Texas Winter 2017-2018

[weatherdude1108]

Had a thundershower leaving church. It was 31 degrees. Received a coating of ice on my wife's car during drive home.

[Ntxw]

The Euro is rapidly reconsolidating the TPV over northern Hudson Bay and it is shearing out the cutoff into a mostly dry positive tilted trough... Where have we seen that before?

yup dry cold on the Euro. Dejavu

The same Euro that showed basically no freeze this weekend? If it is not showing 80s 7+ days out we toss

[Haris]

Thunder sleet and freezing rain along with liquid rain in ATX!

[WeatherDuck]

Thundershower and 32° in Taylor.

[OKMet83]

12z run of the German model shows nearly same as GFS = Trouble esp over portions of Oklahoma.... Time will tell! Regardless we need any rain we can get!

[WeatherDuck]

Dropped to 31° in Taylor. A little sleet mixed with the light rain and thunder.

[bubba hotep]

The Euro is rapidly reconsolidating the TPV over northern Hudson Bay and it is shearing out the cutoff into a mostly dry positive tilted trough... Where have we seen that before?

yup dry cold on the Euro. Dejavu

The same Euro that showed basically no freeze this weekend? If it is not showing 80s 7+ days out we toss

I'm not doubting that things will change but busting on surface temps is a bit different than busting on the 500mb pattern. The Euro is pretty solid as you near 5 days with 500mb and it is losing the cutoff by D4.

[Ntxw]

yup dry cold on the Euro. Dejavu

The same Euro that showed basically no freeze this weekend? If it is not showing 80s 7+ days out we toss

I'm not doubting that things will change but busting on surface temps is a bit different than busting on the 500mb pattern. The Euro is pretty solid as you near 5 days with 500mb and it is losing the cutoff by D4.

There is going to be some volatility beyond 5 days in all the guidance as the AO/NAO shifts the stale pattern. Will the SSW benefit us? I don't know but I don't expect the players to be the same vs prior

Euro at 500mb from last Sunday for today



Today



Overall I'd say an ok 500mb being range. But sensible weather quite different

[PineyWoods]

Raining with some sleet here in Tyler

[Portastorm]

Today in Austin we’ve already had the following weather:

Freezing drizzle
Drizzle
Showers
Thunderstorm
Hail
Sleet

A few degrees colder and we would have had chaos here but thankfully temps were a smidge too warm. Roads and bridges just wet for the most part.

[Ntxw]

I want to point out again, DFW may have largely missed this sleet "event" but if you go back some pages before February started this thread got heated because folks were declaring winter basically over. Why? Some Euro and Weekly/EPS runs at 500mb declaring it over...it is wintering at the PWC Hq today! Funny

Portastorm is witness

[downsouthman1]

:uarrow: I want to point out again, DFW may have largely missed this sleet "event" but if you go back some pages before February started this thread got heated because folks were declaring winter basically over. Why? Some Euro and Weekly/EPS runs at 500mb declaring it over...it is wintering at the PWC Hq today! Funny

Portastorm is witness

Yeah just about 15 minutes ago, we had heavy rain with small hail here at 32 degrees with another batch hot on its heels.

[bubba hotep]

It is pretty crazy but every single model missed a line of showers and storms forming and pushing east across Texas while dropping sleet and hail

[Brent]

Austin had the best winter in Texas this year

[PineyWoods]

We had thunder here in Tyler 5 minutes ago, now it rain and sleet and 30°.

[bubba hotep]

The 12z Euro EPS continues to show an unsettled pattern across Texas with a big western trough. Concerns certainly are growing for a significant ice storm across the Southern Plains as the SE ridge keeps deep cold air out but shallow cold air is pretty relentless with systems constantly kicking out of the SW.

[Ralph's Weather]

28 with a steady sleet freezing rain mix that has been heavy at times. Thankfully roads are just wet so far. Another day this winter that will have a sub freezing high. Last year on this day it was in the 80s and 90s with pushing 100 in OK.

[PineyWoods]

I know this may sound crazy but it looks like it is also snow mixed in with the sleet. Not much but some. I didn't think the column was gonna be that cold high enough.

[orangeblood]

The 12z Euro EPS continues to show an unsettled pattern across Texas with a big western trough. Concerns certainly are growing for a significant ice storm across the Southern Plains as the SE ridge keeps deep cold air out but shallow cold air is pretty relentless with systems constantly kicking out of the SW.

Yep, some pretty heavy hitters showing significant precip this Friday/Saturday..some under the frozem variety and numerous borderline.

[Haris]

Today in Austin we’ve already had the following weather:

Freezing drizzle
Drizzle
Showers
Thunderstorm
Hail
Sleet

A few degrees colder and we would have had chaos here but thankfully temps were a smidge too warm. Roads and bridges just wet for the most part.

Was crazy! Add sunshine now! Generally roads were fine but loop 360 bridge was iced over along with highway 183 near domain . Their were 2 wrecks ice related on 2244 in W ATX. Majority city fine but some icy patches were there. Temps in upper 30s now.