Texas Winter 2016-2017

[gatorcane]

Speaking about the GFS parallel...

[Brent]

Speaking about the GFS parallel...

https://s28.postimg.org/qqm96fz1p/gfsp_T2m_us_41.png

interesting, it's colder than the op.

Already 31 here... I wonder how low it's gonna go

[Golf7070]

Speaking about the GFS parallel...

https://s28.postimg.org/qqm96fz1p/gfsp_T2m_us_41.png

Gatorcane, is the gfs parallel at all accurate? Or is the reg gfs more accurate?

[ThunderSleetDreams]

These are the first plots of the parallel

[Ntxw]

Speaking about the GFS parallel...

https://s28.postimg.org/qqm96fz1p/gfsp_T2m_us_41.png

Gatorcane, is the gfs parallel at all accurate? Or is the reg gfs more accurate?

We don't know yet it's scoring record. It's likely the next update for the GFS in a few months...great as if one GFS doesn't hook us enough..more model runs to feed the addiction

[dhweather]

That PGFS run is strange looking, but is somewhat consistent with what we are seeing so far. Quick arctic blasts, followed by relatively quick modification, followed by another quick arctic blast, rinse, repeat. This will be interesting to watch play out.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

GFS-Para connects the two highs and gets really funky at 216 hrs. I love it.

The MJO should swing to our favor just in time i think.

[Brent]

GFS is running... Tuesday morning the arctic blast is a little faster pushing into Oklahoma

and then it kind of stalls Tuesday and now a second push Wednesday morning

DFW drops from the mid 60s to the 30s Wednesday afternoon/early evening

[starsfan65]

GFS is running... Tuesday morning the arctic blast is a little faster pushing into Oklahoma

and then it kind of stalls Tuesday and now a second push Wednesday morning

DFW drops from the mid 60s to the 30s Wednesday afternoon/early evening

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... _us_24.png

The front won't come through here until Wednesday morning?

[Brent]

GFS is running... Tuesday morning the arctic blast is a little faster pushing into Oklahoma

and then it kind of stalls Tuesday and now a second push Wednesday morning

DFW drops from the mid 60s to the 30s Wednesday afternoon/early evening

[img]]The front won't come through here until Wednesday morning?

according to the GFS yes... the Euro doesn't really have a big front period in that timeframe.

Highs next Thursday in the 30s from DFW to Austin and low 40s in Houston

[starsfan65]

GFS is running... Tuesday morning the arctic blast is a little faster pushing into Oklahoma

and then it kind of stalls Tuesday and now a second push Wednesday morning

DFW drops from the mid 60s to the 30s Wednesday afternoon/early evening

[img]]The front won't come through here until Wednesday morning?

according to the GFS yes... the Euro doesn't really have a big front period in that timeframe.

Why the Euro doesn't have the front?

[Ntxw]

GFS has a similar front/conditions as was today late next week. Then the Alaskan ridge pops and again shows the SW trough. It will probably show inclement weather again this run

[Brent]

some frozen precip in E TX next Friday this run

[Ntxw]

some frozen precip in E TX next Friday this run

Thickness and 500h heights are very warm aloft. Shows that if there is a front driving next week it's all due to the weight of the cold. 540 freeze thickness is way up in Kansas

[Brent]

some frozen precip in E TX next Friday this run

Thickness and 500h heights are very warm aloft. Shows that if there is a front driving next week it's all due to the weight of the cold.

Weird wedge like feature over that precip, probably ice

On another note this run is much colder next Friday than previous runs even in the rest of TX

here comes the next arctic blast down the plains at 204

[Brent]

-40s in Wyoming at 228 hours

and Colorado at 240 hours

that whole week before Christmas is looking quite chilly

wow 2nd run in a row at almost the same time

[ThunderSleetDreams]

It goes full on icebox for Christmas Eve

[Brent]

1983!!!!!!

[Brent]

this run is almost below freezing at DFW the entire week before Christmas!

Perfect lol

[Brent]

DFW, Austin, and Houston all record frozen precip around Christmas Eve this run. DFW close to a half inch of QPF with temperatures below 30 degrees.

Where do we cash out?