ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Jevo]

12z Euro is running

[webke]

Uh, anyone else concerned about that recent westerly movement?

A NNW movement yes.....She is gonna have to turn soon...but, I don't see it right now

Deltadog03,
With the lower pressure and winds would the 300-850 mb steering currents be taking over.

[Jevo]

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[Aja]

Knightsville, SC getting our first real rain band. I am 30 miles inland of Charleston, SC

I am a journalist, not a meteorologist.

[Jevo]

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[tolakram]

Latest long range radar loop from Wilmington.

[CronkPSU]

live 24 frame vis loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... map=latlon

Note the obvious improvement since this morning. I believe the shear that was hitting Irene this morning has reduced significantly.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

what happened to the eye in the IR from that satellite you posted earlier? looks like it just collapsed, starting to see dark reds again though on it again but no eye...

[Jevo]

Latest long range radar loop from Wilmington.

http://i.imgur.com/nQtqf.gif

Nice Shot tolk... Makes life much easier to track the center on radar.. Looks to be right on NHC track.. Wobble here.. Wobble there be the difference between light brezze or your patio furniture through the neighbors bedroom window at this point

[windnrain]

Is it just me or does it look like Irene's going to pass significantly over land? I could see this thing hitting the southern portion of South Carolina just as much as I can see it grazing the coast and hitting NYC.

[SouthernBreeze]

Is it just me or does it look like Irene's going to pass significantly over land? I could see this thing hitting the southern portion of South Carolina just as much as I can see it grazing the coast and hitting NYC.

did you mean northern part of SC?

[windnrain]

Yeah, that's what I meant. The Northern part.

[windnrain]

Or at least the southern part of North Carolina. I can see this eye just riding land all the way up the coast to Maryland. Bad news for NC/VA/MA area, but much better news for New England.

[shawn67]

Looking at the realtime GOES-Looks to me like the NE turn has begun...

Don't listen to me-I am not that smart-only listen to directives from the NHC and, more importantly, your local emergency management authorities.

[SNOW_JOKE]

NOAA Buoy in Wilmington which should come close to being in, or near the inner Eyewall when Irene passes. Also will be a good indicator of height levels.

http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/geo.sh ... on=8658163

[SouthernBreeze]

Yeah, that's what I meant. The Northern part.

looks more to me, that if it goes due north from this point, it'd be about Wilmington - definitely needs to go NE from here to hit Outer Banks first!

Just my UNprofessional Opinion!!

[windnrain]

I just don't see it hitting the outer banks dead on, as opposed to hitting more westerly over land. Midn you, the outer banks are gonna get messed up no matter WHERE this hits, but it just really, really looks to me like it's going to be quite hard for this to miss going over a lot of land. This is my UNprofessional opinion as well.

[Zarniwoop]

I don't know about anyone else, but I felt the way some here did before Ike came ashore and ran right over top of us in downtown Houston. "It's only going to be a cat 1 or TS when it hits us", my boss said. "This is going to be really cool", my friends and I thought ( we were young =/ ).

First, let me say the obvious, that I'm not an expert and PLEASE rely solely on the official channels for actual information.

But, for those of you who haven't been through a hurricane, it's NOTHING like you're expecting. There's nothing that can possibly prepare you for the experience of a huge, relatively slow-moving hurricane coming through. Even if you don't live in a mandatory evacuation area or you live in high ground far from the coast like I did, a hurricane was nothing like I was expecting. I was excited, honestly and thought it was going to be really exhilarating. It's not. Its really, really terrifying and even sub-hurricane force winds were very destructive over the 10-12 hours or more that Ike made Houston it's home.

PLEASE don't take this post as even REMOTELY predictive, or containing any knowledge of incoming weather anywhere in the world. Rely solely on official channels and the National Weather service for your preparations.

I simply posted this because Ike really changed my perceptions forever of what mother nature is capable of and years later, I have no desire to ever repeat the experience of watching my windows cave in an hour into the storm. If one person in a danger area reads this and decides to take it seriously, it's worth it.

[Swimdude]

Here is a live webcam set up at Pier 14 in Myrtle Beach

http://www.youtube.com/user/WPDENewsChannel15#p/l/CDYOcZ5t3N4

That webcam is shaking like it won't be around much longer... :/

Two not-so-bright individuals playing with the waves right now.

This is what NOT to do, folks!

[Bizzles]

Here is a live webcam set up at Pier 14 in Myrtle Beach

http://www.youtube.com/user/WPDENewsChannel15#p/l/CDYOcZ5t3N4

That webcam is shaking like it won't be around much longer... :/

Two not-so-bright individuals playing with the waves right now.

This is what NOT to do, folks!

OMG do you see these goofballs? What if a surge comes in?

[CronkPSU]

I just don't see it hitting the outer banks dead on, as opposed to hitting more westerly over land. Midn you, the outer banks are gonna get messed up no matter WHERE this hits, but it just really, really looks to me like it's going to be quite hard for this to miss going over a lot of land. This is my UNprofessional opinion as well.

Going to have to almost go true NNE (thanks tolakram for correcting that)for it to hit where the NHC track is