ATL: IRENE - Models
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bigdan35
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Aric Dunn
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51 hours... almost exact spot as 6z... it just did the classic GFS low jumping around thing.. if you look at where the energy is .. it is all north of the "L" it was just a fluke ..
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weatherguy2
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models
weatherguy2 wrote:Making the slight NW turn now:
No. the energy of the wave has been too the north the whole time. if you use this link you can see the wave axis..
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... tImage=yes
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Aric Dunn
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yep up to 54 hours no change from the 6z
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models
I don't think the GFS has it turning NW so much as finally defining where the circulation is going to develop. And the actual measured movement in the eastern Caribbean Sea is only 296 deg.
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weatherguy2
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Looks less defined on the 12z run and probably weaker.
Edit, scrap that actually!
Edit, scrap that actually!
Last edited by KWT on Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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weatherguy2
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models
Aric Dunn wrote:weatherguy2 wrote:Making the slight NW turn now:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal054.gif
No. the energy of the wave has been too the north the whole time. if you use this link you can see the wave axis..
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... tImage=yes
Yeah, that looks right. But it should start to turn at least a little WNW past the islands.
---
72hr
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Aric Dunn
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At 75hrs.. almost no change from 6z run
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weatherguy2
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models
90hr, edit:
Last edited by weatherguy2 on Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:09 am, edited 3 times in total.
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bigdan35
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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models
Well passing nicely to the south of Hispaniola..change from this time yesterday going over the Island
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Michael
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Aric Dunn
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at 87hrs.. its about 50 miles or so nw of the 6z position .. still not a big change.
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weatherguy2
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L-Models
102 hours edit:
Last edited by weatherguy2 on Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:13 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Ivanhater
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:at 87hrs.. its about 50 miles or so nw of the 6z position .. still not a big change.
Maybe the 6z position, but definitely a good bit south of yesterday's position.
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Michael
Yeah it is Ivanhater and a good bit further south then most of the runs from the last 3-4 days for that matter.
That being said, it looks a good deal too far south to me in the short term.
That being said, it looks a good deal too far south to me in the short term.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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