Florida Weather

[gsytch]

Sorry to say that after 4 weeks without a drop, and a little bit Thurs eve, my yard is desperately seeking moisture! I figured on a dumping once I did get it, and it appears like that may happen.

[artist]

Sorry to say that after 4 weeks without a drop, and a little bit Thurs eve, my yard is desperately seeking moisture! I figured on a dumping once I did get it, and it appears like that may happen.

I'd be glad to ship some your way.

[HURAKAN]

WPC 7-day forecast ... lots of rain

[artist]

WPC 7-day forecast ... lots of rain

good to see you! Yeah, I am afraid of what is going to be dumped here. I can just hope they are wrong after all we have had this week.

[psyclone]

it looks like we have a really good shot at seeing some hefty seabreeze-induced thunderstorms for the tampa bay region up toward the nature coast today....areas that have been left out the last few weeks.

[northjaxpro]

It looks like very wet times ahead next week for the central and southern peninsula, all dependent on the track of the posssible sheared Low Pressure area ( or TD) to come out of the GOM. Still early, but it does appear that areas from I-4 corridor southward down the peninsula could get soaking rain next week.

We are in a surplus in rainfall in the Jax area. So, we don't need any more heavy rainfall in this region in the short range. For now, it looks like this area will get some rain from the potentially developing Low pressure system, but again that will depend on the ultimate prescise track. Finished the month of May with just under 14 inches total rain measured at my locale.

[cycloneye]

Oh boy Florida friends. If this pans out it would be a deluge for many in the sunshine state.

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1124 AM EDT SAT JUN 01 2013

VALID 12Z TUE JUN 04 2013 - 12Z SAT JUN 08 2013


...MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...


RELIED ON THE 06Z/01 GEFS MEAN MASS FIELDS AS A GUIDE FOR THE
FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7, CHOSEN BECAUSE IT BEST
REPRESENTED CONTINUITY AND THE GROWING CERTAINTY IN SOME OF THE
SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS POSING THE GREATEST SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS. ALL
THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THE CONTINUATION OF AN
UNSEASONABLY SUPPRESSED POLAR JET ACROSS THE UNITED STATES AT THE
MEDIUM RANGE--ATTENDANT TO THE AT LEAST MODEST ONGOING BLOCKING AT
HIGH LATITUDES. THE MEAN TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE ANCHORED OVER
THE MIDDLE OF THE NATION, AND THAT IS WHERE THE WIDEST SPREAD
RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED THIS PERIOD. SUPER-MOISTURE-PACKED
TROPICAL AIR CIRCULATING AROUND A DEEP-LAYER VORTEX OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO WASH INTO SOUTHERN FLORIDA AS THE PASSAGE
OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES ELONGATES
THE GULF CIRCULATION. ALL THE MODELS BREAK OFF A CHUNK OF THIS
TROPICAL SWIRL AND TRACK IT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, THEN UP
THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE POLAR WESTERLIES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
COAST. THE GEM GLOBAL CONTINUES TO PRESENT AN UNREALISTIC
EMERGENCE OF A FULL-BLOWN TROPICAL CYCLONE VERY EARLY IN THE
PERIOD, TRACKING IT ACROSS FLORIDA THEN UP THE ATLANTIC COAST
PLAIN--DIRECTLY ASTRIDE THE BAROCLINIC ZONE IN PLACE. THE MOST
LIKELY OUTCOME IS A JUICY FRONTAL WAVE THAT SHOULD KEEP MOST OF
THE HIGHEST MOISTURE-CONTENT AIR EAST OF THE ATLANTIC COAST NORTH
OF JACKSONVILLE, FLORIDA. THE 0.25KM ECMWF PUSHES A SLUG OF 2.50+"
PRECIPITABLE WATER-LADEN AIR ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA, INCLUDING
THE KEYS, NEXT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, SUPPORTING MANY INCHES
OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. WILL BE COORDINATING WITH THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THE FIRST MEDIUM-RANGE HOTLINE CALL
OF THE YEAR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO DISCUSS ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE
POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM, AS WELL AS ANY OTHERS OVER THE NEARBY
OCEANS.


CISCO

[northjaxpro]

Yeah, it looks like we may see a system similar to Debby last season, which was an elongated, slow moving sheared tropical entity coming out of the GOM dumping extremely heavy rain over a good portion of the peninsula. I received 16 inches from Debby alone here a year ago which really caused some major problems with flooding, especially occuring so soon in the aftermath of Beryl. We have already had plenty of rain this year already at my locale and across much of the rest of the peninsula. The flood potential really is looming big if this system comes to fruition. An intersting week ahead for sure monitoring this potential system.

[gigabite]

So much for the drought. It has been a cold rain, and hard. It knocked the nails from the roof drains out.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xH-_9cwdLug

When The Levee Breaks by Zepparella. I thought this was appropriate. Nice harmonic work.

[gsytch]

There is a seabreeze and collisions are at work. The radar is lit up, DP well into the 70's and the sun came out around 4pm to heat things up. Perfect set up for......................??? Will it finally be my turn? If it doesnt rain tonight, then the hose is out yet again Sunday! While many of you have been drenched, my grass is so brown it looks like winter. That little bit Thurs afternoon did nuttin'........ HERE'S HOPING!

[artist]

There is a seabreeze and collisions are at work. The radar is lit up, DP well into the 70's and the sun came out around 4pm to heat things up. Perfect set up for......................??? Will it finally be my turn? If it doesnt rain tonight, then the hose is out yet again Sunday! While many of you have been drenched, my grass is so brown it looks like winter. That little bit Thurs afternoon did nuttin'........ HERE'S HOPING!

where do you live gsytch?

[jinftl]

wow...5-7 inches of rain in 90 minutes!

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 930 PM EDT

* AT 525 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED FLASH FLOODING
AT MUVICO/LOWES PLAZA SHERIDAN OFF RAMP AT I-75. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
WITH SEVERAL SMALL VEHICLES UNDER WATER AND STRANDED. APPROXIMATELY 2.5
FEET OF WATER ON THE OFF RAMP. THE GENERAL PUBLIC ALSO REPORTED FLOODED
WATER UP TO CAR DOORS IN THE PEMBROKE PINES AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...DAVIE...
MIRAMAR...PEMBROKE PINES...COOPER CITY...INTERSECTION I-75 AND
GRIFFIN ROAD...INTERSECTION U.S. 27 PINES BLVD...MIRAMAR PARKWAY
AND UNIVERSITY DRIVE...NORTH PERRY AIRPORT...NOVA SOUTHEASTERN
UNIVERSITY...PINES BLVD AND UNIVERSITY DRIVE AND SOUTHWEST RANCHES.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS OVER SOUTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY...AS NEW STORMS OVER
NORTHERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THIS AREA. THESE STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.


FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
605 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY...

AT 555 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL
HAS FALLEN FROM THE NEARLY STATIONARY THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LAST
1.5 HOURS. AN OFF DUTY METEOROLOGIST ALSO REPORTED ALONG DYKES ROAD THE
RETENTION PONDS WERE APPROACHING BANK FULL.

[gsytch]

New Port Richey, West Pasco county - about a mile from the Gulf. TOTAL RAIN TODAY....02" yes the ground was a little wet. That was it. BIG STORMS everywhere, huge rains, almost zero here. Again. Really? Seriously? This is nuts lol..........

The current radar - I am in the hole above Pinellas county where all the heavy rains are! Again.
http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/ba ... ounty.html

There is a seabreeze and collisions are at work. The radar is lit up, DP well into the 70's and the sun came out around 4pm to heat things up. Perfect set up for......................??? Will it finally be my turn? If it doesnt rain tonight, then the hose is out yet again Sunday! While many of you have been drenched, my grass is so brown it looks like winter. That little bit Thurs afternoon did nuttin'........ HERE'S HOPING!

where do you live gsytch?

[psyclone]

it looks like we have a really good shot at seeing some hefty seabreeze-induced thunderstorms for the tampa bay region up toward the nature coast today....areas that have been left out the last few weeks.

I figured we had a chance to cash in today and did we ever. lots of 2"+ totals around the area.

[artist]

New Port Richey, West Pasco county - about a mile from the Gulf. TOTAL RAIN TODAY....02" yes the ground was a little wet. That was it. BIG STORMS everywhere, huge rains, almost zero here. Again. Really? Seriously? This is nuts lol..........

The current radar - I am in the hole above Pinellas county where all the heavy rains are! Again.
http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/ba ... ounty.html

There is a seabreeze and collisions are at work. The radar is lit up, DP well into the 70's and the sun came out around 4pm to heat things up. Perfect set up for......................??? Will it finally be my turn? If it doesnt rain tonight, then the hose is out yet again Sunday! While many of you have been drenched, my grass is so brown it looks like winter. That little bit Thurs afternoon did nuttin'........ HERE'S HOPING!

where do you live gsytch?

That happened to us a few years back. It was like we were in this box that was shielded from all the rain all around us, even within half a mile.
We finally exited that box and had more than our fair share. Have faith! It will come!

[gsytch]

Nothing but sunshine and breezes today...clear blue skies not a drop of rain. STRONG seabreeze making the 88F feel rather nice and pleasant. Just finished watering the front, back yard and all the growhouses. After all, no rain to be had. I understand the week coming up is to be wet - I wonder how I will miss out? lol

[psyclone]

today's weather was wonderful. tropical and humid with a nice breeze. my favorite time of the year.

[TheStormExpert]

West Palm Beach, FL had its 3rd Wettest May on Record!

--WPB, FL Rainfall: 15.67"
+11.16" Above Average

--Juno Beach, FL Rainfall: 22.05"
(NE of WPB, FL)

[cycloneye]

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
215 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

.WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BEGINS TO HEAD
NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. DEEP...TROPICAL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
PROVIDING THE OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY EVENING.

FLZ049>052-055>057-060>062-065-061815-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.A.0001.130604T1815Z-130607T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...
CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...
WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...
NORTH PORT...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...
PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
215 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA...CHARLOTTE AND LEE. IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...MANATEE...PASCO...
PINELLAS...POLK AND SARASOTA.

* THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 48 HOURS. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE
ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

[gsytch]

Well, it did finally rain. Since yesterday I have had 1/2" of rain, bringing June's total to .75". May was less than 3", 2.8" fell on the 1st and 2nd with nothing for the next 29 days. Zero. I'm thankful for what has fallen but as usual, missing the heavy stuff. So, this heavier rainfall anticipated is welcomed here. My grass has browned completely out as of Monday but today should help that!