Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

[RL3AO]

Very risky forecast there by Hales...I don't see the need for a PDS watch at this point, but I might be seeing things differently...

Well I tend to agree with you, but they could have an armload of data you and I dont have access to.

Something must have changed in the last 30 minutes. If they knew they were going to issue a PDS, you would think they would have gone with 15%H at 20z.

[Bunkertor]

What ?

[zaqxsw75050]

looks like first cell is developing west of Wichita Falls.

[Bunkertor]

looks like first cell is developing west of Wichita Falls.

Lifted index of -7 in the area

[KWT]

Yep first cell is breaking out near electra near the dryline bulge, looks like it went up pretty rapidly, not surprising given LI like that. Looks like a pretty decent week for severe storms!

[RL3AO]

And there it is

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
328 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 328 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ELECTRA...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS QUICKLY BECOMING SEVERE. HAIL TO THE SIZE
OF GOLFBALLS AND WINDS OF 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD AND HAYNESVILLE.

[CrazyC83]

That was fast!!!

[Ed Mahmoud]

Lawton, OK will be quite unstable with rather impressive shear forecast per RUC when that cell is in area.

[RL3AO]

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
359 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
EASTERN WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
SOUTHERN TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 359 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ON THE WILBARGER...WICHITA COUNTY LINE
BETWEEN HARROLD AND HAYNESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
GOLFBALL TO TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL AND 65 MPH WINDS ARE LIKELY. CONDITIONS
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD...HAYNESVILLE
AND LOVELAND.

[CrazyC83]

Those will likely be tornadic soon...

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0579
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0409 PM CDT MON APR 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN/CNTRL KS INTO SW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 072109Z - 072315Z

SEVERE THREAT WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION THROUGH MID-EVENING SEEMS
LIKELY TO REMAIN MARGINAL...BUT ADDITIONAL WATCHES NORTH OF TORNADO
WATCH 169 WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER DESTABILIZATION LATER THIS
EVENING.

STEEPENING ISENTROPIC ASCENT WITHIN A LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC
BAROCLINIC ZONE IS CONTRIBUTING TO INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
SOUTHEAST OF RUSSELL KS INTO THE VICINITY OF CHANUTE KS. THIS IS
OCCURRING AS THE AIR MASS WITHIN THIS ZONE MOISTENS ON THE LEADING
EDGE OF GULF RETURN FLOW...AND LIFTED PARCELS ARE ALLOWED TO REACH
LEVELS OF FREE CONVECTION NORTH OF STRONGER CAPPING. LATEST RUC
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE BAND WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT EAST NORTHEASTWARD...LIKELY EXTENDING ALONG AN AXIS SOUTH OF
THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR OF CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS INTO WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI BY 07/01-02Z. STRONGEST CELLS IN ZONE OF BETTER
MOISTURE RETURN/STRONGER FORCING SEEM LIKELY TO BE FOCUSED NORTHEAST
OF CHANUTE KS INTO AREAS SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF SEDALIA MO..
WHERE MOST UNSTABLE CAPE UP TO 500 J/KG PROBABLY WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT THE RISK FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..KERR.. 04/07/2008


ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

38829778 39049633 39029450 38859305 38059251 37739314
37609370 37449457 37449544 37779671 37949744 38289785
38579785

[Ed Mahmoud]

I've eaten at a Sonic in Electra, TX

[Bunkertor]

I've eaten at a Sonic in Electra, TX

So, the Bobby Labonte Dodge Charger shirt still fits ?

My favorite tune... http://de.youtube.com/watch?v=6uW0dJyMKsU

[Ed Mahmoud]

I've eaten at a Sonic in Electra, TX

So, the Bobby Labonte Dodge Charger shirt still fits ?

I have a Kyle Petty t-shirt, and I've gotten the kids Bobby Labonte t-shirts, but I have never owned a Bobby Labonte t-shirt.

[Bunkertor]

I've eaten at a Sonic in Electra, TX

So, the Bobby Labonte Dodge Charger shirt still fits ?

I have a Kyle Petty t-shirt, and I've gotten the kids Bobby Labonte t-shirts, but I have never owned a Bobby Labonte t-shirt.

Sorry - so i got that wrong.

[Bunkertor]

Lawton, OK will be quite unstable with rather impressive shear forecast per RUC when that cell is in area.

So, this is an omnious setup. It only takes a strong LLJ to worsen this up

[6SpeedTA95]

Storm just south of Altus may be trying to develop some inflow notching.

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
433 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
EASTERN WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 433 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO ANYTIME 5
MILES WEST OF HARROLD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. TAKE YOUR
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS NOW!

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD...HAYNESVILLE
AND OKLAUNION.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Field foreman near Kamay, TX can see a visible funnel, with dust below it, to his North. general direction of Electra.


He said it was just a funnel cloud, but I told him, if he can see the dust/debris cloud, it is a tornado.