ATL: NICHOLAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[InfernoFlameCat]

clock in image is EDT
https://i.imgur.com/G5zJS8v.gif

Where can I find this radar?

Its an app called Radarscope. Costs ten dollars every year. Markalot has a more expensive version that I believe costs thirty dollars for an advanced view like lightning strikes and a few other features.

[Hurricane Mike]

I'm surprised here are still no Hurricane Warnings up. (Unless I've missed them)

[InfernoFlameCat]

Humberto (less shear)

https://i.imgur.com/75S2KnI.png

They look the exact same!

[grapealcoholic]

DMAX + frictional convergence

[Stormcenter]

Geez I swear it looks like Nicholas has moved eastward.
Must be one of those radar illusions. Lol

[StormPyrate]

Geez I swear it looks like Nicholas has moved eastward.
Must be one of those radar illusions. Lol

Like it dont want to come ashore

[tolakram]

[Clearcloudz]

Geez I swear it looks like Nicholas has moved eastward.
Must be one of those radar illusions. Lol

Like it dont want to come ashore

Mesoscale models do show most of the rainfall staying offshore and near the coast

[tolakram]

[Smurfwicked]

Geez I swear it looks like Nicholas has moved eastward.
Must be one of those radar illusions. Lol

I'm seeing the same thing on radar but don't know if it's really moving eastward or its just the western wall wrapping up better.

[Woofde]

It looks a tad better than I expected, but there is still almost no structure to the south side. It would have to make big structural changes to make it beyond a weak Cat 1. There's just too much shear and dry air. The rainfall definitely shouldn't be underestimated though, that's some serious moisture to the North West.

[grapealcoholic]

Could be some big time surge for the houston area

[LadyBug72]

Here in NW Galveston County we have light rain and breezy conditions. So far 3.2”. An interesting night ahead.

Good to see you post!! It’s gonna be a long night!

[Craters]

A few observations: it’s pretty cool outside here for an incoming tropical system. It’s doesn’t feel muggy at all - feels almost like fall.
Also, to the northwest it was partially blue skies with a nice bright sunset.
Nicholas is basically half a storm and I am on the edge.

Same thing here in Alvin. I was surprised to see the bottoms of sunlit clouds. Cooler out there than it was earlier today, too. Rain-entrained air from aloft, maybe?

[Craters]

the center is trying to wrap around, CAT 1 brown ocean effect??

That shear is still shoving what ever tries to wrap around back into itself. Doubt it because Texas Ain't no brown ocean, its a brown desert.

Not on this part of the Gulf Coast it ain't!

[tolakram]

[Teban54]

It looks a tad better than I expected, but there is still almost no structure to the south side. It would have to make big structural changes to make it beyond a weak Cat 1. There's just too much shear and dry air. The rainfall definitely shouldn't be underestimated though, that's some serious moisture to the North West.

A weak Cat 1 is already quite some achievement considering people were writing off that possibility just a few hours ago.

[Craters]

clock in image is EDT
https://i.imgur.com/G5zJS8v.gif

Where can I find this radar?

Try this:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/radar

[galvbay]

Getting some decent squalls now….gust to 30-35 mph. 2” of rain today.
Smith Point, Chambers County. North Galveston Bay.

[grapealcoholic]

Seeing 60 dbz pixels in the eyewall