Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[Johnny]

Just in from Jeff...

Recon just reported in with northern partial eyewall about 50 miles S of Galveston. Need to get this thing inland as it continues to rapidly develop. Max flight level winds were 45kts.

Conditions will rapidly go downhill this evening as this strong band (partial eyewall) approaches the upper TX coast.

[galvestontx13]

Latest:

look at those cloud tops. oh humberto is trying to show us whos boss.

[dwg71]

47 would be 40KT.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Going to get very nasty in Galveston

This thing being almost stationary at the current
rate of intensification will easily make a hurricane
IMO.

The flooding situation will be very nasty as well.

[mattpetre]

Going to get very nasty in Galveston

This thing being almost stationary at the current
rate of intensification will easily make a hurricane
IMO.

The flooding situation will be very nasty as well.

Oh yeah, TBH is another that stood behind this storm through thick and thin...

Yeah, despite the E. thoughts by some, I still worry about Houston metro for now (flooding wise).

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Going to get very nasty in Galveston

This thing being almost stationary at the current
rate of intensification will easily make a hurricane
IMO.

The flooding situation will be very nasty as well.

Oh yeah, TBH is another that stood behind this storm through thick and thin...

Yeah, despite the E. thoughts by some, I still worry about Houston metro for now (flooding wise).

Anything that hangs around in the gulf this time of year
will most likely form into a tropical system
And with Humberto gusts to hurricane
force are likely in galveston.

[jasons2k]

Just a reminder to please do not post one-liners such as "I agree", etc. Please read vbhoutex's post here for reference: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=97927

Also, if your post is deleted please do NOT post on the board "where did my post go??". If you need to know where it went, again, refer to the thread above. It should be self-explanatory. Thanks.

[miamicanes177]

47 would be 40KT.

if you're talking about that 47kt reading in the last set then that was SFMR and not flight level

[Wren]

Wow, can't believe this popped up. Stopped checking in for a day, and whamo. I don't think anyone would've believed invest 90L would've turned into our next named storm. Amazing.

Looks like this could cause some beach errosion. I hope that's all it is, and that's bad enough.

I'll give it a shot of no-be-cane.

[A1A]

Galveston Cam

[Chris_in_Tampa]

That was in a squall that SFMR reading.

---

URNT15 KNHC 122133
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 30 20070912
212300 2735N 09351W 8428 01593 0124 +166 +000 216028 029 023 002 00
212330 2734N 09350W 8427 01594 0123 +166 +000 217025 026 022 003 00
212400 2732N 09349W 8427 01595 0122 +168 +000 216024 024 024 004 00
212430 2731N 09347W 8426 01596 0123 +167 +000 215026 026 024 005 00
212500 2730N 09346W 8430 01594 0124 +169 +000 212027 028 021 003 00
212530 2729N 09345W 8428 01593 0124 +172 +000 214028 028 021 002 00
212600 2728N 09344W 8426 01597 0124 +174 +000 212027 027 017 002 00
212630 2727N 09342W 8427 01598 0126 +172 +000 211026 027 017 000 00
212700 2726N 09341W 8428 01597 0127 +171 +000 212026 026 014 001 00
212730 2725N 09340W 8426 01598 0127 +175 +000 215025 026 012 001 00
212800 2724N 09339W 8432 01592 0127 +175 +000 214024 025 016 000 00
212830 2722N 09337W 8428 01596 0129 +174 +000 212023 023 012 001 00
212900 2721N 09336W 8428 01598 0131 +170 +000 216023 023 014 000 00
212930 2720N 09335W 8424 01600 0131 +169 +000 217023 023 014 000 00
213000 2719N 09334W 8428 01596 0131 +168 +000 217023 023 015 001 00
213030 2718N 09332W 8427 01599 0133 +165 +000 215022 023 999 999 03
213100 2717N 09331W 8424 01602 0133 +165 +000 215021 021 028 000 03
213130 2716N 09329W 8426 01603 0132 +168 +000 212021 021 999 999 03
213200 2717N 09328W 8428 01600 0131 +168 +000 210022 022 002 003 03
213230 2719N 09328W 8431 01594 0129 +169 +000 207022 022 009 002 00

I'm out for the night, someone else can take over.

[sphelps8681]

I live in Lumberton, Tx N of Beaumont, Tx. What kind of impact do you think we will get here?

Thanks

[GalvestonDuck]

Going to get very nasty in Galveston

This thing being almost stationary at the current
rate of intensification will easily make a hurricane
IMO.

The flooding situation will be very nasty as well.

Houston typically floods much worse than we do down here. We do get occasional street flooding and it was bad during Allison. But overall, compared to Houston, we get it easy in regards to the floods. Houston is almost always on the news after a heavy rain.

The west end of the island -- Jamaica Beach -- gets some canal flooding sometimes too.

Thanks, A1A. Lots of other good webcams also -- http://www.galveston.com/webcams

[fasterdisaster]

That satellite image looks better than some hurricanes I've seen. I'm very inclined to think recon is missing the highest winds.

[dwg71]

I live in Lumberton, Tx N of Beaumont, Tx. What kind of impact do you think we will get here?

Thanks

I would expect heavy amounts of rain, wind really wont be an issue. 5 - 10 should be expected with higher in isolated spots.

[tolakram]

We are near diurnal min. Is this storm strong enough to overcome that effect, or is it possible that dmax tomorrow morning, if it's still over water, might result in a surprisingly intense system? This is a question, not a guess.

[Derek Ortt]

diurnal min has little influence on well-developed systems as th dynamics overcome the slightly more stable conditions

[flwxwatcher]

Besides the slow to little movement to Humberto, the radar signature has been improving the last several hours.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Extremeweatherguy]

The latest radar loop leaves me with no doubt in my mind that this will come ashore west of the 4pm track..probably right over Galveston island and NOT east of it. The storm also looks to be expanding some, IMO...

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... rainsnow=0

[BigA]

Besides the slow to little movement to Humberto, the radar signature has been improving the last several hours.

This concerns me. Storms which are strengthening at landfall usually have stronger winds at the surface than equally strong systems which are weakening. I really think that if this thing stays over water tonight, Cat 1 hurricane Humbeto is possible.