ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

Any word on the Inagua Islands (Bahamas)?

Wikipedia entry on them:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inagua

Morton Salt has a large facility there, there are a couple sea turtle preserves, and Great Inagua Island has a large avian sanctuary (over 80,000 flamingoes, for starters, probably less now.)

Hopefully the people (only about 600) are ok.

Poor flamingos

[northjaxpro]

Yes Camille was a Cat 5 , but Andrew was the most recent Cat 5 to impact the U.S.

I think Irma will landfall on Florida as a Cat 5. I think she will be able to get by Cuba without much disruption to the inner core, although she will graze or touch along the Cuba coast just as she makes the turn north.

[bahamaswx]

Any word on the Inagua Islands (Bahamas)?

Wikipedia entry on them:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inagua

Morton Salt has a large facility there, there are a couple sea turtle preserves, and Great Inagua Island has a large avian sanctuary (over 80,000 flamingoes, for starters, probably less now.)

Hopefully the people (only about 900) are ok.

They've had very bad luck lately, taking the eyewalls of Matthew last year and Ike in 2008 as major hurricanes. Also Irene in 2011 as a strengthening category 2. And this is just off the top of my head--there may be more. Those people can't catch a break down there.

Anyway, for what I believe is the first time in the history of the Bahamas, the government evacuated all willing residents of Inagua to a safer island (Nassau).

[northjaxpro]

No word as of yet from Inagua Island., but I fear the worst at this moment as Irma is absolutely pounding the Bahamas.. I just can not phantom the fury of a Category 5 hurricane moving though there this hour.

God speed to our neighbors in the Bahamas this morning!!! My prayers and thoughts are completely with them.

[Zarniwoop]

My gut feeling is what I posted before, a landfall of 165mph in SEFL. I think the SSTs, OHC, and overall favorable atmospherics are enough to offset the land proximity and shear from Saturday to early Sunday morning. I am not a Promet, these are just my personal thoughts.

NHC has I it weakening all the way in, albeit too slowly to make much difference.

[AutoPenalti]

We're in Orlando now, bumper-to-bumper again.

I think we're going to stop somewhere for the night.

[tatertawt24]

ERC definitely showing up on IR now.

[northjaxpro]

Any word on the Inagua Islands (Bahamas)?

Wikipedia entry on them:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inagua

Morton Salt has a large facility there, there are a couple sea turtle preserves, and Great Inagua Island has a large avian sanctuary (over 80,000 flamingoes, for starters, probably less now.)

Hopefully the people (only about 900) are ok.

They've had very bad luck lately, taking the eyewalls of Matthew last year and Ike in 2008 as major hurricanes. Also Irene in 2011 as a strengthening category 2. And this is just off the top of my head--there may be more. Those people can't catch a break down there.

Anyway, for what I believe is the first time in the history of the Bahamas, the government evacuated all willing residents of Inagua to a safer island (Nassau).

BTW, you forgot Joaquin and the devastation he bought to the Bahamas in October 2015.

EDIT: OK, I think you are just talking about Inagua Island impacts right ?

[PaulR]

They've had very bad luck lately, taking the eyewalls of Matthew last year and Ike in 2008 as major hurricanes. Also Irene in 2011 as a strengthening category 2. And this is just off the top of my head--there may be more. Those people can't catch a break down there.

Anyway, for what I believe is the first time in the history of the Bahamas, the government evacuated all willing residents of Inagua to a safer island (Nassau).

Noted on the evacuation!

[bob rulz]

ERC definitely showing up on IR now.

It's been obvious on IR for a few hours now.

Convection has increased on the south and east sides in the last few frames.

[WeatherGuesser]

These usually pass over or near a few islands, generally in a path crossing the chains. It seems odd that this one lined up like it did to hit so many of them in a line. Like it targeted them all by staying more clear of the bigger ones that might cause weakening. Almost the perfect worst possible path.

[bahamaswx]

Any word on the Inagua Islands (Bahamas)?

Wikipedia entry on them:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inagua

Morton Salt has a large facility there, there are a couple sea turtle preserves, and Great Inagua Island has a large avian sanctuary (over 80,000 flamingoes, for starters, probably less now.)

Hopefully the people (only about 900) are ok.

They've had very bad luck lately, taking the eyewalls of Matthew last year and Ike in 2008 as major hurricanes. Also Irene in 2011 as a strengthening category 2. And this is just off the top of my head--there may be more. Those people can't catch a break down there.

Anyway, for what I believe is the first time in the history of the Bahamas, the government evacuated all willing residents of Inagua to a safer island (Nassau).

BTW, you forgot Joaquin and the devastation he bought to the Bahamas in October 2015.

EDIT: OK, I think you are just talking about Inagua Island impacts right ?

Yeah, I was only talking about Inagua. Joaquin was devasting for several islands in the southern Bahamas, but Inagua got off fine there. Still though, 3 major hurricanes in less than a decade is some terrible luck.

[northjaxpro]

you're correct Weather Guesser in that what has made Irma such an historic and remarkable tropical cyclone is that she's been able to maintain CAT5 strength for so long because she's taking a path where she has amazingly avoided major land interaction within the Greater Antillies, especially Hispaniola. It unfortunately has been the perfect path for Irma to unleash her deadly fury

She will get very close to Cuba just prior to making the north turn, but I think Irma's inner core will not penetrate into Cuba to disrupt her inner core. I believe Irma will landfall as a Cat 5 in Florida.

[PanAmMIA]

We're in Orlando now, bumper-to-bumper again.

I think we're going to stop somewhere for the night.

Hope you find some place. Finished cleaning up and shuttering the place in Key West on Wed. and was lured into a false sense of security by the traffic. Made a brief stop in Miami and the subsequent trip home to the Orlando metro on the Turnpike took almost 11 hours. Finally ditched it at Yeehaw Junction and took the scenic route home.

[mrbagyo]

[TheDreamTraveler]

That eye is HUGE. Wow. Could be one of the bigger eyes we've ever seen in a hurricane.

[WeatherGuesser]

Has one ever done that before? You almost couldn't 'aim' a ship any better to take that path between the islands. (I know you don't 'aim' ships, just a figure of speech). This path alone strikes me as unusually strange.

[USTropics]

That image eerily reminded me of another one in 2005:

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KWBC 080844
NOAA2 2011A IRMA HDOB 08 20170908
083500 2405N 07730W 4845 06128 0323 -059 -135 056034 034 /// /// 03
083530 2403N 07728W 4844 06129 0322 -061 -125 054034 034 020 000 03
083600 2401N 07726W 4846 06126 0321 -065 -103 053034 034 015 001 00
083630 2359N 07724W 4845 06127 0321 -063 -098 055034 034 017 001 00
083700 2357N 07722W 4845 06126 0321 -058 -109 055034 035 017 001 00
083730 2355N 07720W 4843 06129 0321 -061 -091 055035 036 017 001 00
083800 2353N 07718W 4846 06124 0320 -054 -117 054035 036 017 001 00
083830 2351N 07716W 4844 06126 0319 -057 -112 054036 036 019 001 00
083900 2349N 07714W 4844 06125 0318 -059 -088 058037 037 020 000 00
083930 2347N 07712W 4844 06125 0318 -058 -084 059037 037 020 000 00
084000 2345N 07710W 4844 06124 0317 -056 -086 056035 035 020 000 00
084030 2343N 07709W 4844 06122 0315 -060 -087 056037 037 020 001 00
084100 2341N 07707W 4845 06120 0314 -059 -085 058038 039 021 000 00
084130 2339N 07705W 4844 06121 0314 -060 -082 058038 038 021 001 00
084200 2337N 07703W 4845 06120 0314 -059 -079 056037 038 022 000 00
084230 2335N 07701W 4845 06119 0313 -059 -078 053036 036 019 001 00
084300 2333N 07659W 4843 06121 0312 -064 -076 052039 039 022 001 00
084330 2331N 07657W 4844 06118 0312 -062 -076 053039 040 021 001 00
084400 2330N 07655W 4846 06114 0310 -062 -080 052039 040 023 000 00
084430 2328N 07653W 4846 06114 0310 -062 -077 051040 040 023 000 00

[Blizzard96x]

Irma has weakened to a Cat 4 according to 5am advisory.