WPAC: MUIFA (Kabayan) - Tropical Depression

[euro6208]

TYPH0OON (TY) 11W (MUIFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 705 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AIR BASE, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

oopps i don't think muifa is 705 miles from kadena lol

[StormingB81]

If we were feeling this from teh storm and it was 705 miles away id be scared what the center had in store

[Infdidoll]

My Muifa footage part 2, taken from 9-10 a.m. (a few hours ago)...

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=moRDAT7mUxs[/youtube]

[rdhdstpchld]

Yes it will rdhd

thanks - just wondering what to expect.

[artist]

My Muifa footage part 2, taken from 9-10 a.m. (a few hours ago)...

some more great footage there. Thank you for sharing! I hate the sounds they make. lol

[Chacor]

Kadena hasn't reported a METAR for about 15 minutes... but their pressure gauge got taken out around 5 am local time this morning.

The storm also took out the JMA's station at Kitahara:
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/amedas_h/today- ... eaCode=000

[Chacor]

JTWC has reissued its 03z warning with an updated position:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 25.4N 127.6E.
TYPH0OON (TY) 11W (MUIFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AIR BASE, JAPAN

JTWC CPA to Kadena is 0700 UTC, or 1600 local time.

[rdhdstpchld]

Navy is saying CPA at noon -- ?

[supercane]

Gust up to 86 mph (75kt) at Kadena:
RODN 050324Z AUTO 08044G75KT 1600 -RA BR VV010 26/26 RMK AO2 PK WND 07075/0317 SLPNO $
Updated Typhoon Timeline from Kadena Weather:

Latest SAB Dvorak intensity estimate at 4.5/77kt:
TXPQ29 KNES 050318
TCSWNP
A. 11W (MUIFA)
B. 05/0230Z
C. 25.5N
D. 127.6E
E. ONE/MTSAT
F. T4.5/4.5/S0.0/12HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...LARGE OW EYE IS EMBEDDED IN DG AND SURROUNDED BY MG FOR
A DT OF 4.5. MET AND PT AGREE. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK

[Infdidoll]

Yeah, I read that we are experiencing the worst right now from the Commander of Fleet Activities page. I'm wondering if we'll get some bad weather on the backside of this typhoon as well. We were getting gusts of 90 mph this morning! Getting close to 90 mph gusts again, right now.

[Chacor]

SPECI RODN 050324Z AUTO 08044G75KT 1600 -RA BR VV010 26/26 RMK AO2 PK WND 07075/0317 SLPNO $

75 kt = 86 mph gusts

[StormingB81]

CPA will be 1600

[Infdidoll]

My Muifa footage part 2, taken from 9-10 a.m. (a few hours ago)...

some more great footage there. Thank you for sharing! I hate the sounds they make. lol

Yes! The noise inside is AWFUL! Seriously worse than the noise from the filming I did outside. Our sliding glass doors have been screaming, literally, since yesterday. I have a splitting headache because of it. I got video inside during the last typhoon (Songda) strictly from the inside to show what we were hearing. I don't see a lot of damage outside, but I haven't gotten to go down and check outside yet. I have typhoon damage video from the last typhoon that I never got around to uploading.

<== Procrastinator

The good news for China is that they are backing off this storm intensifying as much as they thought it would. 2 typhoons lately that had the opportunity to be monsters have fizzled out. What gives?

[StormingB81]

looks like its moving a little north..we maybe moving into the eye!

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 050300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1109 MUIFA (1109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050300UTC 25.5N 127.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
30KT 300NM EAST 200NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 060300UTC 27.5N 124.8E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 070000UTC 29.8N 122.1E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 080000UTC 34.6N 121.2E 210NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Current centre location is 80 km south of Naha.
JTWC 03z warning noted eye diameter of 30 nm (55 km), or a radius of 28 km, meaning Naha is 52 km north of the inner eyewall.

[artist]

My Muifa footage part 2, taken from 9-10 a.m. (a few hours ago)...

some more great footage there. Thank you for sharing! I hate the sounds they make. lol

Yes! The noise inside is AWFUL! Seriously worse than the noise from the filming I did outside. Our sliding glass doors have been screaming, literally, since yesterday. I have a splitting headache because of it. I got video inside during the last typhoon (Songda) strictly from the inside to show what we were hearing. I don't see a lot of damage outside, but I haven't gotten to go down and check outside yet. I have typhoon damage video from the last typhoon that I never got around to uploading.

<== Procrastinator

The good news for China is that they are backing off this storm intensifying as much as they thought it would. 2 typhoons lately that had the opportunity to be monsters have fizzled out. What gives?

Good luck!
Yes, we went through 2 hurricanes 2 weeks apart,our first 2 ever, and can't remember which was which, but one we sat in the eyewall literally for hours and the sounds coming through the vents, windows, et al, were so scary! We thought sure our house was gonna go at any minute! Now they have become a breeze, since we know what to expect, in the sense of the noise does not necessarily mean you will blow away! lol

[Infdidoll]

Looking at Tenki radar or JMA's radar...seems to suggest the reason we have a lightened sky, right now, and the winds letting up is because we have been passing through one of the "moats" around Muifa's eyewall. Just an observation...So light out there looks like the sun could come out at any moment!

[StormingB81]

Looking at Tenki radar or JMA's radar...seems to suggest the reason we have a lightened sky, right now, and the winds letting up is because we have been passing through one of the "moats" around Muifa's eyewall. Just an observation...So light out there looks like the sun could come out at any moment!

I think this is our calm..I think it is about to pick up really good now..specially since its starting to head west of us..that moves a little north we could def see some craziness

[artist]

having the eye pass over is an awesome sight. It can really be deceiving, thinking all is calm, and then wham here comes the other half! Enjoy the bit of sun you can get right now. Hope it calms down soon.

[Infdidoll]

Look here: http://www.jma.go.jp/en/radnowc/index.html?areaCode=218 - See that moat I'm talking about? I think you're right. I think it's going to get worse again before it gets better.