Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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gotoman38
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#801 Postby gotoman38 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:54 pm

RECON 901 MB 187 FL WIND
Last edited by gotoman38 on Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#802 Postby THead » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:55 pm

mtm4319 wrote:Uh.......

I smell a special NHC statement soon.


About what, intensity?
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#803 Postby THead » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:56 pm

gotoman38 wrote:RECON 901 MB 187 FL WIND


rrrrrrrrrrrright....
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#804 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:56 pm

THead wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:Uh.......

I smell a special NHC statement soon.


About what, intensity?


Yeah... 901 mb. That means Wilma is now 5th most intense behind Gilbert, 1935 Keys Hurricane, Allen, and Rita. Katrina is now SIXTH!!
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#805 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:57 pm

THead wrote:
gotoman38 wrote:RECON 901 MB 187 FL WIND


rrrrrrrrrrrright....

Please don't hurt yourself when I tell you this, but he is right on that...
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#806 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:57 pm

THead wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:Uh.......

I smell a special NHC statement soon.


About what, intensity?


Yeah. They might just wait until the 2am advisory though.
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#807 Postby gotoman38 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:58 pm

THead wrote:
gotoman38 wrote:RECON 901 MB 187 FL WIND


rrrrrrrrrrrright....


see

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: WILMA (24L)
Mission Number: 07
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 07 Google Maps Vortex Position -- Click Here
Time: 04:32:40Z
Latitude: 16.9°N
Longitude: 81.9°W
Location: 218 mi NNE of Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua
Minimum height at 850 mb 516 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: NA
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: NA
Maximum flight level wind: ESE (116°) @ 187 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 3 mi NNE (15°)
Sea level pressure: EXTRAP 901 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 63°F at 5043 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 79°F at 5108 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 77°F
Eye character: CLOSED WALL
Eye shape: Circular
Eye diameter: 5 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at 850 mb
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 1 nm
MAX FL WIND 162 KT NE QUAD 04:31:30 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
Last edited by gotoman38 on Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#808 Postby THead » Tue Oct 18, 2005 11:59 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
THead wrote:
gotoman38 wrote:RECON 901 MB 187 FL WIND


rrrrrrrrrrrright....

Please don't hurt yourself when I tell you this, but he is right on that...


O
M
G

Unbelievable.........
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#809 Postby THead » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:00 am

Sorry gotoman.......i'm just floored by that......... :oops:
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#810 Postby gilbert88 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:02 am

WHAT THE!?!?!?!
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#811 Postby kevin » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:03 am

Forget the hand, this is the fist of god.
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#812 Postby Bgator » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:03 am

Wilma Looks to be doing a stair step pattern now!
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#813 Postby THead » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:04 am

Let the panic officially begin.
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#814 Postby gotoman38 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:04 am

THead wrote:Sorry gotoman.......i'm just floored by that......... :oops:


INCOMPREHENSIBLE

the floor just dropped out on this storm..... I hope she loses a LOT of steam when she makes the turn


rrrrrrrright :eek:
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#815 Postby rainbird » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:04 am

Scorpion wrote:Wow look at that eye. What are the T numbers? Surely should be at least 5.0.


What are T Numbers?? Just learning and lurking - Thanks
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#816 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:05 am

HURRICANE WILMA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS 150 MPH WINDS IN WILMA...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE TO PUNTA GRUESA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...
280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 405 MILES...655
KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE PLANE MEASURED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF NEAR 150
MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE
HURRICANE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 155 MILES...250 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS IS 901 MB...26.61 INCHES.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 25 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN
ACROSS CUBA THROUGH FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN ISLAND...AND JAMAICA THROUGH
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE FROM HONDURAS
NORTHWARD TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION...16.9 N... 82.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 901 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
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#817 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:06 am

HURRICANE WILMA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND THE FORECAST
INTENSITY OF WILMA. AN AIR FORCE PLANE JUST MEASURED 162 KNOTS AT
850 MB AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 901 MB IN A PINHOLE EYE. WILMA IS
NOW A VERY STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AND COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY FIVE TODAY. NO CHANGE IN TRACK IS NECESSARY.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 19/0500Z 16.9N 82.0W 130 KT
12HR VT 19/1200Z 17.2N 83.1W 135 KT
24HR VT 20/0000Z 18.1N 84.2W 135 KT
36HR VT 20/1200Z 19.2N 85.0W 125 KT
48HR VT 21/0000Z 20.4N 85.5W 125 KT
72HR VT 22/0000Z 23.0N 85.5W 115 KT
96HR VT 23/0000Z 26.0N 81.0W 90 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 24/0000Z 33.0N 72.0W 75 KT
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#818 Postby raisinsnacks » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:06 am

Rinse, lather, repeat. :roll:
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#819 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:08 am

HURRICANE WILMA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND THE FORECAST
INTENSITY OF WILMA. AN AIR FORCE PLANE JUST MEASURED 162 KNOTS AT
850 MB AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 901 MB IN A PINHOLE EYE. WILMA IS
NOW A VERY STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AND COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY FIVE TODAY. NO CHANGE IN TRACK IS NECESSARY.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 19/0500Z 16.9N 82.0W 130 KT
12HR VT 19/1200Z 17.2N 83.1W 135 KT
24HR VT 20/0000Z 18.1N 84.2W 135 KT
36HR VT 20/1200Z 19.2N 85.0W 125 KT
48HR VT 21/0000Z 20.4N 85.5W 125 KT
72HR VT 22/0000Z 23.0N 85.5W 115 KT
96HR VT 23/0000Z 26.0N 81.0W 90 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 24/0000Z 33.0N 72.0W 75 KT
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#820 Postby timeflow » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:08 am

Final thought before bed... wonder how this radical deepening will affect the storm track in the next few runs. Un be leave able...
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