ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[KWT]

Yeah this does look decent right now, I'd expect this one making landfall at 60-65kts, though the NHC may not go that high without recon...

[Aquawind]

The Yukatan prevents another Major..

[plasticup]

Let's be glad Mexico only got Karl and that the monsters are (for the moment) safely out to sea:



Karl may not be a good time, but the mother nature flexing her muscles in the open ocean you got to remember that it could have been worse.

[HURAKAN]

Landfall

[TheBurn]

[KWT]

Looks like Karl has made landfall now according to radar, I'm thinking this is a hurricane right now but we will gave to wait and see to see if there are any ships/reports from land that would support that...

[HURAKAN]

Webcam - http://www.webcams.travel/webcam/128018 ... a-Mahahual

[srainhoutx]

000
WTNT63 KNHC 151308
TCUAT3
TROPICAL STORM KARL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
810 AM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

DATA FROM THE BELIZE CITY RADAR INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF KARL
MADE LANDFALL AT ABOUT 745 AM CDT...1245 UTC...ON THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF
CHETUMAL MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF 745 AM CDT...1245 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 87.8W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Roxy]

Glad it's staying south, but I hope we get some rain out of it.

[plasticup]

http://images.webcams.travel/webcam/1280183888.jpg

Webcam - http://www.webcams.travel/webcam/128018 ... a-Mahahual

What is the vertical gray mass, out to sea? Surely I'm not looking at a tornado?

[HURAKAN]

http://images.webcams.travel/webcam/1280183888.jpg

Webcam - http://www.webcams.travel/webcam/128018 ... a-Mahahual

What is the vertical gray mass, out to sea? Surely I'm not looking at a tornado?

LOL ... Drop of rain in the camera lens

[plasticup]

BWAHAHAHA
I see it now.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[otowntiger]

The Yukatan prevents another Major..

Looking at Karl from a wide angle he's every bit as big as Igor now. His cloud pattern is huge and you're right. I think he was getting ready to bomb if it hadn't been for land getting in the way. Makes me think that he could still do that once he's back over water in the Bay of Campeche, that is if his circulation is not disrupted too much over the Yucatan.

[KWT]

Still looking very impressive right now, some impressive deep convection now heading inland.

Not picking up much latitude right now and the core looks like its barely picking up any latitude right now...the models do suggest a WNW motion will resume some point soon but obviously if it doesn't lift up it'll also limit the time it'll get in the soup so to speak...and also keep it bringing in drier air.

[HURAKAN]

1st Karl ever to make landfall

[CrazyC83]

Given the pressure fall after the advisory and late SFMR readings, I would guess 60 kt for the landfall intensity.

[x-y-no]

Looks like a very wet storm based on that webcam. Hope the flooding doesn't get too bad.

[Sanibel]

Tempting to say hurricane from the presentation but it could be land interaction tightening up the core. There was a dry east quadrant wedge that kept Karl from really strengthening before landfall.

We'll see if Karl maintains form across Yucatan like Alex did. Karl might see more land than Alex.