ATL: CRISTOBAL - Models

[meriland23]

192 hr it is long gone.

[Riptide]

0z GFDL Ensemble

[NDG]

This is much better consensus among most of the models, at least through the next 72 hrs or so.

[meriland23]

This is much better consensus among most of the models, at least through the next 72 hrs or so.

http://i20.photobucket.com/albums/b245/ndgarcia/0FD78209-900C-49D2-A328-25C8CFF35861_zpsandx2isu.gif

Looks like a collectively agreed fish.

[hectopascal]

Yes indeed smelling like tuna now.

[N2FSU]

06Z GFS +6

[N2FSU]

06Z GFS +24

[N2FSU]

06Z GFS +72

[N2FSU]

06Z GFS +120

[TexasF6]

Throw these models out! COC has relocated south of Puerto Rico. Axis is rotating down there....UKMET may be right after all.





Personal Forecast Disclaimer: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[CFLHurricane]

Throw these models out! COC has relocated south of Puerto Rico. Axis is rotating down there....UKMET may be right after all.

Yep, might as well burn 'em all.

This relocation also means a lot of land interaction, which makes it more likely proto-Cristobal will miss his exit :-/


NOT A FORECAST; DONT EVEN TRY TO MAKE IT ONE. I'm looking at you, local news team >.<

[N2FSU]

"Throw these models out! COC has relocated south of Puerto Rico. Axis is rotating down there....UKMET may be right after all."

Agreed

[Frank2]

Discard all models for one - I don't think so...

[perk]

I also think that center may form south of where the NHC has it.

[perk]

Discard all models for one - I don't think so...

No we should'nt discard all models,but if the center actually forms to the south of the NHC location those models may shift back to the west.

[TheStormExpert]

I also think that center may form south of where the NHC has it.

If the center is still where the NHC suspects it is, then 96L is just a real total mess!(Notthat it already isn't.)

[TheStormExpert]

Discard all models for one - I don't think so...

No we should'nt discard all models,but if the center actually forms to the south of the NHC location those models may shift back to the west.

You have to remember the 00z GFS initialized further south, south of Puerto Rico, and it still made it's escape route in plenty of time.

[Alyono]

uh, the GFS actually does form the initial center S of PR. Why throw it out for initial center position?

[TheStormExpert]

uh, the GFS actually does form the initial center S of PR. Why throw it out for initial center position?

Exactly! It probably wasn't so crazy after all on it's 00z run.

[NDG]

Well, I guess the HWRF was that "bad" with 96L the last 2-3 days, lol.
Should serve us right for never to question the 2 big boys, King Euro and the GFS