Tropical Storm Alberto

28_Storms · #781 Postby **28_Storms** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:24 pm

Thanks Calamity!

ronjon · #782 Postby **ronjon** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:24 pm

Interesting that 18Z BAM-M has now joined the rest of the group and is heading for the west coast of FL, although much slower (72-96 hrs). I don't put much stock in the BAMs, but the 12Z version was heading toward TX.

Grease Monkey · #783 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:24 pm

fact789 wrote:
Grease Monkey wrote:
Calamity wrote:Here's a loop (4.39mb) of Tropical Storm Alberto so far today.

http://s8.quicksharing.com/v/1212781/al ... r.gif.html

Link is not working.

worked for me

Sorry. My fault. I didn't realize that there was a download link I had to click on.

whereverwx · #784 Postby **whereverwx** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:31 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:Sorry. My fault. I didn't realize that there was a download link I had to click on.

That's ok; it happens.

No problem! Btw, here's another loop; this time, AVN.

http://s8.quicksharing.com/v/307381/albertoavn.gif.html

#785 Postby **TampaFl** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:33 pm

wxman57 wrote:
The_OD_42 wrote:
TampaFl wrote:Looks as thought the low level center may be starting to move (drift?)to the nne or ne. Hard to tell though. Thoughts and comments welcomed.

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satrgnlloop.master.pl?keywest&type=vis

Robert

It does sort of look like that, yes. Perhaps it will start to drift E then a NE track...maybe?

Thanks wxman57 for your help. Let us know if the low level center starts to move.

Robert

That's a small eddy rotating around the SE side of the center. The small eddy IS moving to the NE now.

HurricaneHunter914 · #786 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:34 pm

Can someone post another that isn't downloadable?

MiamiensisWx · #787 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:34 pm

Link won't work and open to the website for me. It worked a few minutes ago. Any thoughts on what's wrong? Is it down?

#788 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:34 pm

fact789 wrote:
Grease Monkey wrote:
Calamity wrote:Here's a loop (4.39mb) of Tropical Storm Alberto so far today.

http://s8.quicksharing.com/v/1212781/al ... r.gif.html

Link is not working.

worked for me

Actually, it works with either the .html or .gif at the end. But it doesn't take you to a loop, it takes you to a web page where you have to click a link to download the file.

jusforsean · #789 Postby **jusforsean** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:34 pm

yes link doesnt work for me either it takes me to a pic sharing website with no pic to share :cry:

28_Storms · #790 Postby **28_Storms** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:35 pm

Worked great for me!

#791 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:37 pm

jusforsean wrote:yes link doesnt work for me either it takes me to a pic sharing website with no pic to share

It's there, the top left link under "Download File:"

#792 Postby **mvtrucking** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:38 pm

Thank you Calamity!

#793 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:38 pm

Couple things, the LLC is still moving NNW albeit very slowly now, more of a drift. The dry air has wrapped into the storm and is now between the LLC and the moisture feed from the Carb. If Alberto stays put he's in trouble, if he begins to move northward and especially NE more faster he puts himself closer to the moisture and more distance away from the dry ULL in the SW Gulf.

jusforsean · #794 Postby **jusforsean** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:41 pm

ok cool got it its amazing how we are tracking a storm that is currently affecting us and still we have no certian path. on that loop it looks like it is going to cross right over

#795 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:46 pm

Looks like moisture is increasing over Alberto in the UL's from the south in this loop. You can see the gray area which is moisture coming northward near the center and at the same time some convection fires south of the center as the moisture arrives, still the shear is evident with this arriving moisture.

Speed up the animation for a better look.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=9

rockyman · #796 Postby **rockyman** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:51 pm

Anyone have comments on the new eddy around 26/88?

#797 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:51 pm

You know what I have noticed, If you look at the far northern extent of its clouds and rain, it has been creeping northwestward and not be sheared off to the northeast.

Regit · #798 Postby **Regit** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:54 pm

I was very surprised to hear a detailed explanation of what's happening with Alberto on MSNBC. Usually the cable news channels are worthless for weather analysis.

The Met explained that the convection continues to head away from the center and that he expects a downgrade and major change in the forecast come 5PM or 11PM.

He went into details as to why he feels this way. If you want to hear it all, tune to MSNBC as he's been reporting frequently.

Anyway, he said to stay tuned to see whether the center will just dissipate, or whether it'll buzz around out there for a few days, redevelop and head toward the north. His basic view though, was that the current NHC forecast will not happen.

CNN and Fox News haven't really given much worth watching. Fox reported at 3:00 that it's been downgraded to a Depression with top winds of 34 MPH. :lol:

28_Storms · #799 Postby **28_Storms** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:56 pm

Fox reported at 3:00 that it's been downgraded to a Depression with top winds of 34 MPH

HurricaneHunter914 · #800 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:57 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

If you look at the loop it seems that Alberto is reforming a new center near the convection.

Tropical Storm Alberto

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