Caribbean development? (Is invest 92L)

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Ivanhater
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Re: NW Caribbean development?

#81 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:42 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:I posted NAM yesterday and was laughed at! :wink:


Not laughed at :D

We were trying to figure out yesterday what the Euro was developing and the Nam showed the surge in tropical moisture moving through the Islands.
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Re: NW Caribbean development?

#82 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:45 am

Ivan, I may have found the culprit. :)

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#83 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:01 pm

nice eye cyclone...that seems reasonable
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Re: NW Caribbean development?

#84 Postby ColinDelia » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:08 pm

850 mb vorticity. 16z
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#85 Postby ColinDelia » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:11 pm

12z GFS similar to the 6z. You can see the vorticity move west but doesn't develop as much as the other models mentioned.
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#86 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:13 pm

12Z Nogaps on it....


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Re: NW Caribbean development?

#87 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:16 pm

Always beating me Vortex :wink:

Nogaps track is odd as usual but does develop the same low the Euro develops

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Re: NW Caribbean development?

#88 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:18 pm

What??? :eek:
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#89 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:18 pm

:uarrow: every blue moon :D
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#90 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:19 pm

Hey wait why does it say north western carribean.. I just read this thread..lol
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Re:

#91 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:20 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Hey wait why does it say north western carribean.. I just read this thread..lol


It started when the Euro spun this low up in the NW Caribbean a couple days ago, some models develop earlier.
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Re:

#92 Postby ColinDelia » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:20 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Hey wait why does it say north western carribean.. I just read this thread..lol


heh .. b/c when it first showed up on models it just suddenly appeared in the NW Caribbean
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#93 Postby ColinDelia » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:21 pm

Maybe we could change thread title to near Barbados or something
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Re: Caribbean development?

#94 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:22 pm

Just changed it :D
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Re: Re:

#95 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:22 pm

ColinDelia wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Hey wait why does it say north western carribean.. I just read this thread..lol


heh .. b/c when it first showed up on models it just suddenly appeared in the NW Caribbean


hmm well I did not even read this thread until now... but just made a thread about it lol...
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#96 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:25 pm

oh well anyway... it does look rather interesting as there is a low forming in that area as we speak..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/pr/flash-rgb.html

i really dont like the flash loops... :(
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#97 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:28 pm

It appears that we may get a spin-up around Barbados then a track NNW/NW while the cyclone strengthens a bit. A bend towards the WNW between Martinique and Guadeloupe per the Nam and Nogaps. Both seem close to this solution with some consistency the past few runs.
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Re: Caribbean development?

#98 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:29 pm

Nothing much on 12z CMC, which hasn't been keen on it from the start.
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#99 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:31 pm

I think well have an invest by tommorrow...should continue to increase in convection and organization for the remainder of the afternoon into the overnight hours.
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Re: Caribbean development?

#100 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 12:34 pm

Canadian sees it and closes it off but takes a trip outside the Caribbean

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