Florida Weather

[gatorcane]

nothing here in Boca Raton either. I think we should see a more pronounced SW flow starting tomorrow hopefully which should pin the storms along the SE Coast.

[Tropics Guy]

Finally some much needed rain in my area, approx .50", which helps, but certainly not a drought buster!

TG

[psyclone]

We are finally getting heavy rain here. I've never seen browned out grass in July around here until this year. the rain is glorious! Let 'er dump.

[chaser1]

Not to look past a potentially uneventful Atlantic hurricane season, but at least am trying to maintain my unusual weather interest by anticipating our Florida Fall/Winter interesting weather potential, given the seemingly very strong (potential record?) El Nino. From one of the other forum discussions, 1972-73 ,1982-83,and 1997-1998 were all listed as some of the strongest past El Nino's on record. Assuming we here in Florida have similar Nino Fall/Winter weather conditions, does anyone either recall what unusual, extreme, or range of weather deviations our state experienced during those periods?

As a given, I would anticipate perhaps earlier cool weather outbreaks and an increased risk of severe weather associated typically with frontal passages but given those years above seemed to exemplify a greater Nino extreme, was wondering if the level of severe or ranging weather extremes impacted our weather all that much. By the way, I was living in South Florida during the time, but really have no particular recollection of specific weather events that took place way back then; I wouldn't necessarily assume that anyone else would either. Perhaps though, someone might know of a link or resource where such data might be readily accessible.

[psyclone]

it should be much wetter than normal with a much higher than normal chance of svr wx episodes, especially over northern and central florida...the last super nino gave us the infamous feb 1998 tornado outbreak which killed dozens around Kissimmee. The nocturnal severe wx threat during significant el nino events is very legit...me thinks we'll be exchanging tropical excitement for winter svr wx potential.

[Patrick99]

Some rain last few days, but still pretty sporadic and nothing out of the ordinary - definitely not drought busting rain, especially if the other pattern returns.

It's going to take a tropical system of some sort. I'd like to see one of those big, sprawling TDs that barely move for a few days....one of those would erase the deficit.

[psyclone]

I've been waiting all Summer for the kind of torrential rain we've been blessed with the past couple of days...finally. once the near shore waters of the gulf get to 90 or so (it usually happens a couple times per Summer or so) it's like a volcano ready to blow and when it does several inches of rain pile up and the water temps come down. an added bonus is a much needed break from the heat. I'll take it!

[HURRICANELONNY]

Lucky both of you. Here in Hollywood we really have gotten no measureable rain in I don't know how long. Atleast not on my lawn. Which is half brown.

[HURRICANELONNY]

Even worse precip. then they thought:

The relatively drier
midlevel air associated with a weak sal across the Bahamas, is now
forecast to make more westward penetration into South Florida,
especially on Sunday. In fact, the op GFS has little if any quantitative precipitation forecast
along the East Coast on this day. Thus the sal may have a larger
impact on this wekend's weather than previously thought. Although
storms may be less numerous along the East Coast, they could be
stronger considering past effects of the sal on storm evolution
across South Florida. The blends clearly have struggled with the
pattern today, and their probability of precipitation may be too high this weekend
although they are trending downward. In fact, the forecast into
next week is trending drier on both the European model (ecmwf) and GFS, which may
have to do with a large area of drier midlevel air that persists
over parts of South Florida.

[gatorcane]

wow

This is the driest summer I have ever experienced in my 10 years living in South Florida!

We did manage to squeeze out two good days of rain here on Boca Raton this week but it looks like my sprinklers are going to have to be turned back on this weekend.

We really need a weak tropical system to pass through the area.

[HURRICANELONNY]

Now were suppose to get a w/sw flow most of next week but lacking moisture.

http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc ... =Hollywood

[gatorcane]

well here in Boca Raton we got some good rains last night and even this morning. The forecast pretty much busted yesterday for us as NWS thought the storms wouldn't make it to the coast but they did eventually (by around 6-7pm).

No doubt the regional models are struggling a bit with determining chances of rainfall for South Florida.

[Taffy]

July 20th. SW Florida Lehigh Acres Lee County area.

We are saturated. So much rain. Saturday we got back to digging post holes for my new garden fence. 18inches down we hit water. No way we were sinking posts 2-3 feet in the ground this weekend. Sigh.

[gatorcane]

There could be a pretty rainfall event coming for the state in about 5-6 days as a frontal boundary sags south and becomes stationary over Florida. The global models are trying to develop some closed lows along the boundary and over Florida. This could mean much needed rainfall for us in SE Florida if it verifies.

[HURRICANELONNY]

There could be a pretty rainfall event coming for the state in about 5-6 days as a frontal boundary sags south and becomes stationary over Florida. The global models are trying to develop some closed lows along the boundary and over Florida. This could mean much needed rainfall for us in SE Florida if it verifies.

Sure hope it does. Need green grass again.

[northjaxpro]

Well, I just received the worst thunderstorm of the summer season just within the past hour at my locale. Slow moving squall line of storms dropped southeast out of SE GA late this afternoon into Jax metro area. I measured a wind gust to 56 mp, along with pea sized hail with a severe storm. Just measured just under 3.25 inches of rainfall dumped from that storm. Wow! impressive indeed. That was one impressive gust front that came through here. Lots of flooding going on in the normally flood prone areas of metro Jax currently.

[HURRICANELONNY]

Holy Crap! How much longer am I going to be without significant rain down here. The grass is almost completely brown.

Rain chances for South Florida will be on the
increase...although best probs and greatest likelihood for
significant widespread rainfall will be north of the area.
Southern/most drought stricken areas of the region will continue
to have fairly dry mid-levels...less than impressive precipitable waters ...so
north-S fairly tight pop gradient is anticipated on Saturday/Sat
night...with front keeping convection from diminishing as much
diurnally.

[Hurricaneman]

Holy Crap! How much longer am I going to be without significant rain down here. The grass is almost completely brown.

Rain chances for South Florida will be on the
increase...although best probs and greatest likelihood for
significant widespread rainfall will be north of the area.
Southern/most drought stricken areas of the region will continue
to have fairly dry mid-levels...less than impressive precipitable waters ...so
north-S fairly tight pop gradient is anticipated on Saturday/Sat
night...with front keeping convection from diminishing as much
diurnally.

its very common in an El Nino and the thing is I think you peeps in SFlorida will catch up but mostly in the fall and winter

[HURRICANELONNY]

Holy Crap! How much longer am I going to be without significant rain down here. The grass is almost completely brown.

Rain chances for South Florida will be on the
increase...although best probs and greatest likelihood for
significant widespread rainfall will be north of the area.
Southern/most drought stricken areas of the region will continue
to have fairly dry mid-levels...less than impressive precipitable waters ...so
north-S fairly tight pop gradient is anticipated on Saturday/Sat
night...with front keeping convection from diminishing as much
diurnally.

its very common in an El Nino and the thing is I think you peeps in SFlorida will catch up but mostly in the fall and winter

I can only hope. Even looking at the MIami radar. It rains everywhere but my house.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[TheStormExpert]

If this Strong to Record Strong El Niño pans out this winter could be the wettest in six years!(If not longer)