ATL: CRISTOBAL - Models

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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#981 Postby Blown Away » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:00 pm

Image
18z...

Image
18z... Intensity models ramping up 96L...

Image
18z...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#982 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:11 pm

are models pulling bit left again? look like last night was more to east
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#983 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:15 pm

Blown Away wrote:Image
18z...

Image
18z... Intensity models ramping up 96L...

Image
18z...


That's a major westward shift by CLP5. :lol:
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#984 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:16 pm

:uarrow: I believe only the unreliable models have trended greatly west according to those model plots.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#985 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:19 pm

A little unnerving with some of those models taking it north and hooking it west. Living in coastal nj gave me that Sandy track vibe that I never want to see again. It's looking better on satellite and you can easily see it getting itself together with some nice outflow starting to develop. The higher intensity forecasts are also alarming so I'm hoping it safely goes OTS.
Last edited by hurricaneCW on Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#986 Postby WPBWeather » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:22 pm

TheStormExpert wrote::uarrow: I believe only the unreliable models have trended greatly west according to those model plots.

Nope, that's not correct.
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#987 Postby OuterBanker » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:25 pm

Still see this as fish. But with a stall or slow down all bets are off.
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#988 Postby OuterBanker » Fri Aug 22, 2014 3:38 pm

The fact that this mess is so massive is probably holding back its formation. I see a problem is it does get its act together and meanders around for a while. Could be a formable foe that no one wants.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#989 Postby SFLcane » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:22 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#990 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:24 pm

18Z GFS initialized

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#991 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:26 pm

are models sifting bit to west?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#992 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:26 pm

SFLcane wrote:Image


That is quite a split in the models. A change might be coming.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#993 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:27 pm

6h

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#994 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:29 pm

12h

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#995 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:30 pm

18h

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#996 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:33 pm

24h stalled

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#997 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:33 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:
SFLcane wrote:Image


That is quite a split in the models. A change might be coming.

IMO that's as much of a trend west as we will SE with the models. It still smells quite Fishy out there! :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#998 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:35 pm

30h

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#999 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:37 pm

36h, moving slowly nw

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1000 Postby SeGaBob » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:38 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:
panamatropicwatch wrote:
SFLcane wrote:Image


That is quite a split in the models. A change might be coming.

IMO that's as much of a trend west as we will SE with the models. It still smells quite Fishy out there! :cheesy:



:uarrow: I believe you're wrong to assume that...I could see more westward shifts myself.


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Last edited by SeGaBob on Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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