ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane2022]

Looks like that Beryl still intensifying. Eye temps now at 20°C

[zal0phus]

She's like an early-season WPAC super typhoon.

[Dougiefresh]

https://www.iwcpinc.com/virtual-maps/

Web cams from the northeast coast and south coast of Barbados.

[Tammster]

Just south of Bridgetown Barbados about 2 minutes ago, facing south east.


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[Hurricane2022]

955 extrap

[Hurricane2022]

955 extrap

But this is not so surprising, considering that Beryl is racing like a car in a big city

[RT23]

As long as there is no pull upwards I am breathing easier for Barbados

[toad strangler]

Beryl piling up the June ACE until midnight!

[Category5Kaiju]

Beryl piling up the June ACE until midnight!

Until midnight? Heck, I'd say until July 8!

[toad strangler]

Beryl piling up the June ACE until midnight!

Until midnight? Heck, I'd say until July 8!

JUNE ACE was the context!

[Category5Kaiju]

Beryl piling up the June ACE until midnight!

Until midnight? Heck, I'd say until July 8!

JUNE ACE was the context!

Ooohhh my bad....

July starts tomorrow, right right

[InfernoFlameCat]

Tower firing off on the southeastern eyeball. Lets see if this commences another intensification phase.

[Hurricane2022]

EWRC should start by tomorrow morning, but the eyewall still very intense.

[Kazmit]

Eye has contracted from earlier. Still a bit squashed on the NE side but I don't think she's peaked yet.

[aspen]

Looks like Beryl has leveled out judging by this first recon pass. Probably due to a combo of an impending EWRC, the max potential intensity of the region, and its forward speed.

[Hurricane Mike]

Evening video on Beryl
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAOYRThbjqU

[Xyls]

I disagree that Beryl has peaked this smaller eye is going to likely allow for more intensification now that it is re-entering another place of elevated heat content as it approaches the islands. These hot towers suggest we could see a final Maria like intensification (although could be not as extreme) as it approaches the Windwards and I'm pretty sure it is the islands of Carriacou, Union Island, Mayreau, and Canouan are going to likely be the landfall/eyewall locations. Which I believe have between them about 15k people. This is likely going to be the strongest storm any of these areas have ever seen in historical records so hopefully the governments/populace have taken appropriate actions to preserve life.

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/MikeAdcockWx/status/1807551151073894756

[GCANE]

Wow, so the RH from the eye drop at 850mb is 97%.
It could be the low RH reading from the previous recon's eyedrop was an error or somehow Beryl found a way to recover.
Anyway, no indication of an impending EWRC using this signal.
Waiting to see what the Vortex message comes back with to confirm.

[GCANE]

Wow, so the RH from the eye drop at 850mb is 97%.
It could be the low RH reading from the previous recon's eyedrop was an error or somehow Beryl found a way to recover.
Anyway, no indication of an impending EWRC using this signal.
Waiting to see what the Vortex message comes back with to confirm.

I don't see that eyedrop posted anymore from AF300.
I wonder if it was pulled due to error.