![Image](http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_pages/thumbs/tc08/SHEM/97S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/thumb/sm20080301.1600.meteo7.x.ir1km_bw.97SINVEST.20kts-1007mb-89S-675E.100pc.jpg)
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.6S 67.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 305 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. RECENT
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS AN INCREASINGLY CONSOLIDATED,
BUT BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE
IMAGERY DEPICTS WEAK CONVECTIVE BANDING BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE DISTURBANCE. A 010157Z QUIKSCAT
IMAGE SHOWS 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS IN AN AREA WITH
LOW TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO THE
IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, THE THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS POOR.