ATL: NICOLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cane5]

Thank god with how big this storm is it won’t have time to develop in a way it could. A November freak for sure.

[jlauderdal]

Thank god with how big this storm is it won’t have time to develop in a way it could. A November freak for sure.

Bro, this storm is overperforming, its just about maximizing everything it has to work with

[johngaltfla]

Good luck to all my South Florida bros. This could get wicked quickly.

[jlauderdal]

Good luck to all my South Florida bros. This could get wicked quickly.

You had your scare with ian, now its our turn.

[Zonacane]

Eye? https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/1318/gyC4Bv.jpg

I think it's a dry slot but might be an eye in the making. I know recon said it was open to the east.

That is a legitimate eye

[jlauderdal]

Eye? https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/1318/gyC4Bv.jpg

I think it's a dry slot but might be an eye in the making. I know recon said it was open to the east.

That is a legitimate eye

Did anyone yesterday think we would have such a well-developed system this early?

[DESTRUCTION5]

Meanwhile we're at 983 and dropping..

[Nimbus]

Thank god with how big this storm is it won’t have time to develop in a way it could. A November freak for sure.

Bro, this storm is overperforming, its just about maximizing everything it has to work with

Really bad luck, with that small updraft eye its only feeding off the warm local SST's and the outflow is gradually bringing the humidity back up over a larger area ahead. If it had just got greedy and gulped some dry air..

[emeraldislenc]

It is developing faster than I thought it would!

[Weatherboy1]

Did not shutter here in Jupiter. Thinking worst case is Irene 1999 kind of scenario. But really hope I don’t wake up to a big surprise. Will have to do some last minute prep (though have water, canned stuff etc etc already)

[cheezyWXguy]

Eye? https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/1318/gyC4Bv.jpg

I think it's a dry slot but might be an eye in the making. I know recon said it was open to the east.

That is a legitimate eye

Yep, microwave images earlier confirm this. Though it is weird to have an eye with only a -15-20C eyewall. Good bones, but needs some meat on them if it’s gonna keep intensifying much more

[aspen]

Dry air really took a toll on Nicole’s convection, but the pressure continues to drop according to AF306’s first eyewall dropsonde. Nicole could become a stronger hurricane than forecast once it mixes out that dry air, based on how it’s been running ahead of the NHC and model forecasts all day, but it’ll probably end up with a far lower pressure than normal for whatever wind speed it ends up with like Danielle, Fiona, and Martin. I’m almost expecting yet another 75 kt hurricane since we’re already at a streak of 3, why end now lol.

[weathernet]

Good luck to all my South Florida bros. This could get wicked quickly.

You had your scare with Ian, now its our turn.

We had a scare with Ian and now with Nicole LOL.
Tim

[eastcoastFL]

I think it's a dry slot but might be an eye in the making. I know recon said it was open to the east.

That is a legitimate eye

Did anyone yesterday think we would have such a well-developed system this early?

I sure didn’t expect it to wrap up until it was between the Bahamas and Florida. Scary to think what it would’ve been if it were late September.

[eastcoastFL]

Did not shutter here in Jupiter. Thinking worst case is Irene 1999 kind of scenario. But really hope I don’t wake up to a big surprise. Will have to do some last minute prep (though have water, canned stuff etc etc already)

I’m about 20 minutes north of you and haven’t shuttered yet either. I’ll have to do it in the morning if it’s still headed this way.

[eastcoastFL]

The moisture ahead of Nicole continues to expand. Just this morning dry air covered all of Florida and the waters between Florida and the Bahamas. Looks like it’s been pushed back towards the gulf as Nicole moves west

[eastcoastFL]

Good bit of storms heading into extreme SE FL

[toad strangler]

Did not shutter here in Jupiter. Thinking worst case is Irene 1999 kind of scenario. But really hope I don’t wake up to a big surprise. Will have to do some last minute prep (though have water, canned stuff etc etc already)

I’m about 20 minutes north of you and haven’t shuttered yet either. I’ll have to do it in the morning if it’s still headed this way.

I’m not shuttering in PSL West.

[cane5]

So it looks like Dade and Broward will be about the only counties on the clean side of Nicole. Once again the storm gods have our back. Goodnight and good luck to the millions that will not be as lucky

[boca]

Will Nicole’s pressure dictate how long it will move WSW before the turn WNW across the state.I saw a post that Aric posted about this earlier tonight.