Tropical Depression LORENZO: Discussions & Images

[HURAKAN]

Lorenzito luce muy bien hoy.

Little Lorenzo is looking pretty good today.

Loop: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_2

[Derek Ortt]

the convection should disppear again this afternoon and then refire late in the day. the earlir convection spit out a nice outflow boundary and is collapsing, though ti did bring the TD near TS intensity. The next burst should give this the name Lorenzo

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261518
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 08 20070926
151100 2735N 09135W 3927 07747 0432 -161 -327 360019 019 999 999 03
151130 2733N 09137W 3927 07748 0433 -161 -291 358020 020 999 999 03
151200 2731N 09138W 3926 07749 0432 -165 -261 357024 024 999 999 03
151230 2729N 09140W 3927 07745 0430 -165 -275 356024 024 999 999 03
151300 2727N 09142W 3927 07745 0431 -167 -259 353022 023 999 999 03
151330 2726N 09143W 3926 07748 0432 -175 -233 352018 019 999 999 03
151400 2724N 09145W 3927 07747 0432 -171 -263 353020 020 999 999 03
151430 2722N 09147W 3926 07748 0432 -161 -269 358022 023 999 999 03
151500 2720N 09148W 3926 07749 0433 -157 -295 001022 023 999 999 03
151530 2718N 09150W 3927 07748 0434 -159 -277 002022 023 999 999 03
151600 2717N 09152W 3927 07750 0435 -165 -259 002021 023 999 999 03
151630 2715N 09153W 3927 07751 0436 -171 -265 002020 020 999 999 03
151700 2713N 09155W 3927 07751 0436 -163 -257 004022 024 999 999 03
151730 2711N 09156W 3926 07752 0436 -153 -301 005024 025 999 999 03
151800 2709N 09158W 3927 07751 0436 -155 -297 009025 025 999 999 03
151830 2707N 09200W 3927 07749 0435 -163 -265 009023 024 999 999 03
151900 2706N 09201W 3926 07751 0435 -159 -261 013024 025 999 999 03
151930 2704N 09203W 3926 07751 0435 -153 -295 013026 027 999 999 03
152000 2702N 09205W 3927 07750 0436 -163 -277 012023 025 999 999 03
152030 2700N 09206W 3927 07749 0435 -165 -289 010019 020 999 999 03

[drezee]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 26 SEP 2007 Time : 141500 UTC
Lat : 20:55:24 N Lon : 94:59:54 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.7 /1003.0mb/ 39.0kt


6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.7 2.7 2.9 3.5

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb

Center Temp : -53.9C Cloud Region Temp : -58.4C

Scene Type : CURVED BAND with 0.79 ARC in LT GRAY

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.7T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261529
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 09 20070926
152100 2658N 09208W 3926 07751 0435 -165 -293 011020 021 999 999 03
152130 2656N 09210W 3927 07750 0435 -161 -277 015023 023 999 999 03
152200 2655N 09211W 3926 07754 0437 -161 -275 018022 022 999 999 03
152230 2653N 09213W 3927 07752 0438 -155 -283 022024 024 999 999 03
152300 2651N 09215W 3927 07753 0438 -155 -287 022024 025 999 999 03
152330 2649N 09216W 3927 07753 0438 -157 -285 020022 022 999 999 03
152400 2647N 09218W 3927 07757 0442 -157 -293 022021 022 999 999 03
152430 2645N 09220W 3927 07756 0441 -159 -293 019021 022 999 999 03
152500 2643N 09221W 3926 07756 0440 -155 -303 026023 024 999 999 03
152530 2642N 09223W 3926 07757 0441 -157 -315 023022 023 999 999 03
152600 2640N 09224W 3928 07755 0443 -163 -307 014017 019 999 999 03
152630 2638N 09226W 3926 07758 0441 -161 -323 021020 020 999 999 03
152700 2636N 09228W 3926 07759 0442 -159 -301 022022 023 999 999 03
152730 2634N 09229W 3927 07757 0443 -161 -307 019020 021 999 999 03
152800 2632N 09231W 3926 07757 0441 -159 -333 020021 022 999 999 03
152830 2631N 09233W 3927 07756 0441 -161 -329 017020 021 999 999 03
152900 2629N 09234W 3927 07756 0441 -161 -317 017020 020 999 999 03
152930 2627N 09236W 3926 07759 0442 -161 -323 017020 020 999 999 03
153000 2625N 09237W 3927 07756 0442 -161 -343 012019 019 999 999 03
153030 2623N 09239W 3926 07758 0442 -161 -351 016020 020 999 999 03

[HenkL]

UZNT13 KNHC 261515
XXAA 76154 99286 70906 08280 99016 28043 09515 00139 26641 09517
92823 21440 10513 85552 16830 15007 70189 08858 08507 50589 06762
31006 40761 15966 33014 88999 77999
31313 09608 81452
61616 AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 02
62626 SPL 2862N09063W 1502 MBL WND 10017 AEV 00000 DLM WND 07503
014401 WL150 09517 086 =
XXBB 76158 99286 70906 08280 00016 28043 11951 22618 22903 20248
33850 16830 44809 15036 55802 15457 66794 16071 77780 14862 88759
14064 99725 11261 11706 09056 22690 08664 33662 05847 44650 05057
55637 03431 66556 03128 77526 04935 88500 06762 99479 08757 11469
08970 22462 09171 33404 15168 44393 17564
21212 00016 09515 11978 10018 22917 10510 33895 12508 44850 15007
55476 01003 66465 01510 77446 34510 88393 33018
31313 09608 81452
61616 AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 02
62626 SPL 2862N09063W 1502 MBL WND 10017 AEV 00000 DLM WND 07503
014401 WL150 09517 086 =


URNT11 KNHC 261517
97779 15144 41273 91800 73200 36023 66791 /5761
RMK AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 03

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261538
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 10 20070926
153100 2621N 09241W 3927 07756 0442 -165 -347 008018 018 999 999 03
153130 2620N 09242W 3926 07758 0442 -165 -339 009017 017 999 999 03
153200 2618N 09244W 3926 07758 0442 -167 -349 014018 019 999 999 03
153230 2616N 09245W 3926 07759 0443 -169 -347 015019 019 999 999 03
153300 2614N 09247W 3927 07757 0443 -165 -339 016018 018 999 999 03
153330 2612N 09249W 3927 07758 0443 -165 -329 013018 018 999 999 03
153400 2611N 09250W 3926 07760 0444 -161 -351 010018 018 999 999 03
153430 2609N 09252W 3927 07759 0445 -163 -363 012017 018 999 999 03
153500 2607N 09253W 3927 07760 0445 -163 -349 012016 017 999 999 03
153530 2605N 09255W 3926 07761 0445 -165 -327 018016 016 999 999 03
153600 2603N 09257W 3927 07760 0446 -161 -321 010017 017 999 999 03
153630 2602N 09258W 3926 07762 0446 -165 -343 016016 016 999 999 03
153700 2600N 09300W 3927 07760 0445 -163 -331 017017 017 999 999 03
153730 2558N 09301W 3926 07762 0446 -163 -339 020018 018 999 999 03
153800 2556N 09303W 3927 07761 0446 -161 -331 018018 019 999 999 03
153830 2554N 09305W 3926 07762 0445 -159 -353 018020 020 999 999 03
153900 2552N 09306W 3927 07761 0446 -161 -365 020019 019 999 999 03
153930 2551N 09308W 3927 07761 0447 -161 -341 022018 018 999 999 03
154000 2549N 09309W 3927 07758 0443 -163 -339 024017 018 999 999 03
154030 2547N 09311W 3927 07756 0441 -165 -319 022019 019 999 999 03

[dwg71]

I dont think this will be out in the gulf as long as many expect. I think it will be inland with 24-36 hours. And I would give it 50/50 on getting a name.

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261548
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 11 20070926
154100 2545N 09313W 3927 07755 0441 -163 -309 021017 018 999 999 03
154130 2543N 09314W 3926 07757 0441 -161 -351 024017 018 999 999 03
154200 2541N 09316W 3926 07756 0440 -159 -353 022019 020 999 999 03
154230 2540N 09317W 3927 07755 0440 -157 -351 020021 022 999 999 03
154300 2538N 09319W 3926 07754 0438 -159 -357 019022 022 999 999 03
154330 2536N 09321W 3928 07752 0439 -159 -345 018022 022 999 999 03
154400 2534N 09322W 3926 07754 0438 -157 -351 021023 024 999 999 03
154430 2532N 09324W 3927 07754 0439 -157 -363 022024 025 999 999 03
154500 2530N 09326W 3927 07754 0439 -157 -347 021025 025 999 999 03
154530 2528N 09327W 3927 07754 0439 -157 -341 022025 025 999 999 03
154600 2526N 09329W 3926 07755 0438 -155 -343 022026 026 999 999 03
154630 2525N 09330W 3926 07754 0438 -155 -343 022026 026 999 999 03
154700 2523N 09332W 3927 07752 0438 -159 -341 024024 025 999 999 03
154730 2521N 09334W 3927 07752 0437 -161 -329 028025 025 999 999 03
154800 2519N 09335W 3926 07753 0437 -161 -329 028025 026 999 999 03
154830 2517N 09337W 3927 07749 0435 -161 -327 031027 028 999 999 03
154900 2515N 09339W 3927 07749 0434 -161 -321 030027 028 999 999 03
154930 2513N 09340W 3926 07749 0433 -159 -331 029028 028 999 999 03
155000 2511N 09342W 3927 07748 0433 -157 -337 029028 029 999 999 03
155030 2509N 09344W 3926 07749 0433 -155 -335 029029 029 999 999 03

[HURAKAN]

To me it looks like it's already Lorenzo. Nevertheless, I have learned from pre-Claudette and pre-Erin how satellite images can trick you!!

[HenkL]

URNT11 KNHC 261550
97779 15464 41254 93500 73100 03024 66841 /5761
RMK AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 04


URNT15 KNHC 261558
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 12 20070926
155100 2508N 09345W 3927 07748 0433 -157 -333 029029 030 999 999 03
155130 2506N 09347W 3927 07749 0434 -157 -333 029028 029 999 999 03
155200 2504N 09348W 3927 07749 0434 -159 -323 030027 028 999 999 03
155230 2502N 09350W 3927 07749 0435 -161 -309 033027 027 999 999 03
155300 2500N 09352W 3927 07750 0435 -161 -307 033027 027 999 999 03
155330 2458N 09353W 3923 07760 0439 -161 -319 032025 026 999 999 03
155400 2456N 09353W 3929 07755 0444 -159 -361 029022 022 999 999 03
155430 2453N 09352W 3926 07753 0437 -161 -353 027022 022 999 999 03
155500 2451N 09352W 3927 07752 0437 -161 -349 030022 022 999 999 03
155530 2449N 09351W 3926 07753 0437 -163 -351 029023 023 999 999 03
155600 2446N 09351W 3927 07751 0436 -165 -355 029024 024 999 999 03
155630 2444N 09351W 3927 07751 0436 -163 -353 030023 024 999 999 03
155700 2442N 09350W 3926 07753 0436 -165 -361 031023 023 999 999 03
155730 2439N 09350W 3927 07751 0436 -165 -369 034022 023 999 999 03
155800 2437N 09349W 3927 07750 0435 -161 -353 037022 022 999 999 03
155830 2435N 09349W 3927 07751 0436 -165 -337 037022 022 999 999 03
155900 2433N 09348W 3926 07754 0438 -165 -343 037023 023 999 999 03
155930 2430N 09348W 3927 07751 0436 -163 -347 034022 023 999 999 03
160000 2428N 09348W 3927 07747 0432 -161 -345 031021 021 999 999 03
160030 2426N 09347W 3927 07747 0432 -163 -339 032021 022 999 999 03

[CrazyC83]

Current Intensity Analysis




UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 26 SEP 2007 Time : 151500 UTC
Lat : 11:55:02 N Lon : 42:56:32 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.2 /1001.0mb/ 49.0kt


6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.2 3.2 3.5 3.9

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +3.4mb

Center Temp : -68.8C Cloud Region Temp : -60.5C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.5T/hour
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

****************************************************

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261608
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 13 20070926
160100 2423N 09347W 3926 07749 0433 -161 -335 032020 021 999 999 03
160130 2421N 09346W 3927 07749 0434 -161 -349 032020 020 999 999 03
160200 2419N 09346W 3927 07749 0434 -161 -361 032020 020 999 999 03
160230 2417N 09345W 3927 07747 0432 -163 -353 031020 020 999 999 03
160300 2414N 09345W 3927 07750 0435 -161 -355 033020 020 999 999 03
160330 2412N 09345W 3927 07751 0436 -161 -365 035020 020 999 999 03
160400 2410N 09344W 3926 07754 0437 -163 -365 038021 021 999 999 03
160430 2408N 09344W 3927 07752 0438 -163 -357 040019 020 999 999 03
160500 2405N 09343W 3926 07755 0439 -165 -345 039020 021 999 999 03
160530 2403N 09343W 3926 07752 0436 -165 -345 039022 023 999 999 03
160600 2401N 09342W 3927 07754 0439 -165 -357 038023 024 999 999 03
160630 2358N 09342W 3926 07758 0441 -165 -355 038024 025 999 999 03
160700 2356N 09342W 3928 07753 0440 -165 -357 038024 025 999 999 03
160730 2354N 09341W 3926 07756 0440 -161 -363 041024 024 999 999 03
160800 2352N 09341W 3927 07753 0438 -161 -365 041024 024 999 999 03
160830 2349N 09340W 3926 07751 0435 -163 -359 039025 025 999 999 03
160900 2347N 09340W 3927 07745 0431 -165 -363 037026 026 999 999 03
160930 2345N 09339W 3927 07742 0427 -167 -333 035023 025 999 999 03
161000 2342N 09339W 3927 07738 0423 -171 -275 036023 023 999 999 03
161030 2340N 09339W 3926 07737 0421 -171 -279 040023 024 999 999 03

[HenkL]

URNT11 KNHC 261617
97779 16164 41232 93600 71900 05017 66711 /5762
RMK AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 05


URNT15 KNHC 261618
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 14 20070926
161100 2338N 09338W 3927 07732 0417 -167 -283 040024 025 999 999 03
161130 2336N 09338W 3927 07730 0415 -167 -277 039021 022 999 999 03
161200 2333N 09337W 3926 07732 0416 -167 -267 036021 022 999 999 03
161230 2331N 09337W 3928 07727 0414 -169 -271 040017 019 999 999 03
161300 2329N 09336W 3926 07725 0409 -171 -231 046016 016 999 999 03
161330 2327N 09336W 3927 07721 0406 -171 -253 045016 016 999 999 03
161400 2324N 09336W 3926 07719 0403 -171 -229 044016 016 999 999 03
161430 2322N 09335W 3927 07714 0399 -169 -241 046014 015 999 999 03
161500 2320N 09335W 3927 07713 0398 -167 -253 044014 015 999 999 03
161530 2318N 09334W 3928 07711 0398 -165 -279 040013 014 999 999 03
161600 2315N 09334W 3972 07657 0422 -161 -241 044015 017 999 999 03
161630 2313N 09334W 4052 07531 0437 -151 -209 048016 017 999 999 03
161700 2311N 09333W 4113 07416 0428 -143 -203 050016 017 999 999 03
161730 2308N 09333W 4202 07258 0423 -131 -179 055016 017 999 999 03
161800 2306N 09332W 4323 07040 0408 -119 -149 075016 017 999 999 03
161830 2304N 09332W 4423 06863 0396 -111 -137 072016 016 999 999 03
161900 2302N 09331W 4535 06665 0378 -095 -123 070015 016 999 999 03
161930 2300N 09331W 4621 06516 0365 -091 -107 087019 020 999 999 03
162000 2258N 09331W 4651 06461 0357 -091 -103 086019 021 999 999 03
162030 2256N 09330W 4656 06449 0353 -085 -105 093013 014 999 999 03

[CrazyC83]

098
URNT15 KNHC 261628
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 15 20070926
162100 2254N 09330W 4656 06448 0352 -085 -107 091010 011 999 999 03
162130 2252N 09330W 4656 06447 0351 -091 -097 084010 011 999 999 03
162200 2250N 09329W 4656 06447 0352 -089 -095 088011 012 999 999 03
162230 2249N 09329W 4656 06447 0351 -091 -093 084012 013 999 999 03
162300 2247N 09329W 4655 06448 0351 -089 -095 085015 017 999 999 03
162330 2245N 09328W 4656 06447 0351 -085 -099 097019 020 999 999 03
162400 2243N 09328W 4690 06400 0357 -085 -095 089020 020 999 999 03
162430 2241N 09327W 4920 06035 0343 -067 -069 088017 019 999 999 03
162500 2238N 09327W 5153 05671 0320 -045 -053 074014 016 999 999 03
162530 2236N 09327W 5359 05358 0299 -023 -039 080015 016 999 999 03
162600 2234N 09326W 5529 05105 0110 -013 -029 125016 017 999 999 03
162630 2232N 09326W 5643 04939 0127 -013 -013 110013 013 999 999 03
162700 2229N 09325W 5800 04721 0116 +008 -013 098013 014 999 999 03
162730 2227N 09325W 6027 04413 0125 +024 -003 087011 012 999 999 03
162800 2225N 09325W 6248 04123 0135 +038 +010 094009 010 999 999 03
162830 2223N 09324W 6470 03841 0146 +052 +018 117010 011 999 999 03
162900 2220N 09324W 6691 03564 0149 +066 +028 129008 009 999 999 03
162930 2218N 09323W 6902 03306 0152 +078 +044 136009 010 999 999 03
163000 2216N 09323W 7026 03156 0148 +088 +054 150011 012 999 999 03
163030 2214N 09322W 7191 02955 0145 +094 +072 172012 013 999 999 03
$$

Descending towards operational altitude.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261638
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 16 20070926
163100 2212N 09322W 7467 02638 0144 +110 +088 167013 013 999 999 03
163130 2209N 09322W 7698 02380 0136 +132 +088 181017 019 999 999 03
163200 2207N 09321W 7879 02184 0140 +138 +120 161018 018 999 999 03
163230 2205N 09321W 8086 01962 0135 +156 +122 164018 019 999 999 03
163300 2203N 09321W 8301 01734 0129 +168 +146 160015 016 999 999 03
163330 2201N 09320W 8510 01519 0129 +176 +176 150013 014 999 999 05
163400 2159N 09319W 8647 01381 0126 +186 +186 149012 013 999 999 05
163430 2159N 09317W 8788 01240 0127 +190 +190 157015 015 999 999 05
163500 2200N 09315W 9082 00962 0137 +202 +202 160015 016 999 999 05
163530 2201N 09313W 9402 00652 0130 +210 +206 155014 015 999 999 03
163600 2203N 09313W 9566 00492 0120 +216 +210 153015 015 999 999 03
163630 2204N 09314W 9598 00459 0114 +224 +214 136012 014 999 999 03
163700 2203N 09316W 9603 00456 0118 +212 +212 122015 016 999 999 03
163730 2202N 09317W 9678 00396 0126 +220 +214 112014 014 999 999 03
163800 2201N 09318W 9700 00375 0124 +226 +214 105013 015 999 999 03
163830 2200N 09320W 9702 00372 0122 +228 +228 113014 014 999 999 03
163900 2159N 09321W 9699 00376 0122 +234 +234 130017 017 999 999 05
163930 2158N 09322W 9700 00373 0120 +232 +232 139017 017 999 999 05
164000 2157N 09324W 9700 00372 0120 +230 +230 136016 017 999 999 05
164030 2156N 09325W 9699 00373 0120 +226 +226 140017 017 999 999 05
$$

Now at operational altitude.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261648
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 17 20070926
164100 2155N 09326W 9700 00372 0120 +226 +226 132016 017 999 999 03
164130 2154N 09328W 9700 00372 0120 +226 +226 127016 016 999 999 03
164200 2153N 09329W 9701 00371 0120 +226 +226 122014 015 999 999 03
164230 2152N 09330W 9701 00371 0120 +228 +226 122014 014 999 999 03
164300 2151N 09332W 9700 00372 0120 +228 +226 124013 013 999 999 03
164330 2150N 09333W 9700 00372 0120 +226 +224 126012 013 999 999 03
164400 2149N 09334W 9699 00373 0120 +228 +224 127013 014 999 999 03
164430 2148N 09336W 9701 00371 0120 +226 +226 127013 014 999 999 03
164500 2147N 09337W 9701 00371 0120 +230 +224 124013 013 999 999 03
164530 2146N 09338W 9698 00374 0120 +228 +228 119014 016 999 999 03
164600 2145N 09340W 9734 00342 0120 +230 +230 118015 016 999 999 03
164630 2144N 09341W 9769 00309 0118 +232 +232 118014 015 999 999 03
164700 2143N 09342W 9772 00305 0117 +234 +232 115013 014 999 999 03
164730 2142N 09344W 9771 00306 0117 +234 +230 111014 014 999 999 03
164800 2141N 09345W 9771 00305 0116 +234 +234 116015 015 999 999 03
164830 2140N 09346W 9772 00304 0116 +236 +230 119015 015 999 999 03
164900 2139N 09347W 9771 00305 0116 +236 +226 116015 016 999 999 03
164930 2138N 09349W 9771 00304 0115 +236 +230 113016 016 999 999 03
165000 2137N 09350W 9771 00303 0114 +232 +232 112017 018 999 999 03
165030 2136N 09351W 9772 00302 0114 +232 +232 110018 018 999 999 03
$$

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261658
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 18 20070926
165100 2135N 09353W 9770 00304 0114 +234 +234 126015 016 999 999 03
165130 2134N 09354W 9772 00301 0113 +232 +230 126014 015 999 999 03
165200 2133N 09355W 9770 00303 0113 +234 +226 119016 018 999 999 03
165230 2132N 09357W 9772 00301 0113 +234 +228 114017 018 999 999 03
165300 2131N 09358W 9771 00301 0112 +232 +230 113017 017 999 999 03
165330 2130N 09359W 9772 00299 0110 +236 +226 110017 017 999 999 03
165400 2129N 09401W 9770 00300 0110 +230 +230 108018 019 999 999 03
165430 2128N 09402W 9772 00298 0109 +232 +232 108019 019 999 999 03
165500 2127N 09403W 9769 00301 0109 +230 +230 101019 020 999 999 03
165530 2126N 09405W 9767 00302 0110 +228 +228 110020 023 999 999 03
165600 2124N 09405W 9777 00293 0108 +232 +232 126013 015 999 999 03
165630 2123N 09406W 9771 00297 0107 +232 +226 114010 012 999 999 03
165700 2122N 09407W 9772 00294 0105 +230 +222 100012 014 999 999 03
165730 2120N 09408W 9769 00297 0105 +232 +224 088010 013 999 999 03
165800 2119N 09410W 9772 00295 0107 +226 +226 066008 008 999 999 03
165830 2118N 09411W 9771 00296 0107 +226 +226 056006 007 999 999 03
165900 2117N 09412W 9772 00295 0107 +226 +226 085003 003 999 999 03
165930 2116N 09413W 9771 00296 0107 +224 +224 086003 004 999 999 03
170000 2114N 09415W 9771 00297 0108 +226 +226 110004 005 999 999 03
170030 2114N 09415W 9771 00296 0107 +226 +226 102005 005 999 999 03
$$

23 kt FL so far.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261708
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 19 20070926
170100 2112N 09416W 9771 00296 0107 +226 +226 149003 003 999 999 03
170130 2111N 09418W 9771 00296 0106 +232 +232 262004 005 999 999 03
170200 2110N 09419W 9771 00296 0105 +238 +222 289005 006 999 999 03
170230 2109N 09420W 9771 00297 0107 +236 +222 305006 006 999 999 03
170300 2108N 09421W 9771 00297 0107 +234 +226 309006 006 999 999 03
170330 2107N 09422W 9772 00296 0107 +232 +222 319007 008 999 999 03
170400 2106N 09423W 9771 00297 0107 +232 +220 323008 008 999 999 03
170430 2105N 09424W 9771 00297 0107 +232 +218 326008 008 999 999 03
170500 2103N 09426W 9771 00297 0107 +238 +210 321009 009 999 999 03
170530 2102N 09427W 9771 00297 0107 +240 +208 332009 010 999 999 03
170600 2102N 09428W 9772 00296 0107 +234 +214 339010 010 999 999 03
170630 2101N 09430W 9771 00298 0108 +234 +216 340009 009 999 999 03
170700 2100N 09431W 9772 00297 0108 +234 +220 339010 010 999 999 03
170730 2059N 09433W 9771 00299 0110 +230 +224 344010 010 999 999 03
170800 2058N 09434W 9771 00299 0109 +232 +226 348009 010 999 999 03
170830 2057N 09435W 9771 00299 0109 +232 +228 353009 010 999 999 03
170900 2056N 09437W 9771 00299 0109 +232 +228 358009 009 999 999 03
170930 2056N 09438W 9771 00299 0110 +230 +230 360009 009 999 999 03
171000 2055N 09440W 9771 00299 0109 +234 +228 356009 009 999 999 03
171030 2054N 09441W 9771 00299 0110 +230 +230 357009 010 999 999 03
$$

[Thunder44]

Current Intensity Analysis




UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 26 SEP 2007 Time : 151500 UTC
Lat : 11:55:02 N Lon : 42:56:32 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.2 /1001.0mb/ 49.0kt


6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.2 3.2 3.5 3.9

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +3.4mb

Center Temp : -68.8C Cloud Region Temp : -60.5C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.5T/hour
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

****************************************************

It looks like recon they just made a pass over the center. Lowest extrap pressure was 1010.5mb