ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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senorpepr
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#7061 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:30 am

Stay on topic folks...

Back to Dolly...
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americanrebel

Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7062 Postby americanrebel » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:31 am

So was wondering what he Trough to the North of us is doing? Is it coming down fast enough to draw Dolly up like some of us were thinking? Since it looks like Dolly has decided to stop and just spin in one spot for a while.
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#7063 Postby fasterdisaster » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:35 am

Could this stalling delay landfall a few more hours? Maybe 1 PM cst instead of 10 AM?
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7064 Postby Hurricaneman13 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:35 am

Derek, do you think it will be stronger than 90 mph?
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Re:

#7065 Postby raindrops68 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:39 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:She's getting ready to move W or WNW. I hope she forms another strong rain band to her north by tomorrow, Houston needs the rain!

I second that HurricaneHunter 8-)
Even up here in Montgomery county we are pretty dry but Im feeling really bad for Wharton county too.
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#7066 Postby Pebbles » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:39 am

Speaking of wierd landfall happenings.. has anyone seen this?

http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/cent4km/v2/

Now while every instinct in me screams no way! I've seen such skirting of land a few times by Jamaica and Cuba. So I just can't say it's ..to use a recently debated quote... "out of the realm of possibility".

Edit: whoops.. run the simulated radar loop
Last edited by Pebbles on Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:42 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#7067 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:40 am

there is no denying the fact that she is starting to strengthen ... with that core and wind feild expanding and deepeing..
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7068 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:40 am

It won't go any further than CC...IMHO.
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#7069 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:41 am

Image
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7070 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:42 am

I just don't buy the skirting up the coast theory some are still hanging on to.
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Re:

#7071 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:43 am

Pebbles wrote:Speaking of wierd landfall happenings.. has anyone seen this?

http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/cent4km/v2/

Now while every instinct in me screams no way! I've seen such skirting of land a few times by Jamica and Cuba. So I just can't say it's ..to use a recently debated quote... "out of the realm of possibility".

Edit: whoops.. run the simulated radar loop

The one thing I like about that loop is that it dumps alot of rain in my area. If she were to skirt the coast like that, stronger than cat-2 status would be very possible. Then again, that is highly unlikely at this point.
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Re:

#7072 Postby dhsgal » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:45 am

Pebbles wrote:Speaking of wierd landfall happenings.. has anyone seen this?

http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/cent4km/v2/

Now while every instinct in me screams no way! I've seen such skirting of land a few times by Jamaica and Cuba. So I just can't say it's ..to use a recently debated quote... "out of the realm of possibility".

Edit: whoops.. run the simulated radar loop


new here...where do I click once I get to web site to see what your looking at?
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7073 Postby dhsgal » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:46 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:It won't go any further than CC...IMHO.


what do you *think* the impact will be in Port Aransas? Have a kid down there taking advantage of the surf
conditions..thanks in advance.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7074 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:48 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/avn.jpg

If it wraps those reds around that eye and the eye starts clearing out. Then things could become very interesting. It could strengthen again later tonight and become a cat2 by 11am or so.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7075 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:48 am

Yea, you're right anything is possible (Astros went to the World Series). But Dolly won't be skirting north up the coast past CC into Freeport or whatever. If she does, then...Well, better not. Anything is possible! :P

EDIT: Any further meaning eye landfall.
Last edited by Wx_Warrior on Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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americanrebel

Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7076 Postby americanrebel » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:51 am

So some of you think it might make it up to Corpus Christi, that is a big difference than what a lot of you were saying this morning. Well she could do like Humberto (I think it was him last year that decided to intensify quickly and stay off shore until Sabine Pass.) or Rita and skirt the Coast until she has no wheres to go but into land. i.e. Galveston Bay, Sabine Bass.
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Re: Re:

#7077 Postby Pebbles » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:54 am

dhsgal wrote:new here...where do I click once I get to web site to see what your looking at?


On the left hand side.. you'll see where it say simulated radar. The boxes under there.
BTW.. this is very experimental... don't take it to heart. I only brought it up to perk up the late night discussion a bit as it tends to get quiet and the wierd landfall talk had come up.
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Re: Re:

#7078 Postby dhsgal » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:56 am

Pebbles wrote:
dhsgal wrote:new here...where do I click once I get to web site to see what your looking at?


On the left hand side.. you'll see where it say simulated radar. The boxes under there.
BTW.. this is very experimental... don't take it to heart. I only brought it up to perk up the late night discussion a bit as it tends to get quiet and the wierd landfall talk had come up.


Thanks, I am trying to learn since I am in the business of the aftermath of mother natures destruction!
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7079 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:58 am

Sabine Pass...And no, it will not do that.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7080 Postby ekal » Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:58 am

74 knots at the surface found via dropsonde...check recon thread.
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