Texas Winter 2014-2015

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Portastorm
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Re:

#7781 Postby Portastorm » Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:58 am

weatherdude1108 wrote:On a separate note, if we want to post pics/vids later of the event, what site do we use to do that?


There are several sites which feature the ability to upload and post a photo. I use "tinypic" but it's far from perfect. As for videos, I'd leave it to our folks here to opine. I was thinking I would upload any videos I may take to youtube and then post the link here.
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#7782 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:59 am

@BigJoeBastardi: GFS now sticking a dagger into the heart of week 2 false spring. Finds new big arctic high. http://t.co/LtGTaYNv6c/s/ZBAI
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7783 Postby Portastorm » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:01 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1046 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

.UPDATE...
ENOUGH EVIDENCE HAS COME IN FROM THE LATEST MODELS TO ISSUE A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE HILL COUNTRY AND METRO AUSTIN...AND A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE BALCONES ESCARPMENT AND ADJACENT
PLAINS FROM NEW BRAUNFELS TO SAN ANTONIO TO BRACKETTVILLE...FROM
MIDNIGHT TO NOON THURSDAY. IN SHORT...THE GENERAL FORECAST OF A
COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS
EVENING...ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THE FRONT...MID-LEVEL LIFT FROM AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND UPWARD MOTION FROM THE ENTRANCE
REGION TO A JET STREAK...ALL POINT TO MODERATE QPF OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. THE PROFILE ABOVE THE NEAR-SURFACE ARCTIC DOME IS
CONVECTIVE AND MOIST...NOT ONLY INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME THUNDER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MODERATE PRECIPITATION TONIGHT.
BANDING SEEN IN SOME OF THE HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS IS CONCERNING
AS WELL...THUS THE DECISION TO ISSUE THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTH TO U.S. 90...OR ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM SCHULENBERG TO SAN ANTONIO TO BRACKETVILLE...BUT TOTAL
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND THE PRECIPITATION FALLING AS RAIN FIRST
SHOULD LIMIT ICE ACCUMULATIONS. WHILE THE NEXT MAJOR FORECAST
UPDATE THIS AFTERNOON MAY HAVE MINOR ALTERATIONS FOR TIMING AND
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION...WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE MAJOR CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
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Re: Re:

#7784 Postby iorange55 » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:03 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:On a separate note, if we want to post pics/vids later of the event, what site do we use to do that?


Imgur.com is the best for photos, and you can't go wrong with YouTube for videos.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7785 Postby Tammie » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:04 pm

horns0314 wrote:I swear I saw some type of flakes in downtown Dallas as well. Thought I was just seeing things.


We aren't seeing things. Whatever "it" is, it's frozen precip of some type. Very very odd!!!
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Re: Re:

#7786 Postby Ntxw » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:06 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Pulling for you Portastorm, lets go out with a bang and give wxman57 a run for his money


Freezing rain doesn't count as a "football kicker". Only snow...


Beggars can't be choosers, anything above freezing drizzle is a win in Austin. Maybe not a win but a close comeback!
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Re: Re:

#7787 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:10 pm

Ntxw wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Pulling for you Portastorm, lets go out with a bang and give wxman57 a run for his money


Freezing rain doesn't count as a "football kicker". Only snow...


Beggars can't be choosers, anything above freezing drizzle is a win in Austin. Maybe not a win but a close comeback!


If freezing rain doesn't count to Wxman57 - and I'm assuming the same is true of sleet and cold air intrusions - then I would suppose he will refrain from opining in the future about any events in Texas that don't involve just plain old snow? :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7788 Postby wxman57 » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:10 pm

12Z GFS indicates freezing rain in Austin by around midnight tonight. Surface sub-freezing air gets thicker by sunrise, thick enough that freezing rain turns to sleet. Precip ends 9am-10am tomorrow with a warm nose remaining aloft (no snow). This is a heck of a way to run a spring warm-up.
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#7789 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:11 pm

Sleet is like a football game that ends in a tie. It's interesting but not very satisfying.
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Re: Re:

#7790 Postby wxman57 » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:12 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:If freezing rain doesn't count to Wxman57 - and I'm assuming the same is true of sleet and cold air intrusions - then I would suppose he will refrain from opining in the future about any events in Texas that don't involve just plain old snow? :D


In the past, a "successful" winter event has been defined here by snow, not freezing rain or sleet. Charlie Brown only kicks the football for a snowfall.
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#7791 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:21 pm

Yeah, THAT's how we got to more than 500 pages last winter.

And why we're closing in on 400 pages this winter.

Can you do us all a favor again next January and start talking about an end to winter and the appearance of spring? :D
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Re: Re:

#7792 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:21 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:If freezing rain doesn't count to Wxman57 - and I'm assuming the same is true of sleet and cold air intrusions - then I would suppose he will refrain from opining in the future about any events in Texas that don't involve just plain old snow? :D


In the past, a "successful" winter event has been defined here by snow, not freezing rain or sleet. Charlie Brown only kicks the football for a snowfall.


Shoot fire almighty, I will take sleet sir. :)
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7793 Postby LearnedHat » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:22 pm

horns0314 wrote:I swear I saw some type of flakes in downtown Dallas as well. Thought I was just seeing things.



Lots of flakes down there.
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#7794 Postby gboudx » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:23 pm

I hope all this rain, mist, drizzle we've had over the past week or so is helping the lakes somewhat. The ground is a soppy mess. Would be nice to get some big thunderstorm rains on top of it for serious runoff.
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#7795 Postby Ntxw » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:25 pm

Winter storm warnings extends from the Mexican border (Del Rio) to the mid Atlantic coast....in March.
Last edited by Ntxw on Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7796 Postby Portastorm » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:25 pm

LearnedHat wrote:
horns0314 wrote:I swear I saw some type of flakes in downtown Dallas as well. Thought I was just seeing things.



Lots of flakes down there.


We have a lot of those ("flakes") in Austin too. Oh wait, you're talking about snow. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7797 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:27 pm

LearnedHat wrote:
horns0314 wrote:I swear I saw some type of flakes in downtown Dallas as well. Thought I was just seeing things.



Lots of flakes down there.

If that is the case then the models are severely overdoing the warm nose. I don't doubt what y'all are seeing but the model soundings do not support it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7798 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:29 pm

Portastorm wrote:
LearnedHat wrote:
horns0314 wrote:I swear I saw some type of flakes in downtown Dallas as well. Thought I was just seeing things.



Lots of flakes down there.


We have a lot of those ("flakes") in Austin too. Oh wait, you're talking about snow. :wink:


Oh man, are you talking about the Grey Goose swilling mets at the PWC...oh wait, you are talking about snow...
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7799 Postby weatherdude1108 » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:33 pm

Portastorm wrote:
LearnedHat wrote:
horns0314 wrote:I swear I saw some type of flakes in downtown Dallas as well. Thought I was just seeing things.



Lots of flakes down there.


We have a lot of those ("flakes") in Austin too. Oh wait, you're talking about snow. :wink:


Along with "fruits and nuts." Oh wait, that's California! :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7800 Postby Brandon8181 » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:36 pm

What is that... South Tyler also seeing those flake looking things? Lots and lots of rain, but seeing a few "flake looking things" too? Explanation please? It's about 54 degrees or so.. And falling
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