Ivan Advisories

[rtd2]

Quit Watching local Mets after Georges in 1998! Funny to see that guy on ch 6 out of N.O. (DAN Milham?? sp?) he ALWAYS down-plays a potential Threat to N.O.

[c5Camille]

knots x 1.15 = MPH
130kts x 1.15 = 149.5mph

[Stormsfury]

Qoute"130 kt in NW quad????"

135mph surface???

Using a 90% reduction from 700mb (flight level) to SFC with intense convection ... correct ...

SF

[Josephine96]

Ok people.. thank you..

[Brent]

130 knts is how many mph

150 mph, BUT THAT'S AT FLIGHT-LEVEL.

...and in not the strongest part of the storm.

Maybe not. They've been in there 2 1/2 hours and that's the strongest they have found. They went through all the other quadrants by now(should have).

947 mb supports a 135-140 mph storm more than 949, 951, or 955 mb anyway.

[Cape Verde]

Very good!

[opera ghost]

To get surface winds

XXkts * .9 = YYkts at the surface
YYkts * 1.15 = ZZmph at the surface.

130kts * .9 = 117kts at the surface
117kts * 1.15 = 134.55 mph at the surface

[tallbunch]

Mine our not saying much. I watch the Savannah, GA news. Said we wouldn't be effected. Which is pretty much right since we are not even close

[schmita]

Does anyone know what Brian Norcross is saying?
Thanks
irina

[Canelaw99]

Schmita - can tell you in about 45 min....

[Stormcenter]

It looks like our powerful hurricane Ivan has gone back
to more westerly course the last few hours.
I guess this would be good news for S. Florida
residents.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[tdess02]

I posted this on a different thread. The Local Mets in New Orleans always downplay any threat . The only one I respect is Bob Breck because he usually keeps all options open until it is verified that a track is certain. The mets here in the past always try to build the storm up when it is NOT coming this way and downplay it when it is haeding this way. Not sure why, but it drives me crazy!

[SunnyThoughts]

Our locals said.."Enjoy a couple of beautiful days here in the Panhandle, and keep watching Ivan, we should know more by the weekend, plenty of time so try not to worry"

[canegrl04]

I was watching the last tropical update on TWC,and the guy talked about Ivan like hes going to be quite a monster .

Cat.5 by 11pm

[Canehater]

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!

[WeatherEmperor]

Hurricanegirl......I love you with every fiber of my being

<RICKY>

[duris]

I posted this on a different thread. The Local Mets in New Orleans always downplay any threat . The only one I respect is Bob Breck because he usually keeps all options open until it is verified that a track is certain. The mets here in the past always try to build the storm up when it is NOT coming this way and downplay it when it is haeding this way. Not sure why, but it drives me crazy!

I dunno. Can't remember which one it was last year, but recall Breck's forecast being WAY off. Too bad Nash would be unitelligible by now even if they did bring him back.

[x-y-no]

way too short to call a trend ... I'd still call the movement WNW

[GalvestonDuck]

Looks WNW to me.

[canegrl04]

Its possible Ivan could go in the GOM untouched like JB thinks