Florida Weather

#8821 Postby **StormingB81** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 4:38 pm

Thanks Psyclone.

#8822 Postby **NDG** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 5:07 pm

The storms moving into the area are now becoming elevated, a cool northerly wind shift just came through my neighborhood in western Seminole County so the threat for the Orlando area for surface based storms which produce rotations is lowering as the evening goes but the threat for more heavy rains remains.

#8823 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 5:14 pm

radar is lighting up for sure across Central Florida. Looks like a healthy dose of rainfall with some embedded thunderstorms. Hopefully nothing too strong. It is just in-time for rush hour though across Tampa Bay. Some pretty good cells just moved through Northern Pinellas County (impacting psyclone I am sure) and there are some deeper reds on the radar showing offshore Clearwater over the Gulf, with some training occurring.

#8824 Postby **StormingB81** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 5:16 pm

Gatorcane you seen the photos and video from Port Orange? Like September a lot of flooding going on there

#8825 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 5:20 pm

Nope haven't seen the photos and videos. Any damage reports?

#8826 Postby **psyclone** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 5:29 pm

I've picked up nearly 2" in an hour and a half and the fire hose may target the area for awhile...no svr wx just heavy rain with an occasional rumble of thunder

#8827 Postby **northjaxpro** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 6:03 pm

Approaching 3 inches for the day here at my locale and still pouring. Just a thorough drenching! Total measured rainfall since Sunday now approaching 5.5 inches and counting. Quite a rainfall event for the state.

This will all move out of at least North Florida by midday tomorrow and the rest of the peninsula by late tomorrow evening as the cold front finally pushes through the peninsula just in time for Thanksgiving. Cool, High Pressure will build in through Saturday, with lows in the 30s both Thanksgiving morning and Friday morning here, and highs near 60. Perfect Thanksgiving weather as far as I am concerned. Nice, cool weather to go along with the turkey out of the oven and all the other goodies! 8-)

asd123 · #8828 Postby **asd123** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 6:21 pm

northjaxpro, NDG and others: GFS in fantasy land indicating for cfla highs in the upper 40s and lows in the 20s.
:cold:

For cfla: GFS
Highs 12/9 upper 50s highs: http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-p ... F&hour=348

Lows 12/9 overnight: http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-p ... F&hour=360

Highs 12/10: Mid to upper 40s: http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-p ... F&hour=372

Lows 12/10 overnight: 20's widespread: http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-p ... F&hour=384

What do you think? AO seems to be heading toward negative territory, PNA positive, NAO neutral. Let's see how this goes.

#8829 Postby **northjaxpro** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 6:26 pm

Well, we will have to wait and see asd123. This is 2 weeks out. There is a pool of arctic air building over central Canada, and will be watching carefully the teleconnections the next 10 days or so. If we get a -AO/ at least a slightly -NAO and a +PNA going into the first week of December, then that arctic air will plunge southward.

Definitely something to watch heading into December!

#8830 Postby **NDG** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 6:31 pm

Fantasy land, that's all it is. Like I said before we need a strong -NAO to see those kind of temps in the Orlando area.

#8831 Postby **northjaxpro** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 6:32 pm

Yep, you are right NDG in terms of seeing freezing weather deep down into peninsula Florida.

#8832 Postby **psyclone** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 6:32 pm

both the 8-14 and 6-10 day outlooks show above normal temps over much of the country. after the cool weather on Thanksgiving and Friday we will be on the warmer side of normal for the next 2 weeks

TheStormExpert · #8833 Postby **TheStormExpert** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 7:41 pm

Yeah, even with the negative NAO we recently saw during the arctic air intrusion this month none of that real cold air managed to get deep into Florida (let alone Florida in general) due to the NAO not being negative enough, though it was only November.

IMO I wouldn't expect any big cold fronts bringing real cold air into Florida through at least mid-December according to the latest CPC outlooks, and teleconnections.

Also something interesting is how remotely similar this current Thanksgiving East Coast trough is to the one that moved through Thanksgiving last year both bringing Travel Troubles along the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast as well as cool/cold air all the way down into Florida. (Perfect timing this year and last in terms of cool/cold air coming into Florida for Thanksgiving)

asd123 · #8834 Postby **asd123** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 7:59 pm

Copious amounts of rain has hit cfla today and will continue through Wednesday.

Image courtesy of Wunderground: Cfla. Doppler Estimated Totals.

Can anyone post an image or link of Central Florida actual rainfall amounts in a color coded map?

#8835 Postby **StormingB81** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 8:28 pm

I know Edgewood is over 6 inches Port St Johns is over 7 Inches.....We have had about 3 Inches here in south Orlando/Celebration area

#8836 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 8:30 pm

northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: Well, we will have to wait and see asd123. This is 2 weeks out. There is a pool of arctic air building over central Canada, and will be watching carefully the teleconnections the next 10 days or so. If we get a -AO/ at least a slightly -NAO and a +PNA going into the first week of December, then that arctic air will plunge southward.

Definitely something to watch heading into December!

A look at the cold air building over Canada... :cold:

asd123 · #8837 Postby **asd123** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 8:37 pm

gatorcane wrote:
northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: Well, we will have to wait and see asd123. This is 2 weeks out. There is a pool of arctic air building over central Canada, and will be watching carefully the teleconnections the next 10 days or so. If we get a -AO/ at least a slightly -NAO and a +PNA going into the first week of December, then that arctic air will plunge southward.

Definitely something to watch heading into December!

A look at the cold air building over Canada...

http://i59.tinypic.com/2ijk8iv.jpg

Someone posted in the Texas thread that Ryan Maue posted that their might be 72F anomalies by the end of November in Western Canada. This page in the link below contains some outlook into the upcoming weather pattern for the next couple of weeks.
viewtopic.php?f=24&t=116284&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&start=1640

#8838 Postby **StormingB81** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 9:51 pm

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
LAKE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...THE VILLAGES...TAVARES...PAISLEY...
MOUNT PLYMOUTH...MOUNT DORA...MASCOTTE...LISBON...LEESBURG...LAKE
HARRIS...LAKE GRIFFIN...LADY LAKE...HOWEY IN THE HILLS...
GROVELAND...FERNDALE...EUSTIS...EMERALDA...CASSIA...
WESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ZELLWOOD...WINTER PARK...WINTER
GARDEN...WINDERMERE...UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...PINE HILLS...
ORLANDO...OCOEE...OAK RIDGE... MAITLAND...LOCKHART...LAKE
APOPKA...GOLDENROD...CONWAY...COLLEGE PARK...BAY LAKE...AZALEA
PARK...APOPKA...
NORTHWESTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...INTERCESSION CITY...CELEBRATION...
SEMINOLE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WINTER SPRINGS...SANFORD...OVIEDO...
LONGWOOD...LAKE MARY...LAKE JESSUP...GENEVA...CHULUOTA...
CASSELBERRY...ALTAMONTE SPRINGS...
VOLUSIA COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PORT ORANGE... PIERSON...ORMOND BY
THE SEA...ORMOND BEACH...ORANGE CITY...OAK HILL...NEW SMYRNA
BEACH...HOLLY HILL...EDGEWATER...DELTONA...DELEON
SPRINGS...DELAND...DEBARY...DAYTONA BEACH...BARBERVILLE...

* UNTIL 1245 AM EST.

#8839 Postby **NDG** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 11:39 pm

Heaviest rain finally ending, ended up with 5.5" of rain for the day.

asd123 · #8840 Postby **asd123** » Tue Nov 25, 2014 11:50 pm

NDG wrote:Heaviest rain finally ending, ended up with 5.5" of rain for the day.

Yeah check out these Doppler estimated totals:

Image courtesy of Wunderground:

Does anyone know of a color coded map that shows actual rainfall amounts?

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