Texas Winter 2022-2023
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
SHV is at least mentioning that some models are showing winter precip this weekend.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
GFS really dumping the cold right before Christmas again... It has highs in the teens here on the 23rd with single digit highs in Kansas

End of the CMC showing it too


End of the CMC showing it too
Last edited by Brent on Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Brent wrote:GFS really dumping the cold right before Christmas again... It has highs in the teens here on the 23rd with single digit highs in Kansas![]()
A white Christmas would be amazing but a frigid Christmas will suffice. Christmas without a fire in the fireplace just doesn't feel the same!
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There is no day like a snow day!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Brent wrote:GFS really dumping the cold right before Christmas again... It has highs in the teens here on the 23rd with single digit highs in Kansas![]()
End of the CMC showing it too
I would expect the operationals to trend even colder. Don’t think they realize the true potential of this yet.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:Brent wrote:GFS really dumping the cold right before Christmas again... It has highs in the teens here on the 23rd with single digit highs in Kansas![]()
End of the CMC showing it too
I would expect the operationals to trend even colder. Don’t think they realize the true potential of this yet.
We had single digit highs here in 1983 1989 and 2021 so that's sort of my baseline I'm watching if we really are gonna reach the full potential
The end of the CMC looks like a blue norther almost

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Brent wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Brent wrote:GFS really dumping the cold right before Christmas again... It has highs in the teens here on the 23rd with single digit highs in Kansas![]()
End of the CMC showing it too
I would expect the operationals to trend even colder. Don’t think they realize the true potential of this yet.
We had single digit highs here in 1983 1989 and 2021 so that's sort of my baseline I'm watching if we really are gonna reach the full potential
The end of the CMC looks like a blue norther almost
https://i.ibb.co/cr0DyZp/gem-T2m-scus-41-1.png
I’m not sure about 83 or 89 here but in Feb 21 we had highs in the upper teens to low 20’s here which is really impressive for this far south.
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- TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Some models are hinting of some form of storm next weekend. Only a matter of time before NAM arrives
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Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
End of the Euro also extremely cold... Highs around 20 here(near freezing in DFW). It's dry but faster than the GFS with it
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Models seem to be overall a little drier but a lot better at recognizing the cold over the last day or so
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The 6z GFS is delayed.
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Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
SHV has introduced slight chance for rain or snow this weekend.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
1069 mb HP within a week on the 6z GFS in NW Canada!? 

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
1070 mb again in NW Canada closer to Christmas? What is this madness!?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Stupid SW Ridge wasted the Christmas Cold Shot on the 6z GFS! 

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Looks like 57 may not be far off at all for Houston on Christmas. I don’t post much but I read, and he is right quite often.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
06z GEFS is brutally cold on Christmas but it has the main shot of the cold headed more east of us rather than straight down south but it’s still really cold here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Stupid SW Ridge wasted the Christmas Cold Shot on the 6z GFS!
No worries Ice, the ensemble looks good. Just hope the PNA doesn’t go too positive.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
WinterMax wrote:Looks like 57 may not be far off at all for Houston on Christmas. I don’t post much but I read, and he is right quite often.
70+ is highly unlikely even in SE TX. The cold will bleed south under it's own weight even if upper flow is out of SW. Global models struggle with surface temps always.
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