, 2020 5:42 pm

Definitely improving on IR. Could he have completed his EWRC?
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#690 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 6:06 pm

Recon hasn’t been heard from in an hour. That’s not good.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#691 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 6:35 pm

Still no transmission from the NOAA plane. This is both worrying and disappointing; Teddy might be strengthening again but now we might not get direct measurements.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#692 Postby SconnieCane » Fri Sep 18, 2020 6:38 pm

Is it normal for recon to have this many problems? Am I just paying closer attention this year or is it #2020ing?
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#693 Postby ClarCari » Fri Sep 18, 2020 6:38 pm

I really hope the crew are safe and this is all just a big hiccup.

As for Teddy’s strengthening, at least the DVORAK estimates have proven to be pretty accurate for the most part. And the satellite presentation could help Teddy’s case as a stronger system.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#694 Postby FireRat » Fri Sep 18, 2020 6:43 pm

Wow, TEDDY is one amazing hurricane both structurally and sizewise. Those of you in the Virgin Islands/ Leewards must be feeling quite lucky seeing this thing headed NW, as your locales now appear in the picture safely southeast of this major hurricane.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Teddy go back up to a solid Cat 4 once again, and Cat 5 is not out of the question still.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#695 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 6:57 pm

Recon’s back! Looks like they’ve already completed their first pass.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#696 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 7:01 pm

A 9 hour old microwave pass shows an outer eyewall trying to fully close.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#697 Postby ClarCari » Fri Sep 18, 2020 7:12 pm

Some pink tops are starting to show on infrared. “Teddy is Ready” :lol: to start another bit of RI pretty soon it looks like.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#698 Postby aspen » Fri Sep 18, 2020 7:18 pm

Recon is doing swirlies but staying at flight level. If they were descending I would assume it’s another search and rescue, but since they’re not, I’m guessing they’re in the process of transmitting all the data they got from that first pass.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#699 Postby plasticup » Fri Sep 18, 2020 7:23 pm

Are we going to see a run at Cat 5 tonight?
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#700 Postby Cerlin » Fri Sep 18, 2020 7:26 pm

plasticup wrote:Are we going to see a run at Cat 5 tonight?

I think it’s possible but I’d be surprised if it did so overnight. It’s more likely for a mid cat 4 to me
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