Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Big O · #821 Postby **Big O** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 7:57 pm

I have a question. Most of the models are showing snow developing in northwest Texas and beginning to move east-south-east. However, the snow and precipitation for that matter appears to disappear over central and southcentral Texas, before reappearing in southeast Texas. Why is this the case? I have heard that there is not enough moisture, but isn't the same true for northwest Texas? In addition, wouldn't the shortwave and its associated dynamics lead to more precipitation? Do models have difficulty handling precipitation due to the dynamics of a shortwave?

#822 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:07 pm

At TWC they just said that Jim Cantore is heading to Houston.

#823 Postby **srainhoutx** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:At TWC they just said that Jim Cantore is heading to Houston.

That did it. Now we're cursed. :cheesy:

#824 Postby **Roxy** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:18 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
cycloneye wrote:At TWC they just said that Jim Cantore is heading to Houston.

That did it. Now we're cursed.

Damn you Jim. No snow for sure now. :lol:

#825 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:23 pm

Cantore's coming to Houston? Great, that pretty much wipes out anyone's chance of snow east of I-35! :cheesy:

#826 Postby **srainhoutx** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:27 pm

Maybe another thundersnow event caught on tape? Hope things work out for you guys in Central TX. Long range looks interesting for many in TX, but we'll save that for another time. :ggreen:

gofrogs · #827 Postby **gofrogs** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:38 pm

I want to hear anyones thoughts about the tuesday wendsday timefram for north texas what do yall think . . . the good news is with the hard freezes coming up the ground will be a lot colder and the precip may actually stick this time.

#828 Postby **r22weiss** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 8:57 pm

I still can't believe that the 12Z GFS shows possible 3-5 inches of snow for portions of Harris county tomorrow afternoon and evening and the 18Z run is pretty much the same. :froze:

Looks like all the ingredients are comming together nicely for an amazing event for SE Texas.

#829 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:04 pm

Portastorm wrote:Cantore's coming to Houston? Great, that pretty much wipes out anyone's chance of snow east of I-35!

The OCM said that Jim will be looking for the best spot in Houston or nearby that city

He will start reporting tommorow morning.

#830 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:10 pm

Portastorm wrote:
jeff wrote:
gboudx wrote:Radar returns along the Red River appearing on the DFW and OKC radars. Anyone up that way confirm what p-type it is, and if it's reaching the ground?

I doubt this is reaching the ground...Look at the cloud sheild advancing rapidly up the TX coast and impressive CAA ongoing over C TX.

Oh yeah ... this one's looking more and more like the 2004 event. Most places in the metro area here today couldn't even reach 50 degrees and that was with bright sun ... now we have a cloud shield advancing across the city rapidly and the temps should start to fall.

Yep, just like 2004 ... the coast will get snow. I get clouds and cold in Austin. Grrrr!

Come on down!! Or at least send Lucy! :cheesy:

#831 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:12 pm

No bud ... you don't want me down there. I'll screw up your chances! But I will tell Lucy that a bunch of my friends want to go kicking tomorrow in H-town. 8-)

double D · #832 Postby **double D** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:27 pm

Not sure if anyone has noticed or not, but the 00z NAM paints a nice little swath over the Austin area. Maybe there is some hope after all for us folks in Austin.

#833 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:41 pm

double D wrote:Not sure if anyone has noticed or not, but the 00z NAM paints a nice little swath over the Austin area. Maybe there is some hope after all for us folks in Austin.

I dunno double D ... that swath at 18 hours on the 0z NAM looks more like its over the Hill Country. But at this point, why quibble, right?! :lol:

We're getting to the point where the RUC model is useful as well as radar out west.

#834 Postby **srainhoutx** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:44 pm

Portastorm wrote:We're getting to the point where the RUC model is useful as well as radar out west.

And I thought I was bad looking at the SREF. :oops:

iorange55 · #835 Postby **iorange55** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:45 pm

Maybe it's just cause i'm not near as experienced as some, but some of the moisture tracks just look strange to me. I mean it certainly looks like there will be more moisture on the coast, yes. But it just seems like the models do weird stuff with the moisture over the hill country, austin/san antonio.

Probably makes no sense I know :roll:

but the models have just looked strange to me in that one area over the past few days.

#836 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 9:46 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Portastorm wrote:We're getting to the point where the RUC model is useful as well as radar out west.

And I thought I was bad looking at the SREF.

Haaaa! I know srainhoutx ... isn't that pathetic?! :lol:

OK, I'll try to keep my posts more relevant and helpful but I had to respond to your funny post.

joshskeety · #837 Postby **joshskeety** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 10:12 pm

VIRGA VIRGA VIRGA!!!

lol..

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

serenata09 · #838 Postby **serenata09** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 10:21 pm

I was hoping that wasn't all virga. :-\

Weatherdude20 · #839 Postby **Weatherdude20** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 10:50 pm

Here it's 36 degrees, Dewpoint 24, Humidity 57%...

http://z.wfaa.com/weather/myownradar/nw/myownradar.html Folow link and select "WINTERSIZE" To show Precip type... and "RAINFALL" The rainfall seems to follow the developing snow band.... Thus this Precip seems to be reaching the ground heading due east...

http://www.nbcdfw.com/weather/maps/ Nbc Dfw Radar shows same...

http://www.corad.org/texas_radar.htm Developing snow bands...

wxgirl69 · #840 Postby **wxgirl69** » Thu Dec 03, 2009 11:01 pm

I see TWC has The lower half of Texas at 1-3" of snow. Very exciting.. One concern.. My husband will be leaving a rig via helicopter first thing tomorrow morning and driving from Lousiana to Deer Park. I hope he makes it home and not get stranded...

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