ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

KLP124 · #9781 Postby **KLP124** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:39 am

I'm watching the "drunk guy" webcast and it looks minimal there (supposedly Houma)

#9782 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:42 am

KLP124 wrote:So does anyone think all these tornadoes will make it to SE Texas. I hate tornadoes more than I hate hurricanes!

We are on the wrong side of the storm for the tornados. Normally they are on the N ahd E side of a landfalling system. Not expecting much weather from Gustav in this area today. Maybe some squalls near the TX/LA border later today.

Tom8 · #9783 Postby **Tom8** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:44 am

Morphed Integrated Microwave
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... hr_08.html

KWT · #9784 Postby **KWT** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:47 am

Eyewall trying to build back into the eastern side from the south but the eye is pretty much onshore now, will get an offical landfall shortly I'd think.

Chacor · #9785 Postby **Chacor** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:52 am

As of 40 minutes ago.

weunice · #9786 Postby **weunice** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:54 am

Just to the east of BR.

I was expecting to wake up in the middle of the night from wind and rain ... nothing here. Maybe 10 mph winds right now. Looks like about 30 minutes until we get the big mass of rain though. I expect things will pick up at that point.

Chacor · #9787 Postby **Chacor** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:57 am

WTNT52 KNHC 011156
TCEAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
700 AM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

AT 7 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT
85 MILES...135 KM...SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND
ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA.

THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 67 MPH...108 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 86
MPH...139 KM/HR.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

#9788 Postby **jlauderdal** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:58 am

5 tornado warnings, this is turning into a big time tornado producer

KWT · #9789 Postby **KWT** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:59 am

So Grand Isle has also got a gust of cat-2 strength, Chacor you can still see the eye fairly well there on that image.

Chacor · #9790 Postby **Chacor** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:03 am

KWT wrote:So Grand Isle has also got a gust of cat-2 strength, Chacor you can still see the eye fairly well there on that image.

Gust to Cat 2 strength? Aside from the fact that gusts have no category scale, 86 mph is a cat 1. 86 kt would be a cat 2.

KWT · #9791 Postby **KWT** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:05 am

Chacor, ah my bad I'm getting my winds muddled I've gotten so used to using kts now!

Anyway the eyewall is actually rewapping back around again compared to about 2hrs ago.

evalea · #9792 Postby **evalea** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:05 am

Thought I'd come on and check things out while I still have power and internet. Wish I hadn't according to the forecast track, the darn center is going to pass right over my house :eek:

We are located south of Lafayette parish, in Youngsville.
Thankfully the wind profile looks like it won't be more than sustained TS, gusting to just over 100mph. Looks like we'll be looking ol' Gusty in the eye around 5pm. Thank God its in daylight.

(I'm getting my info courtesy of a private forecast company called impact weather my husbands company pays the big bucks for).

Its just starting to get very breezy out, I think its gusting to around 30, we are just starting to be able to hear wind noise from inside. and checking the entergy maps, I think I'm going to go make some coffee while I can. Oi, this is going to be a long day.

#9793 Postby **Frank P** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:05 am

Surge pix from Biloxi, lapping at the base of the sea wall in front of the house.. I'd estimate it to be about 7-8 feet atm.

#9794 Postby **Frank P** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:10 am

Waves are impressive for Biloxi, which only get waves from high winds.. from what I've seen between 3-5 feet.. watching this easy to understand how they can just pummel your house..

#9795 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:11 am

#9796 Postby **BigB0882** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:21 am

Getting windy in Baton Rouge but hardly any rain, the northeast of the storm really died down in that department.

Chacor · #9797 Postby **Chacor** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:22 am

NHC director Bill Read said in his 1203 UTC podcast update that Gustav is in the process of making landfall now.

#9798 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:29 am

Just received an e-mail from my aunt in Guanajay, Cuba, and the power was back at 1:30 AM today. Fortunately they were without power just one day. They got power back quickly just outside Guanajay there is a factory where they make buses and other vehicles to export.

As a reference how close Gus passed from Guanajay.

KWT · #9799 Postby **KWT** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:30 am

Yep sure looks like it on radar now, should get offical word through on a landfall pretty soon I'd have thought.

Solaris · #9800 Postby **Solaris** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 7:30 am

buoy 42040 has wave height of 26 ft at 12 utc

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