ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[gatorcane]

In fact the strongest winds I can find on the SW Coast of FL do not exceed 50mph....

Its looking like the FL Keys experienced the worst winds with Fay at this point and SE FL, especially Palm Beach County experienced similar winds to the SW Coast of FL believe it or not.

[tolakram]

landcane!

So what the heck happened. I fell asleep, wake up to find landfall, a storm with a low pressure but weak winds, a clear eye on radar over land.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

You shouldn't invade the privacy of a lady by looking through her eye and into her soul! lol I guess she wants to be a country girl! lol

[deltadog03]

I need a pro met to explain what is going on with Fay. Storms don't develop eyes hours after they make landfall, they usually lose their eye features. Fay barely had a eyewall going when she came ashore, and the latest radar return shows an almost fully enclosed eyewall. It just makes not sense. Is it being enhanced by the trough to its north?

LOL....how about I Dunno!!!

[StJoe]

So im still thinking Fay is gonna shoot the gut at Lake O...right down the middle...

[HURAKAN]

[tolakram]

high speed loop:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

Still generating convection and outflow looks good. Crazy. And people say these small storms are boring?

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html




So this raises the question, if it can maintain this until the Atlantic ...

[gatorcane]

is that an eye showing up on this visibile image?

[Cookiely]

Am I seeing this correctly? Fay proceeds across the state, comes back in the GOM and proceeds to landfall in the same area a second time. What are the odds? A zillion to one.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

That's an old run of the GFS...from Sunday night.

Thank you for the info. I appreciate your help.

[SapphireSea]

I believe it may have been delayed maximum that caused an 'eye' center. But it seems that obs from the eye and eyewall still indicate little change in strength. I don't know if interaction with that trough has anything to do with it, but it looks extremely good in terms of structure.

[Steve]

>>Even though the everglades won't hurt the storm as much, there has to be some other reasoning as to why Fay is behaving like this.

It's probably a combination of several things including land interaction. JMO

Steve

[Just Joshing You]

I just woke up. This is pretty shocking.. I did not expect it to strengthen much, but is it possible she attained Hurricane Status afterall.. AFTER landfall?

[shaggy]

I read a promets response to the eye on another forum and he described frictional convergence as a possible reason. The land interaction causes the center to tighten and the "eye" to clear and look better.

[Normandy]

Last radar scan is hilarious, it almost has a full eyewall!

[Just Joshing You]

Can someone post the pictures?

[caneman]

It is now also moving with the flow so that helps too. Also drawing moisture from 3 sources. GOM, Lake O and Atlantic. Don't expect it lose much power, should still be intact if it makes it back to the Atlantic.

[HURAKAN]

She is stationary. Steering currents becoming very weak..

[tolakram]

Updated tracking chart. Unless a bend is forecast it should miss Lake O.



and I might add I'm almost out of chart space. If Fay makes it north I'm going to have to use some copy/paste skills.

[gatorcane]

so that is no eye trying to form ?

[GeneratorPower]

Lake O is probably providing a small boost.