ATL: Ex-Hurricane DANIELLE - Discussion

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#961 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 23, 2010 12:48 pm

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beautiful system
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#962 Postby KyleEverett » Mon Aug 23, 2010 12:49 pm

I'm thinking category two only in 5 days may have been a conservative estimate.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#963 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:07 pm

Contrary to yesterday when the center was exposed and in the eastern edge, today is in the middle of the CDO.

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#964 Postby superfly » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:12 pm

Anti-cyclone lined up with it now, should have a good shot at becoming a major in the next 2 days before shear increases again.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#965 Postby Macrocane » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:17 pm

It's a beautiful system, it may not have very cold cloud tops as yesterday but the outflow is much better, there is some banding and the most important thing is that the center is completely under the convection I'm on board with those who think Danielle is going to be a major.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#966 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:27 pm

AL, 06, 2010082318, , BEST, 0, 152N, 407W, 60, 991, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 20,

Still a TS per best track
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#967 Postby Frank2 » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:28 pm

Wow - already between 15 and 16 - so long, Danielle...
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#968 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:33 pm

This is the initial data by the 18z tropical suite.

LATCUR = 15.2N LONCUR = 40.7W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 16KT
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#969 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:37 pm

SAB dvorak says is Hurricane Danielle.

23/1745 UTC 15.2N 40.5W T4.0/4.0 DANIELLE -- Atlantic


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#970 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:52 pm

18z Best Track updates to Hurricane Danielle!!

AL, 06, 2010082318, , BEST, 0, 152N, 407W, 65, 987, HU


ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#971 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:53 pm

definite fist action right now!!!
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#972 Postby Florida1118 » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:55 pm

Yay!!! And it only took nearly 2 months of crap to get it! :D
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#973 Postby canes04 » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:56 pm

And still moving west!!
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#974 Postby ColinDelia » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:58 pm

Latest SHIPS Forecast takes Danielle to 100 knots in 48 hours and keeps it there until 84 hours

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/ ... _ships.txt
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#975 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:59 pm

285 deg at 16 kts according to the model initialization. WNW
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#976 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 23, 2010 1:59 pm

the ACE machine is doing just fine!
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#977 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 23, 2010 2:01 pm

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Loop
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#978 Postby otowntiger » Mon Aug 23, 2010 2:03 pm

Frank2 wrote:Wow - already between 15 and 16 - so long, Danielle...
I didn't think there was still any question about that.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#979 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 23, 2010 2:05 pm

Very nice wall development underway on microwave.

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Re: ATL : Tropical Storm DANIELLE - Discussion

#980 Postby canes04 » Mon Aug 23, 2010 2:05 pm

ok wxman57, wnw.

I believe the 11am advisory was 15.1 now at 15.2.

Do you think this is a 100% Ocean Storm?
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