ATL: IKE Discussion

[Extremeweatherguy]

If the 11pm track is correct, then this will be a very bad storm from the Texas coast all the way up through Dallas and even into Oklahoma and beyond! We could be looking at a big wind event for cities such as Houston and Victoria, followed by an extreme rainfall and possible tornado threat for Austin, Dallas and Oklahoma City. Nasty! Nasty! Nasty!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/ ... 15W_sm.gif

This could very well be one of the worst tropical systems to affect all of the above mentioned areas in many, many years..

Are you going to chase Ike?

I'm not sure yet, but I am thinking probably not. I will most likely just let Ike come to me here in Oklahoma as a weaker storm instead of heading to the TX coast and getting stuck in that chaotic mess of evacuations and panic they are likely going to be experiencing down there in and around Houston, Galveston and the surrounding communities as the week progresses. I could always change my mind at the last minute, but at the moment there is definitely a much higher chance that I will not be chasing this one.

[cycloneye]

Attention to all:

There is a server problem,but already the administrators are on top of it trying to resolve it as soon as possible so lets be patient.Lets not post graphics while the problem is on to not make things worse.Thanks to all for your cooperation.

[CajunMama]

We know there's a problem with the board so let's not keep posting that there's a problem. We're working on it.

[AZRainman]

I believe if you analyzed your September 4th shot more closely you would see that it isn't a small eye but is rather a larger surface eye partly occluded by the upper cloud tops.

I picked that example for a reason, and I presume you don't really know who I am though, so fair enough lol
Yes, it was a small eye in that Sept. 4th image e.g. went from 65knts to 125knts less than 12 hours.

15NM eye as of now = look at the T-index plummet.

[texascanetracker]

I have been following Hurricanes for many years now and have seen these fronts in September many times before and cannot believe one of them wont pull IKE nothward before he gets too far west. We are still looking at 3 days away and error is 150 miles. The fact that he is slowing down worries me.

[Texas Snowman]

Another thing that is setting portions of Texas up for a bad weekend - the moisture and remnants of Lowell in EPAC are going to move towards Texas it appears.

I would think that will only enhance the inland flooding threat from Ike.

I remember back in the 1980s when the remains of three EPAC storms in a row made their way into N. Texas to interact with strong frontal passages. Official rainfall in Sherman was in the order of 31 inches for the month of October that year and there was some really bad flooding.

We need rain in Texas, but Ike (and Lowell) may bring too much of a good thing.

[Sanibel]

Now it's going to do it again.

Interesting. I often get clobbered for suggesting hurricane personalities. Strange traits that seem to define and accompany a storm. What you are talking about is an example. One small eye RI followed by another because the hurricane shows that as a trait. I won't argue your prediction because the west track will probably allow Ike to buffer any dry air with tropical air taken up from the south and carpeted before it. The archives also show high end systems under a ridge on this track. The loop current won't hurt either.

[MHurricanes]

Ike appears to have kicked into overdrive. Reds exploding everywhere.

- MHurricanes

[Stormcenter]

I have been following Hurricanes for many years now and have seen these fronts in September many times before and cannot believe one of them wont pull IKE nothward before he gets too far west. We are still looking at 3 days away and error is 150 miles. The fact that he is slowing down worries me.

Well it didn't happen with Rita and that was in late September.

[SoupBone]

Ike appears to have kicked into overdrive. Reds exploding everywhere.

- MHurricanes

Overdrive with Reds but snailing it speed wise.

[HurricaneRobert]

This is what Ike is starting to look like:

http://www.tropmet.com/images/gallery%2 ... n_000.jpeg

[HouTXmetro]

Per the moderators previous request, the board is expiriencing problems... PLEASE STOP POSTING GRAPHICS until the problem is fixed.

[Category 5]

Ike appears to have kicked into overdrive. Reds exploding everywhere.

- MHurricanes

Overdrive with Reds but snailing it speed wise.

Again, 9mph is NOT a snails pace. It's not fast, but it's not a snails pace.

[Weatherfreak000]

Im seeing alot slower then 9 Mph...unsure of how exactly slow it's moving though.

[CronkPSU]

looks like whatever that was outside the inner wall that seperated it from the other larger convection area is breaking down and about to rejoin the inner core

[HurricaneRobert]

Per the moderators previous request, the board is expiriencing problems... PLEASE STOP POSTING GRAPHICS until the problem is fixed.

Images are not hosted on the site, so what does it matter?

[attallaman]

We know there's a problem with the board so let's not keep posting that there's a problem. We're working on it.

I was beginning to think there was something wrong with my computer, the pages are downloading very slow but thanks for the info.

[Aristotle]

What storm was that a pic of anyway?

[attallaman]

I heard Cantore tonight on TWC say that Ike could possibly end up being a larger sized storm than Katrina, not a stronger storm but a larger storm, possibly 500 miles across.

[chris_fit]

Kind of just sitting there per Radar...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes