Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Macrocane]

Yesterday was a very cold day even the maximum temepratures were relatively cold plus the strong winds I can tell it has been chilly, these are yesterday observations in El Salvador:

Temperatures
Santa Ana min: 17.5°C (63.5°F) max: 25.1°C(77.2°F)
San Salvador min: 15.8°C (60.4°F) max: 25.7°C (78.3°F)
Las Pilas min: 7.7°C (45.9°F) max: 12.4°C (54.3°F)
San Miguel min: 21.7°C (71.1°F) max: 32.2°C (90.0°F)

Max Wind Gust in some locations
Ishuatán 66.7 km/h (41.7 mph)
El Pacayal 56.1 km/h (35.1 mph)
San Salvador 44.4 km/h (27.8 mph)
San Miguel 27.8 km/h (17.4 mph)

Today it has been pretty cold as well, these are the minimum temperatures registered this morning in some Central American locations:

Belize City (Belize): 16°C (61°F)
Guatemala city (Guatemala): 9°C (48 °F)
Quetzaltenango (Guatemala): 5.5°C (42°F)
San Salvador (El Salvador): 14.9 (58.8 °F)
Las Pilas (El Salvador): 7.5°C (45.5°F)
Tegucigalpa (Honduras): 10°C (50°F)
La Esperanza (Honduras): 9°C (48°F)
Managua (Nicaragua): 19°C (66°C)
Ocotal (Nicaragua): 10°C (50°C)

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
707 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

PRC013-017-054-091-143-145-080100-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0546.101107T2307Z-101108T0100Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLORIDA PR-VEGA ALTA PR-BARCELONETA PR-MANATI PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
ARECIBO PR-
707 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
FLORIDA...VEGA ALTA...BARCELONETA...MANATI...VEGA BAJA AND
ARECIBO

* UNTIL 900 PM AST

* * AT 700 PM AST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND
THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE AREAS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE...AND MAY
CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...POORLY DRAINED ROADWAYS...AND
RAPID WATER RISES IN SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS. IN ADDITION...
MUDSLIDES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1849 6634 1842 6633 1833 6659 1850 6664

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Macrocane]

Hurricane Ida and Invest 96 E one year later

Hey guys today is the 1 year anniversary of one of the saddest days in El Salvador history, one year ago hurricane Ida "absorbed" a low pressure that was in the Pacific (96E) and that low pressure dropped almost 400 mm (15 inches) of rain in just one night producing catastrophic floods and mudslides that left 199 people dead, 76 missing, 15000 people homless, amost 3000 homes were destroyed or damaged and the costs were estimated in US$ 245 million, and although Ida was not directly responsible for the disaster that name will always be remembered as the name of one of the worst disasters in our history. Some newspaper have made special reports remembering the disaster and when I see those pictures my eyes still get wet, the 2009 flooding was the deadliest weather disaster in El Salvador since hurricane Mitch, was the deadliest since the 2001 earthquakes and teh costliest since hurricane Stan. My prayers are with the victims that are still trying to recover from the loss of lives and material things, I hope I don't see my country suffering that much again. Thanks for making this forum a place were I can share my feelings about that. Here are some pictures and videos to remember:

Rainfall in november 7:


Ida on November 5 making landfall in Nicaragua:


Invest 96 E on november 7:


A video of the damages with the song Patria Querida (Dear Country) by Alvaro Torres a salvadorian songwriter/singer:
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMDtBdYRhis[/youtube]

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
830 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

PRC013-017-054-091-143-145-080300-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0546.000000T0000Z-101108T0300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLORIDA PR-VEGA ALTA PR-BARCELONETA PR-MANATI PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
ARECIBO PR-
830 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
FLORIDA...VEGA ALTA...BARCELONETA...MANATI...VEGA BAJA AND
ARECIBO

* UNTIL 1100 PM AST

* AT 825 PM AST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND
THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE AREAS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...POORLY DRAINED
ROADWAYS...AND RAPID WATER RISES IN SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS. IN
ADDITION...MUDSLIDES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
FOR THOSE REASONS THE FLOOD ADVISORY WAS EXTENDED UNTIL 11 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1849 6634 1842 6633 1833 6659 1850 6664

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1004 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

.UPDATE...THE LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM
TOMAS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...PRODUCING VARIABLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. IN FACT...THE
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS
AND ACROSS NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
EVENING. THE GFS MODEL GUIDANCE MAINTAINS VERY DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE FA THROUGH AT LEAST THE MID OF THE WEEK AND
POSSIBLE BEYOND...AS BANDS OF MOISTURE CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE
IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE LOCAL ISLANDS UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON. NO
CHANGES WERE DONE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING.

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1050 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

PRC029-031-053-061-087-089-119-127-139-080445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0547.101108T0250Z-101108T0445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TRUJILLO ALTO PR-LUQUILLO PR-GUAYNABO PR-CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-
CAROLINA PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
1050 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
TRUJILLO ALTO...LUQUILLO...GUAYNABO...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...
CAROLINA...SAN JUAN...LOIZA AND RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 1245 AM AST

* AT 1045 PM AST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND
THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE AREAS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT TWO
HOURS...AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...POORLY DRAINED
ROADWAYS...AND RAPID WATER RISES IN SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1839 6562 1832 6562 1838 6613 1848 6610

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1050 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

PRC029-031-053-061-087-089-119-127-139-080445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0547.101108T0250Z-101108T0445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TRUJILLO ALTO PR-LUQUILLO PR-GUAYNABO PR-CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-
CAROLINA PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
1050 PM AST SUN NOV 7 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
TRUJILLO ALTO...LUQUILLO...GUAYNABO...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...
CAROLINA...SAN JUAN...LOIZA AND RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 1245 AM AST

* AT 1045 PM AST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS AND
THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS THESE AREAS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT TWO
HOURS...AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...POORLY DRAINED
ROADWAYS...AND RAPID WATER RISES IN SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1839 6562 1832 6562 1838 6613 1848 6610

$$

FIGUEROA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

Good morning.The rainy pattern looks like it will continue at least for the next couple of days or maybe more.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
531 AM AST MON NOV 8 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...FORMER TROPICAL STORM
TOMAS...CONTINUES NEAR 450 MILES NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. STRONG
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH
ATLANTIC LATER IN THE WEEK. WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE REGION NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AFFECTED ONCE AGAIN THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. MORE THAN TWO INCHES WERE REPORTED OVER
SAINT JOHN OVERNIGHT...AND SAME AMOUNTS WERE ALSO ESTIMATED BY THE
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR OVER SAINT THOMAS. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WERE
ISSUED FOR BOTH ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. FORTUNATELY...EARLY THIS
MORNING MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WAS MOVING AWAY FROM THE
ISLANDS...LEAVING ONLY LIGHT SHOWERS. MEANWHILE...OVER PUERTO
RICO...BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRED MAINLY ACROSS THE
SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN AREA AND THE EASTERN SECTION OF PUERTO
RICO...BUT LAST FOR LESS THAN AN HOUR. LATEST SATELITE
IMAGES...INDICATED PATCHES OF MOISTURE CONTINUING MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO FROM THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.
THIS ACTIVITY WAS STARTING TO PRODUCE LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL
FROM A LINE EXTENDING FROM AGUADILLA EASTWARD TO SAN JUAN.
THEREFORE...LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS WITH CLOUDY SKIES WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING...AND MORE
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IF WE
SEE A BREAK IN CLOUD COVER.

THIS WET WEATHER PATTERN IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MOIST SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW...INDUCED BY THE CIRCULATION OF A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...FORMER TROPICAL STORM TOMAS...WHICH WAS LOCATED
EARLY THIS MORNING NEAR 450 MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD...AND THEN
NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
MOIST SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...WHICH WILL KEEP
HIGH CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. IN
FACT...LATEST GFS COMPUTER MODEL SHOWS WINDS FROM THE
NORTH AND NORTHWEST...ASSOCIATED WITH A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
THE EASTERN U.S...CONVERGING WITH THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WIND
FLOW INDUCED BY THE SURFACE LOW...TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THE MODEL INDICATED A NICE CONVERGENCE LINE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA...WHICH WILL INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS
SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. THEREFORE...NO
IMPROVEMENT IN THIS WET SCENARIO IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS MOMENT.

IN THE MID TO LONG RANGE...A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LINGER NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND...PRODUCING MAINLY NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. THIS
NORMALLY BRINGS PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA...MAINLY DURING THE EVENING AND MORNING HOURS...AND IS MORE
TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

&&

.AVIATION...TEMPO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
TJBQ...TJMZ...AND TJSJ THROUGH AT LEAST 08/15. TEMPO MVFR AND BRIEF
PERIODS OF IFR WILL AFFECT TIST...TISX TNCM AND TKPK UNTIL 08/14Z.
EXPECT LIGHT LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT AROUND
10 KTS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND LEEWARDS WITH WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS AT AROUND 10 KTS OVER PUERTO RICO. THIS AFTERNOON
EXPECT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH
MOUNTAINS OBSCURATIONS...INDUCING PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS TJMZ...TJBQ...TJPS AND TJSJ AFTER 08/17Z AND
LASTING UNTIL 08/23Z.

[cycloneye]

This is important to marine interests and to beach goers in the NE Caribbean.

High Surf Advisory in effect

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
400 AM AST MON NOV 8 2010

...INCREASINGLY HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN EXPOSED COASTLINES OF PUERTO RICO...
CULEBRA...AND THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-081800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0015.101108T1200Z-101110T1200Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
400 AM AST MON NOV 8 2010

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 AM AST WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 AM AST WEDNESDAY.

LARGE...LONG PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS...WILL BEGIN TO INVADE THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC WATERS EARLY MONDAY MORNING...BRINGING INCREASINGLY
HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS MONDAY MORNING. THESE SWELLS WERE
GENERATED FROM FORMER HURRICANE TOMAS...AND ARE EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO 15 FEET ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
NORTHEASTERN EXPOSED COASTLINES...SHOALS AND REEFS OF PUERTO
RICO...CULEBRA...AND THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THROUGH AT
LEAST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LONG PERIOD...NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...PEAKING LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.

THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND
DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE
NARROW OUTWARD FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY
FROM THE COAST LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP
CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR
BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU
WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE
TO SAFELY SWIM TO SHORE.

LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING
WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES
INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY
OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.

THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION
DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:

SAN JUAN HARBOR: 2.0 FEET AT 10:49 AM AST MONDAY.
1.0 FEET AT 10:06 PM AST MONDAY EVENING.

MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 1.7 FEET AT 10:21 AM AST MONDAY.

ENSENADA HONDA CULEBRA 1.3 FEET AT 10:15 AM AST MONDAY.

STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Watch extended until 8 PM EDT

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1133 AM AST MON NOV 8 2010

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-090000-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-101109T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
1133 AM AST MON NOV 8 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

* UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE CARIBBEAN
ARE MOVING NORTH. SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL ALSO ALLOW
HEATING OVER THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. WINDS FROM
BOTH THE NORTH AND SOUTH SIDES OF THE ISLAND WILL COMBINE TO
MAKE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER INTERIOR PUERTO RICO. FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...THE SHOWERS IN THE CARIBBEAN WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND PRODUCE MORE RAINFALL. MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
IN PUERTO RICO COULD REACH 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MOST IMPACTED
AREAS AND 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* WITH ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT SEVERAL MAIN STEM RIVERS COULD RISE TO NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. IN ADDITION...DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...THE THREAT OF
MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN. IT WILL ALSO BE LIKELY THAT MANY SMALL STREAMS AND
GUTS WILL FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS...AND THESE ROADS WILL
BECOME TEMPORARILY IMPASSABLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
ONGOING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND FLOOD EVENT.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

[Macrocane]

This morning was the coldest morning since the cold event began in Central America, the coldest of the 2010-2011 cold fronts season so far and the coldest in 10 months, the northerly winds have diminished though and that's a signal that the event is ending. These are yesterday observations in El Salvador:

Temperatures
Santa Ana min: 17.5°C (63.5°F) max: 25.8°C(78.4°F)
San Salvador min: 14.9°C (58.8°F) max: 26.7°C (80.1°F)
Las Pilas min: 7.2°C (45.0°F) max: 12.1°C (53.8°F)
El Pacayal min: 12.6°C (54.7°F) max: 20.4°C (68.7°F)
San Miguel min: 21.7°C (71.1°F) max: 32.9°C (91.2°F)

Max Wind Gust in some locations
Ishuatán 62.8 km/h (39.2 mph)
El Pacayal 48.3 km/h (30.2 mph)
San Salvador 35.2 km/h (22.0 mph)
San Miguel 25.7 km/h (16.1 mph)

Low temperatures registered today in some central american stations:
Belize City (Belize): 19°C (66°F)
Guatemala city (Guatemala): 9°C (48 °F)
Quetzaltenango (Guatemala): 5°C (41°F)
San Salvador (El Salvador): 14.6 (58.3 °F)
Las Pilas (El Salvador): 7.7°C (45.9°F)
Tegucigalpa (Honduras): 11°C (52°F)
La Esperanza (Honduras): 8°C (46°F)
Managua (Nicaragua): 18°C (64°C)
San Jose (Costa Rica) 17°C (63°F).

[cycloneye]

No good weather for the next few days,but drier and cooler for the weekend.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
407 PM AST MON NOV 8 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE
THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD...BUT A STRONG TROUGH WILL
PASS NORTH OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A JET AXIS AT 250 MB THAT
WILL DROP AS CLOSE AS 26 NORTH.

AT LOWER LEVELS...STRONG LOW PRESSURE HAS MOVED OFF THE COAST OF
NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE TOMAS
WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST BEYOND THAT LOW ON WEDNESDAY. THE LOW
PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE SOUTH THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MORE OR LESS
ALONG 62 WEST UNTIL IT REACHES 32 NORTH. IT THEN MOVES EAST
NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL FILL IN BEHIND
IT IN THE ATLANTIC TO OUR NORTH.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR MOVED INTO THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF PUERTO
RICO THIS MORNING SENDING THE DEWPOINT PLUMMETING AT AGUADILLA TO
68 DEGREES. IN THE MEANTIME CONVECTION...WITH TOPS GENERALLY TO THE
TOP OF THE MOIST LAYER...AROUND 25 THOUSAND FEET...BUT OCCASIONALLY
TO 45 TO 50 THOUSAND FEET...MOVED NORTH OUT OF THE CARIBBEAN AND
OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF PUERTO RICO. THIS AREA OF MOISTURE HAS
SPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF PUERTO
RICO. SHOWERS GENERALLY DISSIPATED BEFORE REACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. MODELS SHOW THE BAND OF MOISTURE...NOW SOUTHEAST OF
PUERTO RICO...PLAYING WITH PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK...MOVING FIRST UP OVER THE AREA AND THEN BACK
TOWARD THE CARIBBEAN TWICE BEFORE THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND RAIN ON AND OFF. DRIER
AIR BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
WEEKEND SHOULD GREATLY REDUCE THE SHOWERS FOR NEXT WEEK...BUT A
FEW SHOWERS IN COOLER MOIST FLOW ARE EXPECTED.


&&

.AVIATION...
BRIEF MVFR CONDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL PR AND
THE VI TAF SITES THROUGH 09/00Z...AS A RESULT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. TEMPO MVFR CONDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS TNCM AND TKPK THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...THE LOW PRESSURE LEFT OVER FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE TOMAS
IS STILL PRODUCING WAVES OF 7 TO 10 FEET IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS JUST
NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PASSAGES.
SOME ELEVATED WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY. SEAS
IN THE CARIBBEAN WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 6 FEET. THE STRONG
LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY AND THEN BEGIN MOVING SOUTH TOWARD THE
AREA DRIVING SEAS BEFORE IT ON THE WESTERN SIDE. THESE WINDS WILL
RAISE SIGNIFICANT SWELL DURING ITS TRAVEL SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY THAT WILL CAUSE SEAS HERE TO RISE POSSIBLY AS
HIGH AS 8 TO 12 FEET...WHICH IN TURN COULD CAUSE BREAKERS OF 10 TO
15 FEET ALONG THE NORTHERN COASTLINES FROM SATURDAY NIGHT TO
SUNDAY.

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Watch extended until next Wednesday night

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
722 PM AST MON NOV 8 2010

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-090730-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-101111T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
722 PM AST MON NOV 8 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA IS EXPECTED
TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. AS IT DOES SO...WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL BE LIFTED
ABOVE THE FRONT THAT WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE
RAINFALL. THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY THAT A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MAY FORM AT THE TAIL END OF THIS FRONT AND LIFT NORTH
ALONG THE ATTENDANT FRONT THAT COULD TRIGGER ADDITIONAL RAINS.
DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL TURN INTO
RUNOFF THAT COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS. IN
ADDITION...THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS FRONT AND MOISTURE-LADEN
ENVIRONMENT SUGGEST THAT SHOWERS COULD MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS AND PRODUCE INTENSE RAINFALL RATES.

* IT APPEARS THAT THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE AT
GREATEST RISK OF EXPERIENCING THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WHILE THE
BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TO OCCUR IS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS IN A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME
WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
ONGOING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND FLOOD EVENT.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$
ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Gustywind]

Flash Flood Watch Extended until Next Wednesday

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
722 PM AST MON NOV 8 2010

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-090730-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-101111T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
722 PM AST MON NOV 8 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA IS EXPECTED
TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. AS IT DOES SO...WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL BE LIFTED
ABOVE THE FRONT THAT WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE
RAINFALL. THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY THAT A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MAY FORM AT THE TAIL END OF THIS FRONT AND LIFT NORTH
ALONG THE ATTENDANT FRONT THAT COULD TRIGGER ADDITIONAL RAINS.
DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL TURN INTO
RUNOFF THAT COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS. IN
ADDITION...THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS FRONT AND MOISTURE-LADEN
ENVIRONMENT SUGGEST THAT SHOWERS COULD MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS AND PRODUCE INTENSE RAINFALL RATES.

* IT APPEARS THAT THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE AT
GREATEST RISK OF EXPERIENCING THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WHILE THE
BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TO OCCUR IS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS IN A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME
WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
ONGOING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND FLOOD EVENT.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$
ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

hey hey that's joke?

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC010-090230-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0137.101108T2337Z-101109T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
737 PM AST MON NOV 8 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 1030 PM AST

* AT 732 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SAINT CROIX MOVING SLOWLY
NORTHEAST. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT OVER TWO INCHES OF
RAIN MAY HAVE FALLEN NEAR CHRISTIANSTED AND ANOTHER ONE TO THREE
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS AND DRY GUTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1769 6460 1764 6473 1764 6490 1768 6494
1776 6494 1780 6490 1783 6472 1778 6455

$$

ROSA

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

hey hey that's joke?

Not a joke as they extended the flood watch until next Wednesday night thanks to a surface trough/front that comes out from Ex Tomas.

[Gustywind]

hey hey that's joke?

Not a joke as they extended the flood watch until next Wednesday night thanks to a surface trough/front that comes out from Ex Tomas.

Damn, that's insane! This season continues to bring its surprises, hopefully it's "just" a surface trough/front that comes from ex Tomas Hope really that things improve quickly now and all could be over during the next couple of weeks without any tropical feature:) Wait and see.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
955 PM AST MON NOV 8 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE AREA
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND BRING PERIODS OF RAIN. FRONT WILL
PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...VERY WET FORECAST APPEARS ON TAP OVER THE NEXT 48
HRS AS A STATIONARY FRONT SOUTH OF THE AREA LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH AND
MEANDERS ACROSS THE AREA. WEAK WAVES OR RIPPLES ARE EXPECTED TO
RIDE ALG THE FRONT AND ENHANCE THE PRECIP POTENTIAL. PLEASE REFER
TO FFA FOR FLOODING POTENTIAL. IMPROVEMENTS TO THE WEATHER NOT
LIKELY UNTIL THE WEEKEND.


&&

.AVIATION...PREDOMINANT MVFR CIGS EXPECTED TUE-WED ACROSS AT ALL
TAF SITES AS FRONT MEANDERS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...SWELLS HAVE PEAKED BUT WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. A MORE SIG SWELL EVENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND.