Concern of Strong Feeder Bands Impacting South Florida

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gatorcane
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#81 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:27 pm

some models are taking the path farther north through Miami now and into the Eastern Gulf. These models have intitialized Rita farther north which is correct. The models that take her south of the FL Keys have her initialized too far south. I expect these models to shift north to reflect the new initialization
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#82 Postby hicksta » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:28 pm

Which models
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#83 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:29 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=74593&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=80
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Scorpion

#84 Postby Scorpion » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:30 pm

Well isnt the BAMM just peachy.....
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#85 Postby LAwxrgal » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:32 pm

Scorpion wrote:Well isnt the BAMM just peachy.....


Yeh seriously. Puts second landfall right over my house. Yuck. Fortunately the BAMM isn't a reliable tropical model, is it?
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#86 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:44 pm

if it's not a reliable model, then why even show it? Actually it is only good in the deep tropics but not good for systems in higher lattitudes (e.g. Rita). ...
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#87 Postby ROCK » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:45 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Well isnt the BAMM just peachy.....


Yeh seriously. Puts second landfall right over my house. Yuck. Fortunately the BAMM isn't a reliable tropical model, is it?



BAMM worthless above 20N so I heard.
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#88 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:01 pm

Rita is looking very good this evening and has shown rapid organization since the 5pm advisory. In addition recon calculated a NW movement and a center that has relocated farther north.

The situation continues to become more dire for South Florida and the FL Keys...
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#89 Postby wxwonder12 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:04 pm

How far North is Rita and how long is she supposed to go Nw or

wnw before going west again???? I live in Palm Beach and am wondering if I should be concerned or not. Rain or more???
Last edited by wxwonder12 on Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#90 Postby Scorpion » Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:06 pm

We could get some bad effects. Rita is quite large and is only growing larger. IMO if it hits Miami or so we could get TS winds.
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#91 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:32 pm

Listening to MWatkins radio discussion. Key points:

1) Movement may be more NW then expected, ridge may not be as strong
2) Forward speed is slower than expected
3) Latest SHIPS intensity runs predict CAT2/3 impacting South Florida/FL
Keys

:eek:
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#92 Postby tracyswfla » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:34 pm

boca_chris wrote:Listening to MWatkins radio discussion. Key points:

1) Movement may be more NW then expected, ridge may not be as strong
2) Forward speed is slower than expected
3) Latest SHIPS intensity runs predict CAT2/3 impacting South Florida/FL
Keys

:eek:

Boca I am listening too!
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#93 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:35 pm

:eek:
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#94 Postby Canelaw99 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:37 pm

A cat 2/3 :eek: Any ideas which part (more Keys or mainland)?
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LIKE ARNOLD SAID IN PREDATOR

#95 Postby Lifesgud2 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:37 pm

GET TO THE CHOPPER...NOW....
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#96 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:37 pm

Since its popular right now...

:eek:
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#97 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:43 pm

I would like to add one at this point too....

:eek:
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#98 Postby cajungal » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:45 pm

Oh why not :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#99 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:45 pm

:eek: :eek:
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#neversummer
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#100 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:47 pm

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