ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 271404
AF308 0202A BERYL HDOB 32 20120527
135600 2901N 08035W 8433 01563 0118 +137 +109 322038 039 027 001 00
135630 2900N 08037W 8430 01568 0119 +137 +109 325041 041 025 001 00
135700 2858N 08038W 8432 01568 0118 +140 +113 325040 041 024 001 00
135730 2857N 08039W 8428 01573 0121 +139 +113 326039 040 024 001 00
135800 2856N 08041W 8432 01571 0121 +142 +107 322038 038 023 000 00
135830 2855N 08042W 8428 01575 0124 +138 +104 316036 037 022 000 00
135900 2854N 08043W 8432 01572 0126 +136 +108 316034 035 022 000 00
135930 2852N 08044W 8428 01577 0125 +138 +105 314033 034 021 001 00
140000 2851N 08046W 8432 01574 0127 +140 +088 311033 033 023 000 03
140030 2851N 08046W 8432 01574 0127 +143 +078 310033 033 /// /// 03
140100 2849N 08048W 8430 01577 0125 +147 +076 309032 032 /// /// 03
140130 2849N 08050W 8427 01580 0125 +146 +074 309030 031 /// /// 03
140200 2851N 08050W 8430 01579 0127 +146 +077 310030 030 /// /// 03
140230 2852N 08051W 8433 01575 0128 +145 +075 310030 030 /// /// 03
140300 2853N 08051W 8427 01579 0126 +140 +081 313030 030 /// /// 03
140330 2855N 08051W 8139 01864 0116 +126 +064 326033 034 /// /// 03
140400 2856N 08052W 7856 02171 0126 +109 +082 331030 033 /// /// 03
140430 2858N 08053W 7810 02230 0138 +105 +075 337027 028 /// /// 03
140500 2859N 08054W 7828 02212 0139 +105 +082 336028 029 /// /// 03
140530 2901N 08055W 7809 02231 0138 +105 +083 336028 029 /// /// 03
$$
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[SeminoleWind]

Hopefully when it makes landfall and slows down that rain will spread out and we get more than just some fast moving showers here.

[jdray]

Satellite indicates a center near 30.5N/79.6W. It's sort of broad. The recon fix may have been on the south side. Or there may be a couple of vortices rotating around. Here's a zoomed in satellite with 1 deg lat/lon lines. the "x" is the vortex fix, the bigger crosshairs near 30.5N/79.6W is where the clouds indicate the center is. it does appear as though there might be a small vortex at 30.1N/79.3W.

Thats probably what I am seeing then.

[CronkPSU]

Hopefully when it makes landfall and slows down that rain will spread out and we get more than just some fast moving showers here.

i sure hope so as well!

[Dean4Storms]

Just you, center is due east of Jax. Bch.

The actual center of cirulation is about 140 to 150 miles due east of jacksonville beach at the current time. NWS Jax office is projecting landfall at near Ponte Vedra or jax beach sometime before midnight.

That's what I'm seeing, I grew up in Arlington and went to TPHS, spent many a day out surfing those waters!

[jdray]

LMAO....

my neighbors just started their lawn mower. Gotta love us Floridians.
Already pulled my lawn chairs and table in the garage to keep them from getting trashed and thrown around, they look like they are planning for a cookout.

Speaking of which, need to strap the cover on grill and smoker, hate scrubbing rust off.

[tolakram]

[brunota2003]

Wow 65 knots at flight level with smurf readings of 49 knots uncontaminated...Beryl trying to strengthen now?

[Dave]

Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 14:05Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Beryl (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 09

Mandatory Data...

Observation Time: Sunday, 14:00Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 28.9N 80.8W
Location: 26 miles (41 km) between the SE and SSE (146°) from Daytona Beach, FL, USA.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 1,520 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 310° at 32 knots (From the NW at ~ 36.8 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 14°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 9°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Broken clouds (5/8 to 7/8 cloud coverage)
850 mb Surface Altitude: 1,507 geopotential meters

Remarks Section...

Surface Wind Speed (likely by SFMR): 21 knots (~ 24.2mph)

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 271414
AF308 0202A BERYL HDOB 33 20120527
140600 2902N 08056W 7815 02224 0138 +105 +083 332028 028 /// /// 03
140630 2904N 08057W 7819 02221 0138 +105 +083 333027 028 /// /// 03
140700 2906N 08058W 7815 02226 0141 +101 +084 334026 027 /// /// 03
140730 2907N 08059W 7816 02222 0142 +100 +084 334028 029 /// /// 03
140800 2909N 08100W 7826 02215 0143 +100 +087 333029 030 /// /// 03
140830 2910N 08101W 7815 02224 0138 +100 +083 334029 029 /// /// 03
140900 2912N 08102W 7712 02330 0134 +091 +078 337030 030 /// /// 03
140930 2913N 08103W 7329 02748 0117 +079 +054 342030 031 /// /// 03
141000 2914N 08104W 6969 03161 0108 +061 +032 347027 030 /// /// 03
141030 2916N 08105W 6731 03449 0116 +041 +019 353029 029 /// /// 03
141100 2918N 08106W 6690 03503 0122 +039 -009 352028 029 /// /// 03
141130 2919N 08108W 6700 03495 0129 +036 +011 358031 032 /// /// 03
141200 2921N 08109W 6707 03488 0127 +038 +015 002031 031 /// /// 03
141230 2922N 08111W 6704 03489 0129 +034 +021 001032 033 /// /// 03
141300 2923N 08113W 6614 03593 0112 +034 +007 009034 036 /// /// 03
141330 2924N 08114W 6371 03893 0095 +026 -001 012034 036 /// /// 03
141400 2926N 08116W 6225 04086 0104 +010 -000 015035 036 /// /// 03
141430 2927N 08118W 6133 04202 0095 +005 -015 014033 037 /// /// 03
141500 2928N 08119W 5819 04621 0076 -010 -039 006029 031 /// /// 03
141530 2930N 08121W 5624 04896 0079 -027 -071 005028 029 /// /// 03
$$
;

[HUC]

HEY guys,i come back on the board after some vertebral column problems, but all is fine now.
Seems some winds coming for you...
Someone got a web cam in the area cocerned??
Thank's and Hello LUIS.

[tolakram]

Speed this loop up to see rather ill-defined center as it appears to be drifting SW.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

[northjaxpro]

Closer composite radar image from NWS Jax

[NDG]

Satellite indicates a center near 30.5N/79.6W. It's sort of broad. The recon fix may have been on the south side. Or there may be a couple of vortices rotating around. Here's a zoomed in satellite with 1 deg lat/lon lines. the "x" is the vortex fix, the bigger crosshairs near 30.5N/79.6W is where the clouds indicate the center is. it does appear as though there might be a small vortex at 30.1N/79.3W.

http://home.comcast.net/~cgh57/Beryl1.gif

I can see them missing the center one time, but twice? I do not know about your thoughts

[AmeliaIslandr]

Here's a cam from the north end of Amelia Island

http://www.ameliaisland.com/web-cam-6/

[cycloneye]

HEY guys,i come back on the board after some vertebral column problems, but all is fine now.
Seems some winds coming for you...
Someone got a web cam in the area cocerned??
Thank's and Hello LUIS.

Hey,good to see my friend in Guadeloupe. Let's see how this season will be for the Eastern Caribbean.

[tolakram]

I can see them missing the center one time, but twice? I do not know about your thoughts

Have you looked at the sat loop? I think the center is re-organizing, perhaps as it transitions to a tropical system.

Looking at that loop, sped up, Beryl looks serious.

I'm waiting for the headline: Beryl barreling toward Jacksonville!

Stay safe everyone!

[HUC]

Thank's for the cam,and Luis we got some time to see the MDR begining to boil up!!!

[NDG]

I can see them missing the center one time, but twice? I do not know about your thoughts

Have you looked at the sat loop? I think the center is re-organizing, perhaps as it transitions to a tropical system.

Looking at that loop, sped up, Beryl looks serious.

I'm waiting for the headline: Beryl barreling toward Jacksonville!

Stay safe everyone!

Yes I have, but I still see the main circulation near 30.1 not 30.5

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 271424
AF308 0202A BERYL HDOB 34 20120527
141600 2931N 08123W 5477 05108 0213 -039 -081 011027 028 /// /// 03
141630 2932N 08125W 5381 05250 0223 -047 -082 017029 030 /// /// 03
141700 2933N 08128W 5289 05390 0233 -057 -096 020032 033 /// /// 03
141730 2934N 08130W 5166 05569 0239 -066 -128 017035 036 /// /// 03
141800 2934N 08132W 4987 05845 0253 -085 -161 010037 038 /// /// 03
141830 2935N 08135W 4810 06119 0262 -096 -175 017039 040 /// /// 03
141900 2936N 08137W 4628 06419 0279 -105 -287 023036 039 /// /// 03
141930 2937N 08139W 4486 06658 0294 -121 -324 023038 039 /// /// 03
142000 2938N 08141W 4353 06887 0307 -137 -330 020040 040 /// /// 03
142030 2938N 08143W 4233 07101 0319 -154 -327 020041 042 /// /// 03
142100 2939N 08146W 4121 07304 0331 -168 -290 012038 041 /// /// 03
142130 2940N 08148W 4016 07499 0342 -182 -308 011036 037 /// /// 03
142200 2941N 08150W 3934 07651 0351 -196 -334 013036 036 /// /// 03
142230 2942N 08152W 3917 07690 0356 -201 -321 010035 035 /// /// 03
142300 2942N 08154W 3922 07681 0360 -202 -326 010034 034 /// /// 03
142330 2943N 08157W 3922 07686 0363 -205 -330 011034 035 /// /// 03
142400 2944N 08200W 3925 07684 0366 -200 -322 015035 035 /// /// 03
142430 2945N 08202W 3923 07688 0369 -203 -336 015035 035 /// /// 03
142500 2946N 08205W 3926 07688 0372 -205 -339 016035 036 /// /// 03
142530 2947N 08208W 3925 07691 0374 -205 -341 018035 035 /// /// 03
$$
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