Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Stratton23]

Cpv17 warm up to the end of January , first week of february is at least starting to look a little more interesting, ensembles are trying to pull back the ridge over alaska, though with more of a stronger se ridge in play as well , its definitely showing in the operational runs, I think winter isnt done just yet, could have a big battle zone over the middle of the country in february

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 warm up to the end of January , first week of february is at least starting to look a little more interesting, ensembles are trying to pull back the ridge over alaska, though with more of a stronger se ridge in play as well , its definitely showing in the operational runs, I think winter isnt done just yet, could have a big battle zone over the middle of the country in february

Interesting, I just saw that Euro run. Wonder of it has any support on the other models and what the MJO will be like during that period. I’m always trying to look ahead for the next interesting event.

[txtwister78]

Active southern jet provides opportunities to cash in on some more rain across SC TX points east starting this weekend extending into next week perhaps.

[Portastorm]

Active southern jet provides opportunities to cash in on some more rain across SC TX points east starting this weekend extending into next week perhaps.

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-deterministic/conus/qpf_anom_5day/1737547200/1738432800-R8tznn2872c.png

That looks beautiful! Bring it on considering much of south central Texas has severe to extreme drought conditions.

[Stratton23]

Yall can have all the rain, i personally would love a few weeks of dry weather, dont need another drop of rain here, hope to see that green on the ensemble shift further west over time

[Cpv17]

Yall can have all the rain, i personally would love a few weeks of dry weather, dont need another drop of rain here, hope to see that green on the ensemble shift further west over time

Don’t need the rain at my house either, but as long as I don’t have a lake around my house then I’ll never turn down rain.

[Stratton23]

Cpv17 yeah i wouldnt mind more rain if it wasnt for the fact that our lawn and backyard is all muddy and slushy from the melted snow, its icky lol, need a good week of dry weather

[CaptinCrunch]

It was a winter storm for the ages across the Gulf Coast from TX to Virginia, and looking at the models from the 96 hour out most did very well with dynamics and P types. No question this has been a upside down Winter. Alaska basically snow starved (by January standards) and the GC wrapped in a fluffy white embrace.

As I made the comment 2 weeks ago when we had our first snow that our cold may last till Mid February, and we are starting to see the models pick up on that. Our winter isn't over, and I've seen a few Valentine's Snows before.

[Stratton23]

Strong upper level low on the 18z GFS At day 9, widespread rains over central and se texas followed by a mixed back of precip on the backside of the low up near college station and east texas

[Cpv17]

It was a winter storm for the ages across the Gulf Coast from TX to Virginia, and looking at the models from the 96 hour out most did very well with dynamics and P types. No question this has been a upside down Winter. Alaska basically snow starved (by January standards) and the GC wrapped in a fluffy white embrace.

As I made the comment 2 weeks ago when we had our first snow that our cold may last till Mid February, and we are starting to see the models pick up on that. Our winter isn't over, and I've seen a few Valentine's Snows before.

I hope you’re right.

[Cpv17]

Strong upper level low on the 18z GFS At day 9, widespread rains over central and se texas followed by a mixed back of precip on the backside of the low up near college station and east texas

I just looked at the 12z Euro 500mb forecast. Yeah, that’s a massive ridge over Alaska. Wasn’t expecting the EPO to do that. Hopefully it pans out. It’ll be 90°F here again before we know it.

[WinterMax]

We had between 8 and 10 inches in Ville Platte La. I enjoyed it but I was not to happy to wake up to 6 degrees this morning in south central Louisiana. At my age my excitement dwindles faster. My electricity went out for an hour in the middle of almost blizzard conditions, I began to be concerned.

It all worked out the electricity came back on an hour later, they are pretty good down here about rushing out to repair outages. In a rural area like this it was a blessing.

I never thought Harp would get more snow than me, yet here we are, lol.

Happy for all of you that cashed in, but like everything else, it fades away.

[Stratton23]

Cpv17 yup we know it wont be long before the big summer suck sets in, EPS has the EPO going negative again after the first of february, WPO is still negative as well, think winter still has some cards left in the deck for texas

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 yup we know it wont be long before the big summer suck sets in, EPS has the EPO going negative again after the first of february, WPO is still negative as well, think winter still has some cards left in the deck for texas

One thing that looks concerning on the ensembles is the SE ridge looks to be extended into Texas during that timeframe. Yeah, let’s hope not.

[txtwister78]

Cpv17 yup we know it wont be long before the big summer suck sets in, EPS has the EPO going negative again after the first of february, WPO is still negative as well, think winter still has some cards left in the deck for texas

Really need to see that AO cooperate though (neutral or preferably negative) or I think the bulk of the cold will stay bottled up further north for the most part even if we see a return of the negative EPO signal into the first part of February as the 12z Euro OP/ensemble suggest.

SE ridge will resist as well and so while there may be some signals for cold down the road (Euro), I think we need more to come together than just the EPO alone to feel more confident about cold making a return further south as opposed to keeping most of the action across the Midwest.

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 yup we know it wont be long before the big summer suck sets in, EPS has the EPO going negative again after the first of february, WPO is still negative as well, think winter still has some cards left in the deck for texas

Really need to see that AO cooperate though (neutral or preferably negative) or I think the bulk of the cold will stay bottled up further north for the most part even if we see a return of the negative EPO signal into the first part of February as the 12z Euro OP/ensemble suggest.

SE ridge will resist as well and so while there may be some signals for cold down the road (Euro), I think we need more to come together than just the EPO alone to feel more confident about cold making a return further south as opposed to keeping most of the action across the Midwest.

That’s a good point about the AO.

[Stratton23]

txtwister78 EPS also has the WPO going negative, that would probably help us even with resistance from the SE ridge, AO is positive but not crazy positive, just wanna see that get to at least neutral territory

[HockeyTx82]

Just a regular day and downtown New Orleans

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DFHVgzAO ... Y5ag%3D%3D

Fitting I would post and find this seeing what my name is on here

[Ralph's Weather]

This has been a persistently -EPO winter making it very easy to get cold down into TX. That alone can get us cold and add a SE ridge traps storms. If we can get an upper low at that time then we can cash in.

[Texas Snow]

Haven’t followed much in past week because i was out of town and knew i was out of the snow running plus i got a few inches last week to hold me over.

Gotta say i find myself truly happy for you gulf coasters. It was just last week one of you from Louisiana asked if hope was again fading and I remember thinking to myself these poor folks always get their hopes up and yet NOTHING ever happens.

Well it Happened, in mother load fashion! Congrats!!!