ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

Saved Miami radar loop

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/NOAA_HurrHunter/status/783907527952048128

[Michele B]

I haven't been here very long, and obviously we are now in the thick of it. Wanted to ask:

Is this the right forum to discuss final preps?

It always seems so "technical" here. Is there a different thread to discuss prep plans?

[cjrciadt]

Looks like it might just squeeze the gap by the slimmest of margins!

[MaineWeatherNut]

With this thing already strengthening at a decent clip and it has yet to touch the gulf stream...

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/GMA/status/783989089146064896

[supercane4867]

Both recon and radar confirms a small wobble to the north is the past hours, that could put the brunt of NE eyewall directly over Nassau

[tolakram]

I haven't been here very long, and obviously we are now in the thick of it. Wanted to ask:

Is this the right forum to discuss final preps?

It always seems so "technical" here. Is there a different thread to discuss prep plans?

Yea, it's fine in here, there are some other less trafficked areas as well.

Observations thread: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=118377

Hurricane Prep forum: viewforum.php?f=30

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/ABC/status/783895320237178880

[tolakram]

Pressure still dropping.

[JKingTampa]

Saved Miami radar loop

Wow those are some strong bands to the west. I wonder how far the strongest winds are making it to the west now.

[northjaxpro]

I am having an issue with posting graphics at the moment, but the RPM model actually takes the eyewall inland about 15 -20 miles inland from the coast as it.moves due north to Jacksonville. It is a frightening as this rakes all up the coast.

[Frank P]

Just read the local hurricane statement from Melbourne. It is blunt and to the point. "Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or months" I have not read this dire of a local hurricane statement since Katrina.....and we all know what happened there. Get out now if you can.

Most definitely leave, if you have never been in a major storm and you are not leaving because you want the thrill of witnessing a hurricane, you DO NOT want to do this with a major, maybe a Cat 1 fine, but this is going to scare the living hell out of those who are not experienced with such strong storms... if you have any pine trees or other tall trees near your house, expect them to become missiles thru your roof... ground zero will be affected for months, power loss, houses lost, schools shut down, trees and power lines down everywhere, and snakes, did I mention snakes! All you will hear for days is the sound of generators, and you will see those blue tarps covering damaged roofs for weeks because of a shortage of contractors available for repairs, speaking of, it would be smart if you had several large tarps on hand to repair the singles that you are going to lose when you come back to your home, oh and don't forget the looters after the storm.... and as bad as experiencing a major storm will be, the aftermath will even be worse.. take it from someone who has experienced it twice... good luck to all

[GCANE]

Core temp at 6C
Last VDM was 5C


Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)

A. Time of Center Fix: 6th day of the month at 11:20:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 24°31'N 77°21'W (24.5167N 77.35W)

D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 128kts (~ 147.3mph)

G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 9 nautical miles (10 statute miles) to the NE/ENE (56°) of center fix

H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 941mb (27.79 inHg)

I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,043m (9,984ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,044m (9,987ft)

L. Eye Character: Closed
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles)

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 123kts (~ 141.5mph) which was observed 9 nautical miles to the NE/ENE (56°) from the flight level center at 11:17:00Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 120° at 9kts (From the ESE at 10mph)

[ronyan]

Looks like Nassau will be in the eyewall soon.

[marionstorm]

Will this northerly jog be enough to keep the storm offshore?

[JKingTampa]

Outer bands and inflow are definitively expanding. Curious as to how large this storm can get before Florida

[tolakram]

I am having an issue with posting graphics at the moment, but the RPM model actually takes the eyewall inland about 15 -20 miles inland from the coast as it.moves due north to Jacksonville. It is a frightening as this rakes all up the coast.

Verification is sketchy. Related tweet with one of our own in the mix.

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/783814256898736128

[artist]

According to the Gov. , live press conferencePalm Beach will be first to be hit and winds will be 100-150 mph.
2500 national guard have been activated.

[Batt2fd]

If you are in the path of Hurricane Matthew take some advice from someone who has worked emergency services in countless hurricanes. Take nothing for granted including help. Plan and prepare to be TOTALLY self sufficient for at least 72 hours or more. Heed warnings and listen for official emergency information. And don't do stupid stuff that means emergency personnel have to risk their lives to save you. Your injury or death due to this storm is 100% preventable.